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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ongoing NSW lockdown, the ins and outs of the COVID-19 Disaster Payments, and how Brisbane’s successful Olympics bid could impact equities and property.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the impact of the lockdowns on the property market, what the 2032 Olympics could mean for Brisbane’s market, and whether APRA might need to pull the handbrake to cool house price growth.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into how the Olympics and other major events affect stock returns and what the implications are for investors.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about the near-record super returns, the COVID-19 Disaster Payments and what they mean for your super.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Italy tipped to bring down euro

By Jack Derwin

January 10 2017
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Invest

Italy tipped to bring down euro

By Jack Derwin
January 10 2017

The embattled euro may not survive much longer, with one economist predicting Italy will be the country to bring the single currency toppling down.

Italy tipped to bring down euro

By Jack Derwin

January 10 2017
Share

The embattled euro may not survive much longer, with one economist predicting Italy will be the country to bring the single currency toppling down.

Australian economist Bill Mitchell says Italy will likely be the nation to bring down the euro ahead of a string of elections this year, if populist Five Star Movement (FSM) comes to power.

“It’ll only take one big political shift and I guess everyone’s banking now on Italy because [FSM leader] Beppe Grillo looks like he’s got a much better chance than Marine Le Pen in France,” Mr Mitchell told nestegg.com.au.

“I don’t think the French will leave, I think it’ll be the Italians.”

The prediction comes in the wake of former Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s decision to step down in December, following an unsuccessful referendum to renegotiate government powers.

Meanwhile, the world’s oldest bank, Monte dei Paschi di siena’s appeal to the Italian government for a bailout just weeks ago at the expense of Italian investors is likely to encourage support for FSM, already riding a wave of populism.

“I think the political resonances around Europe are moving in that direction [and while] I don’t think Marine Le Pen can win the presidency, she’ll rock the boat severely. There’ll be a major shift in the Italian elections, the Spanish electoral system can barely deliver a government and Greece is headed for even more instability in the next month,” Mr Mitchell said.

“In the long run, it’ll become apparent that someone will leave or get kicked out of the union,” he added.

“Economically, it’s dead in the water. It can’t possibly deliver long-term prosperity and the damage that it is causing and the intergenerational costs it’s creating are going to be massive.”

However, it remains to be seen where Europeans will draw the line.

“While I think that the majority of Italians still want the euro, they’re living in a dream world. They want the euro but they also don’t want austerity and they can’t have both under the way the union is constructed,” Mr Mitchell said.

“Their banking system is insolvent. It’s being propped up at the moment, but how long the ECB allows the banking system to remain intact is a good question. I suspect they will keep propping it up for now simply because if the Italian banks collapse, it’ll be chaos.”

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