Invest
‘Foolish’ loan choices flagged for investors in 2019
Investors have been warned to be cautious in adopting interest-only loans, despite APRA recently lifting its cap on lenders, with one expert labeling the uptake of such loans “foolish” in the current market.
‘Foolish’ loan choices flagged for investors in 2019
Investors have been warned to be cautious in adopting interest-only loans, despite APRA recently lifting its cap on lenders, with one expert labeling the uptake of such loans “foolish” in the current market.
Robert Muller, managing director of BIS Oxford Economics and property expert, explained to Nest Egg that although APRA’s lifting of the 30 per cent cap placed on lenders offering interest-only loans has been welcomed by many in the industry, investors should be careful of diving into such loans head first in the current market.
“Would I borrow at the moment and take an interest-only loan? I wouldn’t call it a wise financial decision,” he said.
“It’s all good and well in a period of strong capital growth but [at the moment], you’re gaining no equity in the property, basically, in fact you’ve got negative equity in a current falling market.”
He said while APRA’s changes, which came into effect on January 1, does offer the opportunity for demand in housing loans to rise, this will not occur for some months as savvy investors will fail to be enticed until markets begin to recover.
“It’s not these side issues that will be a critical thing, it will be a turn-around in property prices in terms of the fundamentals of the market turning from negative to flat,” he said.
“As long as prices keep falling, investors are going to remain out of the market in the numbers they were in the past, so we’re not going to see a return to higher demand.
“Could we see a reduction in the rate of decline in demand for housing loans? Yes, that could happen over time if the signs were there that price declines are reducing,” Mr Muller said.
“I don’t think we will see that in the next six months. Could we see that in the second half of this year? Yes. And if that was to occur, then that might encourage more people.”
APRA’s announcement
Towards the end of last year, Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA) announced it would lift the 30 per cent cap on the number of new interest-only mortgages it had placed on lenders since March 2017.
The change came into effect on 1 January this year, on the requirement that lenders offered APRA assurances that they had strengthened their lending practices and were offering loans prudently.
APRA has previously said that most lenders, including the four major banks, have met such criteria.
Areas of growth in 2019
Mr Muller did identify a few key areas were small growth is predicted to occur over the coming year.
He said Brisbane’s detached housing market, Adelaide and Hobart may all see some improvement in growth rate, with regional areas such as Newcastle and Queensland’s Sunshine Coast and Gold Coast worth keeping an eye on.
RELATED ARTICLES
Property
Twice the demand: the case study behind Melbourne’s first‑home buyer surge
Melbourne has quietly engineered one of Australia’s most consequential housing turnarounds, with first‑home buyer demand running at roughly double the national pace and four of the top five buyer ...Read more
Property
First‑home buyers now anchor Australia’s mortgage growth — but the risk maths is changing
Great Southern Bank’s revelation that nearly one in three of its new mortgages went to first‑home buyers is not an outlier. It is the leading edge of a broader market realignment powered by government ...Read more
Property
Home guarantee scheme shake-up challenges Australia’s housing market players
From 1 October 2025, the expanded Home Guarantee Scheme (HGS) materially widens what first-home buyers can purchase and where. By sharply lifting price caps and relaxing eligibility settings, the ...Read more
Property
GSB’s first‑home buyer play: turning policy tailwinds into market share
Great Southern Bank’s latest results show that nearly one in three of its new mortgages now go to first‑home buyers—evidence of a fast‑moving market reshaped by government guarantees, easing rates and ...Read more
Property
Why investors are fleeing and renters are scrambling in Australia's housing maze
Australia’s rental market is tightening even as individual landlords sell down. New data points to a multi‑year investor retreat tied to higher holding costs and regulatory uncertainty, while prices ...Read more
Property
Australia's 5% deposit guarantee: Unlocking gains while balancing risks in the market share race
Can a bigger government guarantee fix housing access without fuelling prices? Australia is about to find out. The Albanese government’s expanded 5% deposit pathway aims to help 70,000 buyers, remove ...Read more
Property
Australia's bold move the 5% deposit scheme shaking up the housing market
Can a government guarantee replace lenders mortgage insurance without inflating prices or risk? Canberra’s accelerated 5% deposit scheme is a bold demand-side nudge in a supply‑constrained marketRead more
Property
When rates drop but stress sticks: exploring Australia's mortgage arrears dilemma
Headline numbers suggest arrears ease as rates come down. The reality in Australia is messier: broad measures dipped into mid‑2025, yet severe delinquencies and non‑bank portfolios remain under ...Read more
Property
Twice the demand: the case study behind Melbourne’s first‑home buyer surge
Melbourne has quietly engineered one of Australia’s most consequential housing turnarounds, with first‑home buyer demand running at roughly double the national pace and four of the top five buyer ...Read more
Property
First‑home buyers now anchor Australia’s mortgage growth — but the risk maths is changing
Great Southern Bank’s revelation that nearly one in three of its new mortgages went to first‑home buyers is not an outlier. It is the leading edge of a broader market realignment powered by government ...Read more
Property
Home guarantee scheme shake-up challenges Australia’s housing market players
From 1 October 2025, the expanded Home Guarantee Scheme (HGS) materially widens what first-home buyers can purchase and where. By sharply lifting price caps and relaxing eligibility settings, the ...Read more
Property
GSB’s first‑home buyer play: turning policy tailwinds into market share
Great Southern Bank’s latest results show that nearly one in three of its new mortgages now go to first‑home buyers—evidence of a fast‑moving market reshaped by government guarantees, easing rates and ...Read more
Property
Why investors are fleeing and renters are scrambling in Australia's housing maze
Australia’s rental market is tightening even as individual landlords sell down. New data points to a multi‑year investor retreat tied to higher holding costs and regulatory uncertainty, while prices ...Read more
Property
Australia's 5% deposit guarantee: Unlocking gains while balancing risks in the market share race
Can a bigger government guarantee fix housing access without fuelling prices? Australia is about to find out. The Albanese government’s expanded 5% deposit pathway aims to help 70,000 buyers, remove ...Read more
Property
Australia's bold move the 5% deposit scheme shaking up the housing market
Can a government guarantee replace lenders mortgage insurance without inflating prices or risk? Canberra’s accelerated 5% deposit scheme is a bold demand-side nudge in a supply‑constrained marketRead more
Property
When rates drop but stress sticks: exploring Australia's mortgage arrears dilemma
Headline numbers suggest arrears ease as rates come down. The reality in Australia is messier: broad measures dipped into mid‑2025, yet severe delinquencies and non‑bank portfolios remain under ...Read more
