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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the latest in equities, property investing and super.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the latest in property, including CoreLogic’s latest findings, which suggest national home values have increased at the fastest pace in over 30 years, and why he isn’t quite sure this is the case.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about soaring travel stocks, the rising popularity of NFTs and what they are, as well as the sudden meltdown of Archegos Capital Management.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro gives his thoughts on Paul Keating’s early release of super verdict, as well as an overview of life after JobKeeper.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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How does the UK election affect global markets?

By Cameron Micallef

December 16 2019
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Invest

How does the UK election affect global markets?

By Cameron Micallef
December 16 2019

With the Conservative Party regaining power, the world’s eyes turned to Brexit and how the new government will handle its impending exit from the European Union.

How does the UK election affect global markets?

By Cameron Micallef

December 16 2019
Share

With the Conservative Party regaining power, the world’s eyes turned to Brexit and how the new government will handle its impending exit from the European Union.

According to Paras Anand, Fidelity’s head of asset management, Asia Pacific, investors need to pay close attention to the result due to fiscal policy, contrarian signals on inflation and the strength of the British pound.

The Tory’s victory will likely see the government leave the European Union and change the outlook on inflation despite inflation measures showing signs of an uptick across world markets, Mr Anand said.

“Give the number of ‘false alarms’ over inflationary upticks in recent years, it is likely that central banks will position themselves behind the curve, which could, in sharp contrast to consensus, lead to inflation overshooting on the upside over the medium term,” Mr Anand said.

Quentin Fitzsimmons, fixed income portfolio manager at T.Rowe Price, believes the new government will mean rates are unlikely to be cut.

“The fact that a no‑deal Brexit is off the table in the near term reduces the likelihood of the Bank of England cutting interest rates anytime soon.

“As such, UK government bond yields are likely to remain range‑bound for the time being, although they may fall if there are increased concerns over a global recession,” Mr Fitzsimmons said.

Mr Anand also said the strength of the pound is one to watch as the US dollar continues to be supported by a tighter stance to monetary policy.

“First, as the immediate rally in the pound suggests, this could be another signal that the long period of US dollar outperformance in the context of currency markets is coming to an end,” said Mr Anand.

Finally, the fund manager believes England is likely to rally through infrastructure and healthcare policies following a Conservative victory.

“Johnson, in particular, has a track record of supporting investment in larger-scale infrastructure projects. This aligns with a global trend we expect to continue in the coming months, one of the government’s finding recourse in fiscal policy rather than monetary policy to support economic growth,” Mr Anand said.

“While these campaigns are clearly focused on supporting domestic growth, it is important for investors to consider the cumulative impact of this global shift in economic strategy,” Mr Anand continued.

“At first glance, the outcome of a snap election in the UK should have little bearing for global markets. But considered in the context of what could prove to be more meaningful turning points in economic policy and market leadership, investors would do well to pay closer attention,” Mr Anand concluded.

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About the author

Cameron Micallef

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg and Smart Property Investment. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leverage their insights to grow your portfolio.

About the author

Cameron Micallef

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