Commodity

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In an extraordinary start to the year, gold prices have surged past the US$5,000 mark, marking a significant milestone in the precious metal's market. January witnessed a remarkable 14% rally, closing the month at US$4,982 per ounce, just shy of the new benchmark. This surge included 12 all-time highs throughout the month, demonstrating gold's strength amid global market uncertainties.

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The impressive rally was not without its volatility. The final days of January saw large intraday swings, reflecting the unpredictable nature of the market. According to the Gold Return Attribution Model (GRAM), a substantial portion of January’s return was attributed to implied volatility, accounting for approximately 50% of the gains. This indicates significant activity in the options market, which is currently classified under risk and uncertainty but may also reflect market momentum.

Supporting this bullish trend, global gold exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows added 120 tonnes in January, setting a new record with a valuation of US$669 billion. The demand was primarily driven by Asia, which contributed 62 tonnes, followed by North America with 43 tonnes, and Europe with a more modest inflow of 13 tonnes.

While gold continues to shine, the bond market faces an uphill struggle. Geopolitical tensions have been a significant factor in recent market volatility, but analysts suggest this influence may temporarily wane, shifting the focus back to macroeconomic fundamentals. In the United States, the combination of easier monetary policy and fiscal stimulus is expected to keep the economy running hot, potentially reigniting inflation risks.

"The consensus view is that inflation will ease back to the subdued levels experienced prior to the pandemic," said a market analyst. "However, inflation risks could be greater than investors think."

Several factors contribute to the potential resurgence of inflation. A neutral rate higher than the Federal Open Market Committee's current estimates, the lagged effects of tariffs, and possible fiscal support through renewed Affordable Care Act subsidies are among the key elements. Additionally, a tighter labour market, looser financial conditions, and rising household inflation expectations add to the inflationary pressures.

Market signals regarding inflation are mixed. The decline in implied rates volatility, known as MOVE, suggests a more benign near-term inflation narrative and reduced policy uncertainty. However, term premia remain high, indicating that investors are still pricing in significant medium-term inflation and supply risks, especially given persistent budget deficits.

"The stock–bond correlation typically turns more positive when the dominant shock is inflationary, supply-driven, or fiscally driven," explained a financial strategist. "Both asset classes can sell off together under these conditions."

Recent negative inflation surprises have helped reduce the stock-bond correlation, but this relationship remains unreliable unless a serious downside market stress environment emerges. A renewed upswing in inflation could test the credibility of the incoming Federal Reserve leadership. Any indication of a more hands-off approach could bolster gold demand through stronger inflation-hedging demand and a higher stock-bond correlation. Conversely, a clear shift towards policy hawkishness might curb gold demand in the short term.

"The recent run-up in gold prices probably warrants a pause," noted an industry expert. "But we see continued investment demand as a feature of 2026."

Geopolitical factors are expected to remain a primary driver of gold prices, with macroeconomic conditions potentially reinforcing this trend. A renewed rise in inflation expectations, particularly amid fiscal support ahead of mid-term elections, could push the stock-bond correlation higher.

Risks to gold's momentum mainly stem from its elevated prices and the potential for a sustained easing in geopolitical tensions. With the new Federal Reserve leadership in place, markets will closely watch how the incoming chair navigates the challenges ahead. Despite previous criticisms of Powell's strategy, the new leadership may continue the status quo, leaving yields higher for longer and potentially favouring equities through strong growth.

As the market adjusts to these dynamics, the interplay between gold, bonds, and equities will remain a focal point for investors navigating the complex landscape of 2023.

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Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, proper" ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["check_access_rights"]=> int(0) ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2026-02-08 20:00:59" ["slug"]=> string(67) "20250:gold-s-rally-surpasses-us-5-000-amid-bond-volatility-concerns" ["event"]=> object(stdClass)#11379 (3) { ["afterDisplayTitle"]=> string(0) "" ["beforeDisplayContent"]=> string(132) "

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In an extraordinary start to the year, gold prices have surged past the US$5,000 mark, marking a significant milestone in the precious metal's market. January witnessed a remarkable 14% rally, closing the month at US$4,982 per ounce, just shy of the new benchmark. This surge included 12 all-time highs throughout the month, demonstrating gold's strength amid global market uncertainties.

