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As the sell-off of Australian shares continues for the seventh straight day following news of weak Chinese manufacturing data, hopes of a V-shape recovery are falling, suggests an industry expert.

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According to Janus Henderson Investors head of multi-asset team Paul O’Connor, when the coronavirus was contained to China, investors expected a quick economic recovery. 

However, with the virus spreading, the impact of the COVID-19 virus is looking to have a longer effect on world markets.

“The geographic broadening of the COVID-19 has undermined this scenario, given growing doubts about the effectiveness of containment measures outside China and the scale and speed of policy stimulus measures,” Mr O’Connor said.

The fund manager believes efforts to quantify the epidemic’s potential economic impact are “highly speculative”.

One thing that is clear is that the outlook for the global economy has darkened significantly in just a week. 

“Disruptions to normal economic activity are spreading fast across many countries, and the constant flow of troubling new developments is undoubtedly going to weigh heavily on consumer and business confidence,” Mr O’Connor said.

“It is hard to avoid the conclusion that we are facing many weeks of growth downgrades and earnings disappointments.”

Mr O’Connor’s thoughts come after some investors questioned whether the COVID-19 virus is hiding some of the underlying forces of a weaker economy.

What will it take for markets to recover?

Mr O’Connor believes investor sentiment about the global economic impact has been damaged, meaning markets will need good news before asset prices begin to recover.

“The virus now has such global momentum that things seem certain to get worse before they get better and they might get very much worse,” Mr O’Connor said.

He believes in the short-term policy intervention from global leaders will stabilise market sentiment.

“Central banks are undoubtedly going to start cutting rates very soon. Still, they do not have much ammunition at their disposal as the virus is a real economic shock that will not be easily solved by monetary means,” he said. 

“Fiscal policy has more scope here, but it is far from clear that the global response on this front will be quick enough or big enough to offset the broadening adverse impact of the coronavirus on economic sentiment and activity.”

nestegg has previously reported that the Australian government is downplaying the impact of the coronavirus on the national budget.

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As the sell-off of Australian shares continues for the seventh straight day following news of weak Chinese manufacturing data, hopes of a V-shape recovery are falling, suggests an industry expert.

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There’s too much of an obsession both with technology and approaching investments as a science experiment, according to a global investment expert.

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Speaking last week at the Active Advantage forum in Sydney, Stuart Dunbar, a partner at Baillie Gifford, showed attendees a mind map composed of a number of the companies his active investment strategy utilises.

With big names like Tesla, Facebook and Amazon all appearing, Mr Dunbar commented that “if you run an analysis on this portfolio, I think you’d probably see tech as a big factor”.

But, according to the investment expert, such a conclusion doesn’t make any sense anymore.

Instead, he sees technology as “simply a common factor in any company that is likely to grow” in the foreseeable future.

But why?

“Because that’s the environment we all live in,” he stated.

In his time on stage, the investor said the focus on stock markets is one of the things getting in the way of people achieving good outcomes from active management.

Instead, he said it’s about time scales, and how we measure and present performance between managers.

“I think we are trying to make a science out of an art,” Mr Dunbar suggested.

“The art of capital deployment is more about creativity and imagination than the analysis of spreadsheets and historic cash flows.”

The commentary comes after the ASX last week announced the creation of its own all-tech index. 

A CEO has also recently divulged the difficulties investors can have when trying to pick individual winners in the current tech boom.

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There’s too much of an obsession both with technology and approaching investments as a science experiment, according to a global investment expert.

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Long-term investors have been advised to look at the trends that are set to ramp up over the next 10 years in order to nab a positive return.

Write comment (0 Comments) " ["fulltext"]=> string(2350) "

During the “Emergence 2020 Australasia” flagship investment conference, five venture capitalists were asked what they believe the standout company or industry will be over the next decade.

According to co-founder of Uni-Innovation Group and founding partner of INP Capital Steven Xu, “the standout will be in the life science space”. 

“The first part will be the AI application that drives new drug development research area. We see that is in the past three years only, when we invested, only 20 companies globally. Now it’s 1,200 companies. 

“The second one: It is 10 years of pharmaceutical capitalism area globally that is beneficial to the patient.” 

“The third one is the anti-ageing technology and stem cell,” Mr Xu said.

According to CEO of Scale Investors Ariana Baker, there is one standout company. 

“We’re investing in Goterra, which is a biological waste management company. So, it is overhauling the way that cities deal with their organic waste by using insects,” Ms Baker said.

Founder and managing director at Ausbiz Kylie Merritt also picked an individual company that she believes will be the biggest winner over the next decade.

“Handy is it is a business which is basically automating the small claims process insurance,” Ms Merrit said.

Entrepreneur at PieLAB Venture Partners Chris Rolls believes the ageing population will provide an opportunity for investors.

