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Alternative investment fund managers are predicting a sizable increase in capital raising efforts in 2024, according to a global study by Ocorian, a leading alternative investment fund administrator.

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The study, which interviewed managers across different regions, including Europe, Asia, the Middle East, North America, and the UK, found that up to 85% expect a hike in capital raising at their companies compared to 2023, with nearly one in three forecasting a surge of 50% or more.

This optimism extends to new fund launches across the industry, as investors show a keen interest in diversifying their portfolios. The study reveals that almost all managers believe there will be an increase in the level of fund launches across all major alternative fund asset classes, including infrastructure, private debt, venture capital, real estate and private equity.

The key driver behind this bullish sentiment is the investors' growing desire to diversify, with 68% of managers highlighting this reason. It outpaces concerns about fixed-income market volatility and difficulties, which 65% of managers indicated as driving interest towards alternative assets.

Nearly half of the managers surveyed also noted that there are more opportunities now in the alternatives asset space, and 41% believe that improved regulation in these markets is fostering increased interest.

Yegor Lanovenko, Co-Head of Fund Services at Ocorian, expressed high confidence in the sector for the upcoming year. “There is a high level of confidence about the year ahead among alternative fund managers both for their own funds and for the sector as a whole, with different regional sentiments emerging,” he said.

Lanovenko also pointed out that managers in the US and Asia exhibit stronger sentiment for 2024 than their European counterparts. He linked the expected rise in capital raising and a surge in fund launches to growing investor appetite, suggesting that market conditions such as peak inflationary and interest rates environments are influencing these expectations.

Highlighting the operational impacts of this anticipated surge, Lanovenko added, “This expected surge in capital raising and fund launches turns the spotlight on efficiency and operational excellence, and fund managers increasingly rely on expert support and trusted partners to handle their fund launches and operations at scale.”

It's evident that the trend towards diversification and alternative asset classes is on the rise, and industry professionals are taking strides to prepare for an eventful 2024 in the world of alternative investments.

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Alternative investment fund managers are predicting a sizable increase in capital raising efforts in 2024, according to a global study by Ocorian, a leading alternative investment fund administrator.

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The landscape of personal finance is profoundly influenced by broader economic trends and indicators.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(4865) "

For Australians, understanding these indicators is crucial for making informed decisions about investments, savings, and employment. This article delves into several key economic indicators and elucidates their impact on individual earnings.

Decoding economic indicators impacting your earnings

Gross domestic product (GDP)

GDP measures the total value of goods and services produced within a country. It’s a primary indicator of economic health.

A rising GDP typically signals a growing economy, leading to higher wages and more job opportunities. Conversely, a declining GDP suggests economic contraction, potentially leading to layoffs or reduced earnings.

Unemployment rate

The unemployment rate, the percentage of the jobless labour force, directly affects earnings. High unemployment often leads to lower wage growth as employers have more potential employees to choose from. Conversely, low unemployment can drive wages up, as businesses compete for a smaller pool of workers.

Inflation and the Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Inflation measures how much the general level of prices for goods and services is rising. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key measure of inflation, tracking the cost of a standard basket of goods and services over time.

High inflation erodes the purchasing power of earnings, meaning that even if your wage increases, your buying power may not.

Interest rates

Set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), interest rates influence borrowing costs and savings returns.

Higher rates can reduce disposable income for those with variable-rate debts, like mortgages, but can benefit savers through higher returns on deposits. Lower interest rates generally aim to stimulate spending and investment but can reduce the income from savings.

Housing market trends

For many Australians, their home is their largest asset. Trends in the housing market can significantly affect net worth and financial security.

Rising house prices can increase homeowner equity, potentially leading to increased spending or investment capacity. However, a declining market can have the opposite effect, reducing net worth and financial confidence.

Stock market performance

While not directly affecting everyone’s daily earnings, the stock market’s performance can influence consumer and business confidence, which can impact the broader economy. A strong stock market can boost retirement account values and create wealth, encouraging spending and investment.

Exchange rates

The strength of the Australian dollar impacts the cost of imported goods and overseas travel. A strong dollar makes imports cheaper, potentially reducing costs for consumers and businesses. However, it can also make Australian exports more expensive, impacting sectors like tourism and export-oriented industries.

Government fiscal policy

Government spending and tax policies can directly affect disposable income. Policies aimed at stimulating economic growth, such as tax cuts or increased public spending, can increase disposable income and boost consumer spending.