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In a remarkable start to the new year, global gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have witnessed unprecedented inflows, pushing their total assets under management (AUM) and collective holdings to record levels. January saw an influx of US$19 billion into gold ETFs, marking the strongest month on record for these investment vehicles. This surge in investment, coupled with a 14% rise in gold prices, propelled the global gold ETF AUM to a new high of US$669 billion, representing a 20% increase over the month. The collective holdings also rose by 120 tonnes to 4,145 tonnes, setting a new all-time high.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(4332) "

The demand for gold ETFs was driven by investors from North America and Asia, with Europe also contributing significantly to the growth. North America, in particular, maintained its strong momentum by adding US$7 billion in January, marking the eighth consecutive month of inflows. Despite a sharp price pullback towards the end of the month, following the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chair, the region still reported net positive flows on the final trading day. This resilience was supported by geopolitical tensions involving the US and other regions, which sustained investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.

"Even with the recent price decline, all regions except Europe saw net inflows on both 30 January and 2 February, as investors appeared to take advantage of the dip to add exposure to gold," noted a market analyst.

The geopolitical landscape played a crucial role in driving demand for gold ETFs in Europe as well. The region recorded inflows for the third consecutive month, adding US$2 billion in January. The strong performance of gold prices, combined with escalating geopolitical and trade frictions between the US and Europe, particularly President Trump's tariff threats linked to the Greenland dispute, increased investor interest in gold ETFs as a hedge against uncertainty. The broader market volatility stemming from EU preparations for retaliatory tariffs and pressure on export-heavy economies further reinforced the demand for defensive assets such as gold.

"In the UK, which led regional inflows, persistently elevated inflation and renewed political tensions further fuelled investor appetite for gold ETFs as a hedge against both domestic and external risks," said a European market strategist.

Asian funds also reported significant inflows, amounting to US$10 billion in January, marking their strongest month on record. This accounted for 51% of net global inflows, a notable achievement considering Asian holdings are only about one-fifth the size of North America's. China led the region's inflows with US$6 billion, ranking as the second-largest source of inflows globally, closely behind the US. The country's continued appetite for gold ETFs was underpinned by robust gold prices, lingering geopolitical uncertainty, and strong institutional demand.

"India also delivered sizeable inflows of US$2.5 billion, supported by continued momentum in gold prices and a rotation toward diversification as domestic equities underperformed," commented an Asian market analyst.

Other regions, including Australia and South Africa, also registered positive flows at the start of 2026, contributing US$295 million. This marked the second consecutive month of inflows for these regions, driven primarily by contributions from Australia.

The surge in gold ETF inflows was accompanied by a significant increase in global gold market trading volumes, which averaged US$621 billion per day in January. This represented a 51% month-on-month increase and was 72% above the 2025 average. The rise in trading volumes was particularly notable in the final week of the month, when heightened volatility pushed activity to an average of US$963 billion per day.

"Over-the-counter activity strengthened, with volumes rising to US$278 billion per day on the back of increased LBMA trading," noted a trading expert. "Meanwhile, elevated price volatility supported a sharp pick-up in derivatives trading across major exchanges, where volumes climbed to US$320 billion per day."

Trading in global gold ETFs also rose significantly to US$23 billion per day, driven largely by a near 200% increase in North American ETF activity, partly due to options expiry and month-end volatility. In tonnage terms, trading volumes averaged 3,998 tonnes per day in January, up 35% month-on-month and well above the 2025 average of 3,247 tonnes per day.

Positioning data showed a moderation, with total COMEX net longs falling 6% during the month to 642 tonnes. This decline, however, does not capture the final days of elevated volatility. Money manager net longs slipped 4% to 378 tonnes, while Other net longs declined 8% to 264 tonnes, likely reflecting profit-taking after steady net-long buildup earlier in the month.

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In a remarkable start to the new year, global gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have witnessed unprecedented inflows, pushing their total assets under management (AUM) and collective holdings to record levels. January saw an influx of US$19 billion into gold ETFs, marking the strongest month on record for these investment vehicles. This surge in investment, coupled with a 14% rise in gold prices, propelled the global gold ETF AUM to a new high of US$669 billion, representing a 20% increase over the month. The collective holdings also rose by 120 tonnes to 4,145 tonnes, setting a new all-time high.

