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Treasurer Josh Frydenberg’s forecast budget surplus has been cut by more than $2 billion this financial year as revenue is predicted to fall by $32.6 billion over the next four years.

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The government’s announcement comes as part of it’s mid-year economic and fiscal outlook (MYEFO) report, which showed that the Australian economy is expected to have a surplus of $5 billion in 2019-20 or 0.3 per cent of GDP.

Over the next four years, the surplus is expected to be $23.5 billion. 

The mid-year budget update revealed growth forecast for wages, which has been slashed from 3.25 per cent to 2.5 per cent.

The Reserve Bank of Australia previously noted that lower wage growth will become the new norm in the Australian economy.

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg said the downward revisions is mainly due to lowering of taxes to individuals, company taxes and the GST.

Net debt is projected to be $392.3 billion in 2019-20 (19.5 per cent of GDP) and to improve across the forward estimates and medium term. Gross debt as a share of GDP is also expected to decline over the forward estimates and medium term.

Finance Minister Mathias Cormann put a positive spin on today’s announcement, highlighting Australia’s position compared with relative G7 nations.

“The outlook for the Australian economy is positive. GDP growth in the first three quarters of 2019 has been stronger than it was in the second half of 2018, with MYEFO confirming that the economy is forecast to grow by 2 1/4 per cent in 2019-20. Growth is forecast to improve to 2 3/4 per cent in 2020-21, which is faster than any G7 nation and well above the OECD average of 1.6 per cent.”

The minister also highlighted the strength of the labour market, noting that welfare dependency dropped to its lowest level in 30 years, “which is helping to keep real growth in spending to the lowest of any government in 50 years”.

The report noted that global economic momentum has weakened due to the US-China trade war, Brexit and factors in South America and East Asia.

“Global growth is expected to be 3 per cent in 2019 – the weakest growth since the global financial crisis – and 3 1/4 per cent in 2020. Major trading partner growth is forecast to be 3 1/2 per cent in 2019 and 3 3/4 per cent in 2020,” the reported noted.

With a weakening global economy, the assumption for commodity prices has fallen, which is having an impact on the Australian economy.

To help the Australian economy, Mr Frydenberg has pledged to spend more on infrastructure, communities and quality and safety in aged care.

“The total transport infrastructure investment will be over $100 billion over 10 years, including an additional $4.2 billion over the next four years.”

“The government is also redirecting $200 million from the Building Better Regions Fund into drought-affected communities and funding an extra $138.9 million in Roads to Recovery in 2020 for 128 local government areas impacted by drought.”

“The government will provide $624 million to respond to the interim report of the royal commission and to build on recent improvements to standards, oversight, funding and transparency in the care of older Australians,” Mr Fydenberg concluded.

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Treasurer Josh Frydenberg’s forecast budget surplus has been cut by more than $2 billion this financial year as revenue is predicted to fall by $32.6 billion over the next four years.

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As we look into the new year, the fastest-growing jobs for 2020 have been revealed, with the technology sector again set to boom.

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According to the latest figures by employment platform LinkedIn, all of Australia’s top five emerging jobs feature automation or artificial intelligence (AI) skills.

Defining an emerging job as one seeing tremendous growth over the past five years, LinkedIn has found new jobs are emerging in surprising ways as the “economic evolution is also throwing up some strong demand for non-tech talent, capable of bridging the gap between digital innovation and customer”.

“These emerging jobs have seen tremendous growth over the past five years. They’re not necessarily brand-new roles though. An emerging job may have grown out of a more traditional job, or it may be a completely new job that has been created to address business needs,” LinkedIn Australia’s report stated.

As the workforce continues to change, the new decade will see a greater demand for AI skills, customer services and accelerating company and product growth, LinkedIn suggested.

“We now have a clear picture of how the explosive growth in the tech industry has resulted not just in heavy demand for core tech and engineering jobs, but also jobs like customer success specialist in the tech sector that requires expertise in skills like relationship management,” LinkedIn’s report noted.

While many Australians currently hold these roles, there might not be a large enough talent pool currently holding these jobs, meaning year-on-year they are predicted to continue to grow.

Here are the top 15 emerging jobs on LinkedIn:

1. Artificial Intelligence Specialist
2. Cybersecurity Specialist
3. Marketing Automation Specialist
4. Robotic Engineer (Software)
5. Site Reliability Engineer
6. Customer Success Specialist
7. Data Scientist
8. Data Engineer
9. Growth Manager
10. Chief Strategy Officer
11. Anti-money Laundering Specialist
12. Product Owner
13. Service Designer
14. Full Stack Engineer
15. Automation Consultant

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As we look into the new year, the fastest-growing jobs for 2020 have been revealed, with the technology sector again set to boom.

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The gender divide is narrowing as growth in women’s salaries outpaces their male counterparts, according to official figures.

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Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that median weekly earnings for female employees rose by 4.3 per cent, while male employees’ earnings rose by 1.3 per cent in the 12 months to August 2019.

Bjorn Jarvis, head of Labour Statistics at the ABS, said: “Median weekly earnings for male employees rose by less than that of female employees, partly because of the growing number of males working part-time hours, and the industries and occupations that men and women are working in.”

Combined Australian wages have continued to stagnate below long-term growth rates, as they grew by 2.3 per cent.

Given Australia’s inflation rate is currently 1.7 per cent, males whose salaries grew by 1.3 per cent have gone backwards.

Overall, Australian wage growth, while remaining stagnant and well below low term trends beat inflation by 0.6 per cent. 

The figures also show gradual changes in working arrangements over time. 