Global economic trends

In today’s interconnected world, global economic trends can have a significant impact on the Australian economy. Events like trade wars, global pandemics, or financial crises in other countries can affect Australia’s export markets, investment flows, and overall economic stability.

—

Understanding these economic indicators is essential for making informed decisions about your finances. They provide a context for interpreting changes in the job market, the value of investments, and the cost of living.

By staying informed and adapting to these economic signals, individuals can better navigate the financial landscape and protect their earnings.

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The landscape of personal finance is profoundly influenced by broader economic trends and indicators.

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string(0) "" ["value"]=> string(0) "" ["rawvalue"]=> string(0) "" } } ["link"]=> string(85) "/invest-money/economy/understanding-the-economic-indicators-that-affect-your-earnings" ["image"]=> string(155) "https://res.cloudinary.com/momentum-media-group-pty-ltd/image/upload/v1701140526/Understanding_the_economic_indicators_that_affect_your_earnings_wzbium.png" ["image_alt"]=> string(63) "Understanding the economic indicators that affect your earnings" } [2]=> object(stdClass)#8053 (57) { ["id"]=> int(18393) ["title"]=> string(69) "Navigate market turbulence with expert advice: no crystal ball needed" ["alias"]=> string(68) "navigate-market-turbulence-with-expert-advice-no-crystal-ball-needed" ["introtext"]=> string(255) "

In an era fraught with investment market uncertainties, from fluctuating interest rates to geopolitical strife, seasoned market experts are guiding investors through the mire, offering sage advice on safeguarding investments against market whims.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(2667) "

AMP's Shane Oliver, renowned for his industry expertise, emphasizes the lack of predictability in investment markets, cautioning investors about the risks of short-term distractions.

Dr Oliver remarked, “It would be nice if the investment world was neat and predictable, but it’s well known for sucking investors in during good times and spitting them out during bad times.” His insights spotlight the increased difficulty in navigating the investment terrain due to an overwhelming influx of information and opinion.

He advocates for steadiness in the face of volatility, encouraging investors to look past the turbulence. “Investment markets go through cyclical swings... The trouble is that cycles can throw investors off a well thought out investment strategy that aims to take advantage of the power of compounding longer-term returns. But cycles also create opportunities,” Dr Oliver explains, referencing the recent market downturn that was later followed by a robust rebound.

Dr Oliver urges a long-term view, highlighting the pitfalls of short-term forecasting amid uncertainties. He prioritises the need for diversification and straightforwardness, emphasizing a well-balanced portfolio and a focus on overarching asset allocation. “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Having a well-diversified portfolio will provide a much smoother ride,” he acknowledges, also advising skeptics to avoid intricate and obtuse investment options laden with obscure valuations.

The significance of professional guidance and steering clear of the herd mentality is also underscored by Dr Oliver, especially during moments when the market reaches its zeniths or nadirs.

Echoing this perspective, Jamie Nicol from DNR Capital identifies the silver linings in the current climate of uncertainty, perceiving them as chances to acquire valuable stocks at appealing prices. Nicol recognizes the immediate hazards of a high-interest-rate climate but advocates for a foresighted stance.

“Investors should look through the short term and think about what these companies are going to look like in three to five years,” Nicol suggests, identifying promising investments, especially in undervalued businesses with resilient outlooks and cyclical stocks that will likely fare well when interest rates reach their zenith.

Nicol concludes with a hopeful note for investors willing to peer beyond the current cycle, highlighting potential opportunities in the dynamic environment. With the guidance of these experts, investors can navigate market unpredictability without the need for a 'crystal ball.'

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• Yes

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In an era fraught with investment market uncertainties, from fluctuating interest rates to geopolitical strife, seasoned market experts are guiding investors through the mire, offering sage advice on safeguarding investments against market whims.

Write comment (0 Comments) " ["jcfields"]=> array(9) { [1]=> object(stdClass)#8619 (33) { ["id"]=> int(1) ["title"]=> string(17) "Automatic tagging" ["name"]=> string(17) "automatic-tagging" ["checked_out"]=> NULL ["checked_out_time"]=> NULL ["note"]=> string(0) "" ["state"]=> int(1) ["access"]=> int(1) ["created_time"]=> string(19) "2018-08-29 05:26:30" ["created_user_id"]=> int(2355) ["ordering"]=> int(-1) ["language"]=> string(1) "*" ["fieldparams"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#8257 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#8030 (1) { ["options"]=> object(stdClass)#8017 (2) { ["options0"]=> object(stdClass)#8010 (2) { ["name"]=> string(3) "Yes" ["value"]=> string(1) "1" } ["options1"]=> object(stdClass)#8009 (2) { ["name"]=> string(2) "No" ["value"]=> string(1) "0" } } } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator":protected]=> string(1) "." } ["params"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#8256 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#8008 (6) { ["hint"]=> string(0) 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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has postponed an important meeting scheduled for the weekend, suggesting potential discord among members, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

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The delay, reportedly due to troubles in discussions between Saudi and African members, indicates that the proposed additional cut of 1 million barrels per day (mbpd) might not be enough to sustainably boost oil prices.