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Gold has experienced a stellar year in 2025, achieving over 50 all-time highs and delivering a return exceeding 60%, making it one of the top-performing assets. This impressive performance has been attributed to a mix of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, a weaker US dollar, and positive price momentum, prompting both investors and central banks to increase their gold allocations for diversification and stability.

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As 2026 approaches, the outlook for gold is shrouded in ongoing geoeconomic uncertainty. The current gold price largely mirrors macroeconomic consensus expectations, suggesting a rangebound performance if present conditions persist. However, the potential for surprises remains high. If economic growth slows and interest rates decline further, gold could see moderate gains. In contrast, a severe downturn marked by escalating global risks could propel gold to perform strongly. Conversely, successful policy outcomes from the Trump administration might accelerate economic growth and reduce geopolitical risk, leading to higher rates and a stronger US dollar, potentially pushing gold prices lower.

Central bank demand and gold recycling trends are among additional factors that could influence the market. Notably, gold's role as a portfolio diversifier and a source of stability remains crucial amid continued market volatility.

Gold's impressive surge in 2025

By the end of November 2025, gold had set over 50 all-time highs and returned more than 60%, positioning it as one of the strongest performing assets this year. This historic rally, which is gearing up to be gold's fourth strongest annual return since 1971, has been driven by several factors. At the macro level, two key influences stand out: a supercharged geopolitical and geoeconomic environment, and generalised US dollar weakness coupled with marginally lower rates. 

This environment has prompted a broader push for portfolio diversification amid lacklustre bond returns and concerns about frothiness in equity markets. As a result, investment demand for gold has surged across all regions, from West to East. Central banks have also continued their buying spree, with demand well above average, even if below the records seen in the previous three years.

The Gold Return Attribution Model (GRAM) indicates that the high-risk environment explains roughly 12 percentage points of gold's year-to-date return, primarily driven by geopolitical risk. Reduced opportunity cost, through a weaker US dollar and marginally lower rates, contributed another 10 percentage points. The combined effect of heightened geopolitical risk and US dollar weakness accounted for roughly 16 percentage points, underscoring the outsized influence of politics and macro uncertainty on gold's performance during Trump’s second term. 

Further, price momentum and investor positioning contributed nine percentage points, while economic growth added 10 points. Notably, the contributions of the four main factors driving gold have been unusually balanced this year. This signals a market driven by diverse forces rather than a single catalyst. However, momentum has played a larger role than in previous years, which is not surprising considering how gold's strong rally has prompted widespread investor interest.

What to expect in 2026

Looking ahead to 2026, markets largely anticipate a continuation of the status quo, but divergences in macro data, laden with a heavy geoeconomic blanket, mean uncertainty will remain high. Concerns about a softening US labour market are mounting, while debates persist over whether inflation will stay stubbornly high or face renewed upward pressure. Despite some progress, geopolitical frictions continue to simmer.

What does this mean for gold? Much like this year, unforeseen events are impossible to anticipate. Still, while their exact nature is unpredictable, the frequency of tail risk events is on the rise. Whether such developments trigger risk-on or risk-off sentiment could play a decisive role in shaping performance across asset classes and gold's role as a strategic diversifier.

The gold price today largely reflects macro consensus expectations related to economic growth, inflation, and monetary policy. This is captured by the rangebound performance shown by the Gold Valuation Framework when market consensus variables are inputted. However, as history shows, the macroeconomy rarely follows the path that market consensus dictates.

In the event of a shallow economic slip, US economic data has been mixed, but market participants are concerned that momentum may be slowing. As risk appetite declines, positioning shifts to defensive assets. Within this environment, a potential reset in AI expectations could act as an additional drag on equity markets. This may result in a softer US labour market, prompting weaker consumer activity and contributing to a broader global growth slowdown.

Against this backdrop, the Fed would likely cut rates beyond current expectations, easing policy in response to rising economic uncertainty and expectations of cooling inflation. This combination of lower interest rates and a weaker dollar paired with heightened risk aversion would create a continued supportive environment for gold. Our analysis shows that, in this environment, gold could rise 5% – 15% in 2026 from current levels, depending on the severity of the economic slowdown and the speed and magnitude of the rate cuts.

Conversely, there is a non-zero chance that the global economy moves into a deeper and more synchronised slowdown, driven by rising geopolitical and geoeconomic risk. Tensions around trade, unresolved regional conflicts, or a new flashpoint may erode confidence and weigh heavily on global activity. These pressures would contribute to a more fragmented global environment and heighten risk sensitivity across trade and investment.

