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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ups and downs of online auctions, the power of activist short-sellers, and tax time 2021.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about online auctions and why they resemble “a bad Zoom meeting”, the growing resilience of the property market, and how Sydney’s lengthy lockdown could shake things up.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into short selling – the original trade that sent GameStop stock soaring – and how activist short-sellers are impacting markets.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about those early tax lodgers and possible ramifications, as well as detailing the temporary shortcut method, which you may be able to use this tax time.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Is the share rally sustainable?

By Cameron Micallef

June 11 2020
Share

Invest

Is the share rally sustainable?

By Cameron Micallef
June 11 2020

Following a volatile three months, the ASX 200 has regained some of its COVID-19 losses, rising to over 6,000 points, while the NASDAQ 100 has reached a new high, causing investors to wonder if the rally is sustainable.

Is the share rally sustainable?

By Cameron Micallef

June 11 2020
Share

According to chief economist at AMP Capital Dr Shane Oliver, shares could remain volatile over the short term, with investors who are taking a longer-term view being encouraged to average into the market.

Dr Oliver highlighted how shares have climbed the “wall of worry” and are rallying with the threat of COVID-19 and civil unrest not enough to stop the US markets leading the world in growth.

“But I have seen this happen before and it reminds me of the quotation from the investor Sir John Templeton, ‘Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria’, as this rally has occurred against a lot of pessimism, with shares climbing a wall of worry.

“But as the quote reminds us, that’s what they often do. The plunge in shares into March led the coronavirus hit to activity and fear of recession on the way down and in the process surprised many at the severity of the fall and now it’s led on the way up despite still lots of worries,” Dr Oliver said.

The economist explained that key signs markets had bottomed out in April, as well as optimism as the economy reopened and further government support, has led to investors being bullish on markets.

However, that does not mean it’s smooth sailing for investors, with the markets likely to remain volatile.

“After huge rallies, most shares are technically overbought, which could mean we see a correction over the next few months. But many shares in many sharemarkets are at overbought extremes often seen in the aftermath of major bear market lows, and this augurs well for returns on a 6-12 basis,” Dr Oliver said.

He also highlighted three risks moving forward, including a second COVID-19 wave, collateral damage from shutdowns, and risks around the US election, which investors need to be mindful of.

Did you enjoy this article? You may also be interested in:

Is it time to expand your investment horizon?
US equities surge on 'V-Shaped' recovery predictions
What to know about investing in Asian markets

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About the author

Cameron Micallef

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg and Smart Property Investment. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leverage their insights to grow your portfolio.

About the author

Cameron Micallef

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