The decision to hold off the meeting emerges from indications that the market did not rally as expected on news that Saudi Arabia may double its production reductions. Ozkardeskaya highlights, "Saudi likely sensed in this week’s poor price action - ‘buy the fact that Saudi will double its production cuts’ action - that 1mbpd extra cut wouldn’t send the oil prices higher, sustainably." It appears the nation is now seeking more substantial commitments from its fellow OPEC members, a process that seems to be fraught with difficulty.

Historically, Saudi Arabia has played the role of 'swing producer,' capable of balancing the global oil markets by adjusting its production levels to stabilize prices. However, Ozkardeskaya notes a change that occurred in the 1980s where "Saudi Arabia has shifted its strategy and opted for a market share approach," a tactic that dramatically increased production and led to an oversupply in the global oil market.

The current situation sees the American crude barrel price waver, dropping to $73.50 per barrel then recovering to $76, while Brent crude fell below $80 per barrel before rebounding. These market movements come amidst broader concerns over a global slowdown, overshadowing fears of supply restrictions.

The article also sheds light on other economic projections, pointing to Germany's slashed growth forecasts for 2024 due to constitutional issues around government spending, and the UK's downgraded estimates, despite tax relief measures announced by Jeremy Hunt. For the UK, even with the alluring "100% tax relief – on companies’ capital spending," the overall tax burden is expected to increase, reaching a high not seen since the post-World War II era.

Adding to economic pressures, disinflation appears to be on the horizon in the US, making this year's Thanksgiving more affordable. Adobe Analytics anticipates a 5.4% increase in Thanksgiving shopping, a figure that remarkably disregards a 12% growth adjusted for online deflation. Yet, this consumer spending is not entirely positive, as it partly stems from savings and debt, hinting at sustainability issues.

As Thanksgiving approaches, the US sees a drop in the costs of traditional holiday items, providing some relief to consumers. However, traders should brace for potentially erratic markets due to thin trading volumes typical of the holiday period.

In conclusion, Ozkardeskaya warns of the potential volatility in trading, "Thanksgiving is one of the calmest trading days of the year. Expect thin trading volumes and higher volatility." The intersecting narratives of OPEC negotiations, nationwide tax policies, and consumer spending patterns weave a complex picture of the global economic environment heading into the year's end.

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• Yes

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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has postponed an important meeting scheduled for the weekend, suggesting potential discord among members, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

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Inflation is often touted as the silent enemy of investors. While it’s a normal part of most economies, unchecked inflation can erode the real value of your investments over time.

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As Australian investors grapple with this economic phenomenon, understanding its impact is crucial for safeguarding long-term financial goals. This article unpacks the intricacies of inflation and its effects on different types of investments.

What is inflation?

Inflation refers to the general increase in prices of goods and services over time, resulting in reduced purchasing power. Measured as an annual percentage increase, inflation impacts everything from your daily groceries to your long-term investments.

Inflation is caused by a variety of factors, but one of the primary drivers is the increase in the money supply. When there is more money circulating in the economy, people have more purchasing power, which leads to an increase in demand for goods and services. As demand increases, producers and sellers can raise their prices, resulting in inflation.

How does inflation affect investments?

The real return on an investment is its nominal return minus the rate of inflation. Even if an investment offers a 5 per cent annual return, a 2 per cent inflation rate will reduce the real return to just 3 per cent.

Inflation diminishes the value of future payments from bonds and other fixed-income securities. This makes them less attractive during high-inflation periods.

Companies may face increased costs due to inflation, affecting their profitability and, consequently, their stock prices. However, some companies can pass on these costs to consumers, which can protect their profit margins.

Tangible assets like real estate and commodities often serve as a hedge against inflation.

Investment strategies to counteract inflation

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are government-issued bonds specifically designed to safeguard against inflation. They achieve this by adjusting the principal amount in accordance with the prevailing inflation rates.