“I think that’s going to have a fundamental impact across multiple industries due to the increasing number of people living longer and having a lot longer period of life post-work,” Mr Rolls said.

Finally, CEO of Deepbridge Capital Australia James Callianiotis said sustainability and food sciences are going to be the long-term winners.

However, the fund manager highlighted to investors that current positions may not be attractive in the long term.

“I don’t really know with the ones that I’ve invested in, because I think they’re all going to be exited by that period of time,” Mr Calliantois concluded.

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Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, property and stock market." ["secure"]=> int(0) ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator"]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2020-02-27 01:27:49" ["slug"]=> string(66) "14657:where-venture-capitalists-are-investing-over-the-next-decade" ["parent_slug"]=> string(16) "284:invest-money" ["catslug"]=> string(16) "286:stock-market" ["event"]=> object(stdClass)#3479 (3) { ["afterDisplayTitle"]=> string(0) "" ["beforeDisplayContent"]=> string(0) "" ["afterDisplayContent"]=> string(0) "" } ["text"]=> string(403) "

Long-term investors have been advised to look at the trends that are set to ramp up over the next 10 years in order to nab a positive return.

Write comment (0 Comments) " ["jcfields"]=> array(1) { [1]=> object(stdClass)#3493 (32) { ["id"]=> string(1) "1" ["title"]=> string(17) "Automatic tagging" ["name"]=> string(17) "automatic-tagging" ["checked_out"]=> string(1) "0" ["checked_out_time"]=> string(19) "0000-00-00 00:00:00" ["note"]=> string(0) "" ["state"]=> string(1) "1" ["access"]=> string(1) "1" ["created_time"]=> string(19) "2018-08-29 05:26:30" ["created_user_id"]=> string(4) "2355" ["ordering"]=> string(1) "0" ["language"]=> string(1) "*" ["fieldparams"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#3428 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#3318 (1) { ["options"]=> object(stdClass)#3432 (2) { ["options0"]=> object(stdClass)#3433 (2) { ["name"]=> string(3) "Yes" ["value"]=> string(1) "1" } ["options1"]=> object(stdClass)#3429 (2) { ["name"]=> string(2) "No" ["value"]=> string(1) "0" } } } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator"]=> string(1) "." } ["params"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#3430 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#3436 (6) { ["hint"]=> string(0) "" ["render_class"]=> string(7) "autotag" ["class"]=> string(9) "btn-group" ["showlabel"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_on"]=> string(1) "2" ["display"]=> string(1) "2" } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator"]=> string(1) "." } ["type"]=> string(5) "radio" ["default_value"]=> string(1) "1" ["context"]=> string(19) "com_content.article" ["group_id"]=> string(1) "1" ["label"]=> string(17) "Automatic tagging" ["description"]=> string(51) "Automatic tagging of article base on title keywords" ["required"]=> string(1) "0" ["language_title"]=> NULL ["language_image"]=> NULL ["editor"]=> NULL ["access_level"]=> string(6) "Public" ["author_name"]=> string(17) "Celeste Fernandez" ["group_title"]=> string(4) "Tags" ["group_access"]=> string(1) "1" ["group_state"]=> string(1) "1" ["group_note"]=> string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(1) "1" } } ["link"]=> string(87) "/invest-money/stock-market/where-venture-capitalists-are-investing-over-the-next-decade" ["image"]=> string(48) "images/article-826x550/laboratory-working-ne.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(60) "Where venture capitalists are investing over the next decade" } [3]=> object(stdClass)#3332 (56) { ["id"]=> string(5) "14635" ["title"]=> string(53) "‘Incredible milestone’ reached for tech investors" ["alias"]=> string(47) "incredible-milestone-reached-for-tech-investors" ["introtext"]=> string(426) "

Australian investors are able to track and back ASX’s booming tech stocks with greater clarity with the launch of a smaller Australian version of the US Nasdaq composite index.

Write comment (0 Comments) " ["fulltext"]=> string(3125) "

The S&P/ASX All Technology Index (All Tech Index), in partnership with S&P Dow Jones Indices, started trading on Monday under the code XTX.

The new index reaches across the economy from logistics and finance to artificial intelligence holding ASX-listed companies in the technology sector, starting with 46 members holding a combined market cap of around $104 billion.

Minister for Industry, Science and Technology Karen Andrews rang the ASX bell at the launch of the index, describing it as an incredible milestone for Australia’s technology sector.

In a little over five years, there have been more than 100 ASX Tech initial public offerings, and in 2019, seven of the 10 highest-performing stocks were technology companies.

Tech contributes $122 billion to our economy and has the potential to generate an additional $50 billion per year. It is Australia’s sixth largest sector and employs over 720,000 Australians.