As confidence fades, businesses scale back investment and households pull back on spending, setting off a self-reinforcing "doom loop" that deepens the downturn. US growth weakens further, and inflation falls below target, prompting the Fed to cut rates aggressively. Long-term yields decline sharply, and the US dollar softens as policy eases, contributing to softer global trade and broad commodity weakness. This combination of falling yields, elevated geopolitical stress, and a pronounced flight-to-safety would create exceptionally strong tailwinds for gold, supporting a sharp move higher. Under this scenario, gold could surge 15% – 30% in 2026 from current levels.

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Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, proper" ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["check_access_rights"]=> int(0) ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2025-12-04 22:30:11" ["slug"]=> string(71) "19471:golds-remarkable-surge-in-2025-sets-the-stage-for-a-volatile-2026" ["event"]=> object(stdClass)#11401 (3) { ["afterDisplayTitle"]=> string(0) "" ["beforeDisplayContent"]=> string(132) "

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Gold has experienced a stellar year in 2025, achieving over 50 all-time highs and delivering a return exceeding 60%, making it one of the top-performing assets. This impressive performance has been attributed to a mix of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, a weaker US dollar, and positive price momentum, prompting both investors and central banks to increase their gold allocations for diversification and stability.

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Scenic Discovery Yachts has commenced its fifth Antarctica season, introducing new ultra-luxury experiences including private jet transfers, advanced helicopter excursions and a new Scenic Neptune submersible for underwater exploration in the world’s most remote waters.

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Having explored the White Continent since 2019, Scenic has established itself as a leader in all-inclusive ultra-luxury expedition cruising, combining cutting-edge technology with immersive discovery experiences.

This season will see the debut of the new Scenic Neptune, a U-Boat Worx submersible aboard Scenic Eclipse, allowing guests to dive beneath Antarctica’s pristine surface — an experience available to only a handful of explorers worldwide. Travellers can also opt for private jet transfers from Buenos Aires to Ushuaia, ensuring a seamless and exclusive journey to the expedition embarkation point.

Purpose-built for polar exploration, the Scenic Discovery Yachts carry a maximum of 200 guests in Antarctica and are equipped with two helicopters, a submersible, a fleet of Zodiacs and kayaks. These vessels enable guests to explore iceberg-laden bays, encounter penguin colonies, and observe whales and seals in their natural habitat — before returning to the comfort of an all-inclusive ultra-luxury environment.

Scenic Eclipse will offer select departures featuring exclusive helicopter excursions to the Emperor penguin colony at Snow Hill Island — one of Antarctica’s most extraordinary wildlife encounters, available only on limited voyages. Meanwhile, Scenic Eclipse II will explore East Antarctica and the Ross Sea, with itineraries highlighting historic exploration sites, remote bays, and diverse wildlife.

Guests on the Antarctica’s Ross Sea: Majestic Ice & Wildlife voyage can book a helicopter flight to view or land at the McMurdo Dry Valleys and the Ross Sea Ice Shelf — one of the most spectacular glacial regions on Earth.

Scenic’s all-inclusive Discovery Yacht voyages include transfers and a commercial flight from Buenos Aires to Ushuaia, with an optional private jet upgrade available for 2026/27 voyages. Passengers boarding from a dedicated terminal can enjoy priority transfers, in-flight Wi-Fi and an exclusive journey for up to 10 guests, cutting travel time to under four hours.

Travellers can also extend their journey with Scenic’s South America land itineraries, including tours of Iguazú Falls, Patagonia’s national parks, Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro, combining cultural exploration and luxury travel at a relaxed pace.

Jason Flesher, Director of Discovery Operations, said Scenic’s approach to exploration offers “a four-dimensional view of Antarctica.”

“Scenic Discovery Yachts are truly unique, offering something no other operator or expedition ship can — a four-dimensional view of Antarctica,” Mr Flesher said.

“From soaring above in our custom-designed Scenic helicopters, to exploring below the surface in the Scenic Neptune submersibles, to discovering on the water by Zodiac, kayak, or paddleboard, and venturing on land — all in a single day. It’s an unmatched way to experience the world from every perspective.”

Anthony Laver, Scenic Group General Manager Sales and Marketing APAC, said the new offerings reflect Scenic’s continued innovation in expedition cruising.