Real Estate is traditionally considered a strong hedge against inflation. This is due to the fact that property values and rents tend to rise during periods of high inflation, making real estate investment an attractive option.

Stocks with Pricing Power are those held by companies capable of passing on increased costs to consumers without losing market share. Such companies are generally well-positioned to endure inflationary pressures.

Commodities, including assets like gold and oil, often exhibit strong performance during inflationary periods. Investors often turn to these commodities as a means of preserving value in their portfolios.

Diversification is a key strategy for mitigating the adverse effects of inflation. A well-diversified portfolio, comprising a mix of different asset classes, can help protect your investments from the eroding effects of inflation.

Tips for Australian investors

It's essential to be proactive in managing your investments. Rather than waiting for inflation to spike, consistently assess the inflation risks within your portfolio.

When crafting your investment approach, prioritize the long term. Don't be swayed by short-term fluctuations; stick to your established long-term investment strategy.

Seek the expertise of a financial adviser to navigate your investment journey effectively. Professional guidance can assist you in tailoring a strategy that takes into account inflation risks while aligning with your specific financial objectives.

Conclusion

Inflation is an inevitable part of the economic cycle, but it doesn’t have to spell doom for your investment portfolio.

By understanding the dynamics of inflation and employing strategies to counteract its effects, Australian investors can better protect their financial futures.

By staying informed and proactive, Australian investors can strategically navigate the choppy waters of inflation, ensuring their investment portfolios remain robust and geared for long-term success.

 

This article is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. Consult a financial adviser for personalised advice to suit your individual circumstances.

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Inflation is often touted as the silent enemy of investors. While it’s a normal part of most economies, unchecked inflation can erode the real value of your investments over time.

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The vast majority of chief economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum believe inflation will be high or very high in the US and Europe this year.

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Expectations of an economic recovery have been overshadowed by fears of lower economic activity, higher inflation and lower real wages in the year ahead, a new survey by the World Economic Forum (WEF) has found.

The survey of 24 global chief economists released at WEF’s annual meeting in Davos this week indicated that the war in Ukraine, new COVID-19 variants and associated supply shocks have underpinned expectations for high inflation in most regions globally during 2022.

About 96 per cent of the surveyed economists expect inflation will be high or very high in the United States this year, followed by 92 per cent for Europe and 86 per cent for Latin America.

Meanwhile, the East Asia and Pacific region, including Australia, is expected to fare slightly better with only 39 per cent of those surveyed citing high or very high inflation expectations, while 43 per cent had a moderate outlook for inflation in the region.

Alongside high inflation, 69 per cent of the economists said that average real wages would likely decline in advanced economies in the near term, rising to 90 per cent for low-income economies.

“We are at the cusp of a vicious cycle that could impact societies for years. The pandemic and war in Ukraine have fragmented the global economy and created far-reaching consequences that risk wiping out the gains of the last 30 years,” said WEF MD Saadia Zahidi.

“Leaders face difficult choices and trade-offs domestically when it comes to debt, inflation and investment. Yet business and government leaders must also recognise the absolute necessity of global cooperation to prevent economic misery and hunger for millions around the world.”

Most of the economists surveyed held a moderate outlook for economic activity this year in all regions except Europe, where activity is expected to be weak.

For the East Asia and Pacific region, 77 per cent had a moderate outlook, followed by 18 per cent with a strong outlook and only 5 per cent who had a weak outlook.

According to 46 per cent of those surveyed, the risks associated with higher inflation in advanced economies outweigh those associated with short-term contraction due to monetary tightening, while 27 per cent were uncertain and a further 27 per cent disagreed.

To offset increasing consumer prices, 54 per cent agreed that there would be energy price subsidies in advanced economies while 41 per cent believed there would be food price subsidies.

WEF also commissioned a separate survey on how residents of 11 countries were coping with the cost-of-living challenges.

A quarter of respondents said they were finding it quite difficult or very difficult to manage financially at present, ranging from 67 per cent of respondents in Turkey to 16 per cent for those in the United States.

Around 21 per cent of Australian respondents indicated they were finding it difficult or very difficult to manage financially, while 26 per cent said they were ‘just about getting by’, 34 per cent were ‘doing alright’ and 18 per cent were ‘living comfortably’.

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The vast majority of chief economists surveyed by the World Economic Forum believe inflation will be high or very high in the US and Europe this year.

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