“It represents seven years of hard work, and I congratulate the ASX and the companies involved on their efforts. Australia’s tech sector is booming, and it is a real privilege as Minister to be part of it,” Ms Andrews said.

ASX chief executive and managing director Dominic Stevens said the index will enhance the profile and understanding of listed technology companies in Australia and increase opportunities for investors.

“We’ve seen tremendous growth in the number of technology companies listing on the ASX and the quality of their performance recently,” Mr Stevens said.

“Over the last three years, the annualised total return from the S&P/ASX 200 has been around 10 per cent, while the return from the new All Tech Index over the same period – it had existed – would have been over 20 per cent.

“The All Tech Index recognises the critical mass of technology companies listed on the ASX. It provides investors with an opportunity to see how the sector is tracking and gives them a benchmark to measure its performance.”

Max Cunningham, ASX executive general manager, listings and issuer services, commented that he expects more foreign listings to come, adding one of the most important factors attracting overseas firms to the ASX is the local superannuation system.

“Given recent listings that we had in December and a very healthy pipeline for 2020, that part of the cohort is likely to rise,” Mr Cunningham said.

BetaShares is the first provider set to roll out an ETF tracking the index, with its launch to come in the next week and a half.

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Australian investors are able to track and back ASX’s booming tech stocks with greater clarity with the launch of a smaller Australian version of the US Nasdaq composite index.

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Investors looking to reduce their financial carbon footprint should take a forward-looking view on a company’s commitment to future reductions, industry experts have suggested.

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According to AXA investment managers, investors considering eliminating companies based on carbon emissions could face diversification implications in the future. 

Instead, the fund managers suggest a holistic measure of a company using multiple data points or scoring them on their “carbon footpath”.

“Using ‘E’ scores instead of carbon intensity to decarbonise a basket of stocks is just one way we can identify the companies that have done more to improve emissions by beginning to transition before others in their respective industries,” said Kathryn McDonald, head of sustainable investing at AXA IM Rosenberg Equities.

“We can, for example, find electric utilities that have shown a higher propensity to invest in renewable energy and storage solutions and divest from thermal coal,” she continued.

The fund managers highlighted that it might not reduce portfolios’ point-in-time carbon intensity at the same rate, a footpath approach means investors can manage investment risk better.

AXA also highlighted the potential benefit from the upside of investing in the climate change leaders that are better able to navigate the rapidly tightening regulatory landscape by using this approach.

“As investors look to address the impact of climate change risk on their investment portfolios, it is important to note that aiming to reduce point-in-time carbon footprint through a divestment-led approach is an effective but blunt tool that may not be sophisticated enough for such a complex issue.”

“Instead of leading with divestment, we need to incorporate several types of information to form a more holistic view of a company’s behaviour towards tackling the need to reduce global carbon emissions and protect the environment so that we can more concretely anticipate their pathway towards transition,” Ms McDonald concluded.

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Investors looking to reduce their financial carbon footprint should take a forward-looking view on a company’s commitment to future reductions, industry experts have suggested.

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Global growth is bottoming, with projected recovery from the world’s developed economies remaining uncertain, according to new data.

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According to data released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), manufacturing activities is showing signs of tentative stabilisation, as volatility diminishes, and policymakers ramping up efforts, although the future remains unclear.

“The projected recovery continues to be largely driven by improved prospects in previously underperforming emerging market economies (e.g. Brazil, India, Mexico, Russia, Turkey) where growth is expected to increase by about one percentage point or more relative to last year,” the IMF wrote.

“While a more favourable international environment is expected to support growth in the euro area, growth in G20 advanced economies is projected to remain subdued this year, in part amid a phasing out of fiscal stimulus and lower business investment in the US and reduced private demand following a consumption tax hike in Japan.” 

Prospects for stronger and more balanced growth also remain elusive, with growth rates too low to materially raise living standards and strengthen prospects for disadvantaged groups. 

“This adds to existing challenges in many economies of creating sufficient job opportunities for the young or lower skilled, not least amid changing demands for labour from technological change,” the IMF wrote. 

“Alongside, while current account excess surpluses and deficits have narrowed somewhat, stock imbalances have continued to grow and low interest rates have prompted investors to move into riskier and less liquid securities, contributing to stretched asset valuations and a continued build-up of vulnerabilities.” 

The IMF called for governments to support global growth by not withdrawing policy support too quickly, as fiscal stimulus is likely to be needed to play its part in the global turnaround. 

“Fiscal policy must balance the needs for lifting potential growth, ensuring debt sustainability and protecting vulnerable groups,” the IMF wrote.

“Where fiscal space allows, policymakers can take advantage of low rates for productivity-enhancing investment to lift potential growth.”

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Global growth is bottoming, with projected recovery from the world’s developed economies remaining uncertain, according to new data.

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