There was an increase in the proportion of employed people with access to flexible working hours (34 per cent in August 2019, up from 32 per cent in August 2015) and who regularly worked at home (32 per cent, up from 30 per cent).

There was a decrease in the proportion of employed people who usually worked overtime (34 per cent in August 2019, down from 36 per cent in August 2015), or were on call or standby (22 per cent, down from 24 per cent).

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The gender divide is narrowing as growth in women’s salaries outpaces their male counterparts, according to official figures.

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INFOGRAPHIC: According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ report, Employee earnings and hours, there were 10,647,200 employed Aussies in May 2018.

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Among the employed, 60.2 per cent worked in a full-time capacity, 5.9 per cent of whom were in managerial roles, while 54.3 per cent in non-managerial roles.

The 39.8 per cent of employees in Australia were involved in part-time work composed of 1 per cent in managerial roles, 28.9 per cent in non-managerial positions. The remaining 20 per cent are employees with fixed or permanent part-timers.

The report also revealed that employed females outnumber males – but only by a margin. As at May 2018, 50.1 per cent of the employed are females and 49.9 per cent are males.

Average employee earnings

The report revealed that the overall average weekly earning of employed individuals is at $1,288.70 – but with males reporting up to $500 higher incomes than their female counterparts.

The overall average weekly cash earning for males is at $1,525.40, while females reported an overall average of $1,053.30.

Male full-time employees have average incomes of $1,810.90, while females working at the same capacity earn $1,515.60. On the other hand, male part-time workers earn an average of $666 per week and female earn a bit higher with $669.30.

Among the different employment levels, those who held managerial positions reported earning an average weekly income of $2,424.50 – the highest reported weekly earning.

Sales workers reported the lowest average weekly income at $735.90.

Employee income by age

The ABS report identified the age bracket of employed individuals and average earning, as well.

Among the employed, 737,800 are below 20 years of age who earn an average of $383.70 weekly.

The 3,496,600 employees aged 21 to 34 years earned a weekly average of $1,127.60, while 2,320,900 in the 35 to 44 age bracket had a weekly average income of $1,503.70.

This is followed by 2,255,200 employees aged 45 to 54 who earn an average weekly income of $1,544.20.

Finally, there were 1,836,600 employees 55 years old and older whose weekly average earning is at $1,288.70.

The ABS report excludes individuals who reported that they were self-employed.

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INFOGRAPHIC: According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ report, Employee earnings and hours, there were 10,647,200 employed Aussies in May 2018.

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Sydney’s and Melbourne’s surge in property prices is under threat from higher unemployment, a leading economist has warned.

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According to AMP capital’s Dr Shane Oliver, unemployment will be critical to the outlook for housing.

If it picks up significantly in response to slow economic growth, then it will be a big constraint on house prices and could result in forced property sales and another leg down in property prices.

“A sharp rise in unemployment is not our base case but is the key downside risk in terms of the property outlook. But we do see weak economic growth and an [upward] drift in unemployment ultimately constraining property prices gains.”

Australian capital city dwelling prices rose 2 per cent in November, according to CoreLogic, their strongest monthly increase since September 2003. After a 10.2 per cent decline over 21 months, average prices have now had their fifth rise in a row. 

Sydney dwelling prices surged 2.7 per cent and Melbourne prices rose another 2.2 per cent, the sixth gain in a row for both cities.

Mr Oliver said Sydney prices have now risen 8.2 per cent from their May low and have recovered 46.5 per cent of the fall since their 2017 high. 

“Melbourne prices have now risen 8.3 per cent from their May low and have now recovered 66.6 per cent of the fall since their 2017 high,” he said. 

“Our base case remains that after an initial bounce, house price gains will be more constrained than what we saw through the 2012-17 property price boom. Compared to past recovery cycles, household debt-to-income ratios are much higher, bank lending standards are much tighter, there are still more units to hit the Sydney and Melbourne property markets, and unemployment is likely to drift up as overall economic growth remains weak,” the chief economist concluded.

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Sydney’s and Melbourne’s surge in property prices is under threat from higher unemployment, a leading economist has warned.

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Skipping meals, living in cars and a lack of access to essential medical services are all common experiences for youth on Newstart, new research has revealed.

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According to the latest Australian Council of Social Service survey, after paying their rent, 60 per cent of respondents have less than $14 a day.

Newstart provides recipients with $280 a week, while Youth Allowance for single without children is $225.10 a week.

Co-founder of Young Org Cat Nadel believes living a normal healthy life is impossible on these lower wages.

“Newstart and Youth Allowance is supposed to be a safety net that allows us to focus on our studies or on finding paid work. Instead, it is holding us in poverty,” she explained.

The report found that, to get by, over half of respondents couch-surf or use other unstable forms of accommodation.

More than nine in 10 have reported skipping meals as a way to save money, while one in three has withdrawn from studies due to a lack of funds.

In addition, 73 per cent  of participants said they struggled accessing essential services, such as filling prescriptions, or seeing much-needed specialists. Meanwhile, 74 per cent  of participants said it had been over a year since they saw a dentist.

“We are hearing stories of young people skipping their antidepressants and birth control because they can’t afford it on Youth Allowance,” Ms Nadel said.

One respondent, a 19-year-old on Youth Allowance, said: “I am currently on a waiting list to have all four of my wisdom teeth removed via surgery as they were causing an immense amount of pain. The medication prescribed for this was very expensive, but the surgery itself exceeded $4,000. Which I couldn’t pay, so I now have to wait a minimum of 1.5 years.”

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Skipping meals, living in cars and a lack of access to essential medical services are all common experiences for youth on Newstart, new research has revealed.

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