“With over five years of continuous operations in Antarctica, the Scenic Discovery Yachts fleet has set the benchmark for all-inclusive expedition cruising,” Mr Laver said.

“These enhancements reflect our commitment to delivering unmatched ultra-luxury experiences for our guests.”

For more information, visit [scenic.com.au](https://www.scenic.com.au).

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Scenic Discovery Yachts has commenced its fifth Antarctica season, introducing new ultra-luxury experiences including private jet transfers, advanced helicopter excursions and a new Scenic Neptune submersible for underwater exploration in the world’s most remote waters.

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["alias"]=> string(52) "is-crypto-getting-the-shaft-for-a-big-gold-re-polish" ["introtext"]=> string(169) "

While the spotlight shines on trendy cryptocurrencies, investors evidently haven’t lost interest in traditional and tangible commodities like precious metals.

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As seasoned investors cheer on the recent resurgence in gold prices, the collective fever for nuggets and bullions has also lifted among investors who’ve become increasingly wary of crypto’s unpredictable shifts, according to AMP chief economist Dr Shane Oliver.

And as the threat of rising inflation, foreign military conflicts, and supply chain problems overshadows the global economy, the historically proven level of security that tangible commodities offer might be too much to ignore.

“Proponents of the cryptos were saying these were the new hedges against inflation – they’ll protect you against the debasement of fiat currencies as a result of money printing and the consequences of inflation. Whereas this year, Bitcoin has had a much rougher ride than gold has had, and gold has actually performed better, particularly in a period of share market weakness,” Dr Oliver said.

The market’s renewed gold rush has pushed its value to above US$1,950 – slightly below its 2020 high of US$2,067.

Although Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine has been described as the chief catalyst for the worldwide demand for gold, Dr Oliver feels this isn’t entirely accurate and that the fear of inflation is the real culprit.

“I think the real issue is the pick-up in inflation, which has seen an increase in demand for gold. It’s seen as a safe store of value, and there’s always a backup, if it doesn’t work out, you can melt it down when you’re got some jewellery demand,” Dr Oliver said.

Historically speaking, the link between gold and inflation ties back to earlier monetary systems.

According to Quay Global Investors, it began with the gold standard practiced by most Western monetary systems up until World War II and then continued with the Bretton-Woods agreement, which dictated a currency peg to the US dollar that was in turn pegged to the price of gold.

This ended when in 1971 the US government seized US dollar convertibility into gold, which led to other countries abandoning the peg and instead adopting flexible exchange rates, changing the relationship between gold and inflation ever since.

Using data from 1971, Quay Global looked at various levels of inflation and measured the total returns from gold. What it found is that while gold does “okay” in a low inflationary environment, delivering positive nominal and real returns, it does “better” in periods of high inflation.

And as inflationary pressures build and investors look for a hedge, Dr Oliver noted that while gold may not have the same “bandwagon” as crypto, it certainly is a strong contender.

“Gold is such an ancient investment, it’s been around for a long time, so there’s not quite the level of hype around gold as there is with crypto,” Dr Oliver said.

“I’ve never seen anything like it with crypto.”

But gold may not be such a great idea for newbies, according to the analyst.

“It’s the existing investors who stand to gain,” Dr Oliver said.

“If you got in earlier, you’d be feeling happier by now. And then speculators see it go up and they jump on the bandwagon. You can make money from doing that if you get in at the right time – early in the process that is. But if you come late to the game and the next day it drops off, then it’s a loss”.

Dr Oliver warned that while the hype created around any investment commodity can be alluring, getting in while the market is hot could potentially be the “wrong time”.

Reiterating the importance of timing, Dr Oliver noted that as central banks lift rates, gold could lose its appeal as an inflation hedge.

“There’s always this problem for inflation hedges that once central banks cotton on to the inflation problem, they start to raise interest rates, which then makes the inflation hedge less attractive, which I think is working against gold to some degree,” he said.

“The bottom line is it has I think provided a better hedge against the volatility in equity markets and a better hedge recently against inflation in the last few months than Bitcoin has, even though if you take a three-year view, Bitcoin’s fared far better.”

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Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, proper" ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["check_access_rights"]=> int(0) ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2022-04-26 00:00:36" ["slug"]=> string(58) "18230:is-crypto-getting-the-shaft-for-a-big-gold-re-polish" ["event"]=> object(stdClass)#11423 (3) { ["afterDisplayTitle"]=> string(0) "" ["beforeDisplayContent"]=> string(132) "

• Yes

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While the spotlight shines on trendy cryptocurrencies, investors evidently haven’t lost interest in traditional and tangible commodities like precious metals.

Write comment (0 Comments) " ["jcfields"]=> array(9) { [1]=> object(stdClass)#11451 (33) { ["id"]=> int(1) ["title"]=> string(17) "Automatic tagging" ["name"]=> string(17) "automatic-tagging" ["checked_out"]=> NULL ["checked_out_time"]=> NULL ["note"]=> string(0) "" ["state"]=> int(1) ["access"]=> int(1) ["created_time"]=> string(19) "2018-08-29 05:26:30" ["created_user_id"]=> int(2355) ["ordering"]=> int(-1) ["language"]=> string(1) "*" ["fieldparams"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#11107 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#10861 (1) { ["options"]=> object(stdClass)#10848 (2) { ["options0"]=> object(stdClass)#10841 (2) { ["name"]=> string(3) "Yes" ["value"]=> string(1) "1" } ["options1"]=> object(stdClass)#10862 (2) { ["name"]=> string(2) "No" ["value"]=> string(1) "0" } } } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["params"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#11106 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#10843 (6) { ["hint"]=> 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Australia’s manufacturing sector and its workers are being ‘held to ransom’ by the gas cartel, despite the Morrison government promising cheap gas as a key policy in the COVID-19 recovery plan.

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According to the unions, the high price of gas is killing Australia’s manufacturing sector despite the government promising cheap gas supply.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison previously outlined his vision for a gas-led economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, declaring that the cheap and reliable power will help boost the economy.

As part of the PM's plan, he announced on 18 May that an additional $600 million would be directed towards a new Kurri Kurri gas plant in NSW Hunter Valley. 

But the Australian Workers Union has now argued that Australia’s Domestic Gas Security Mechanism requires an urgent upgrade or risks sending manufacturing jobs "to the wall".

The union said gas prices have doubled in Sydney and more than tripled in Melbourne – pushing costs to unsustainable levels for Australian factories, which generally run on extremely tight margins. 

“It is unacceptable for Australian factories to be driven out of business by high gas prices when our country has more natural gas than anywhere else in the world,” said AWU national secretary Daniel Walton.

Highlighting green shoots that are emerging in Australian manufacturing, Mr Walton warned it could come to an end if the government cannot secure a gas pipeline.

“Australian manufacturing can’t continue to be held to ransom by a small group of gas extracting multinationals who should be grateful for access to our sovereign resources in the first place,” the unionist said. 

“For many months, the ACCC has pointed out that prices are too high and the gas industry is deliberately dragging its heels. It’s high time for some leadership.”

According to the union, the market needs to set a target price to secure supplies.

“When gas prices temporarily dipped during the pandemic, we warned the relief had nothing to do with the goodwill of the big gas companies and everything to do with global demand. Now global demand is coming back, Australian factories are getting gouged once again,” Mr Walton said.

Experts disagree

A report released by the Institute of Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) showed that taxpayers should be wary of new investments in gas and coal-fired power plants due to the increasing likelihood of stranded assets. 

According to the International Energy Agency, countries like Australia need to transition their energy grid within 14 years to reach net zero.

While it did not tell Australia to completely abandon its gas path, the report found that increasing global demand for low‐carbon hydrogen in the net zero emissions (NZE) provides a means for countries to export renewable electricity resources that could not otherwise be exploited.

“For example, Chile and Australia announced ambitions to become major exporters in their national hydrogen strategies. With declining demand for natural gas in the NZE, gas‐producing countries could join this market by exporting hydrogen produced from natural gas with carbon capture, utilisation and storage,” the report said. 

The Climate Council of Australia’s head of research, Simon Bradshaw, described it as yet another nail in the coffin for fossil fuels.

“Instead of spending public money on gas, which will increase electricity prices and worsen climate change, Australia can and should be working towards net zero emissions by 2035, and capitalising on the benefits of leading the global transition to renewables,” Mr Bradshaw concluded.

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Australia’s manufacturing sector and its workers are being ‘held to ransom’ by the gas cartel, despite the Morrison government promising cheap gas as a key policy in the COVID-19 recovery plan.

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