Borrow

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Bendigo Bank's Chief Economist David Robertson is maintaining his prediction that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2024, with cuts likely to begin in 2025.

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Key points:

• Robertson acknowledges the disappointing May inflation data but cautions against overreacting to a single monthly figure
• He expects the first RBA rate cut to occur in May 2025, pushed back from his previous forecast of February 2025
• Robertson sees a 50% market probability of another rate hike as "a long bow to draw on a single monthly CPI read"
• He notes the importance of upcoming quarterly inflation data and labour force reports in shaping RBA policy

Robertson highlighted several factors influencing the economic outlook:

• Stage 3 tax cuts and cost-of-living measures totalling about $52 billion this financial year
• Uncertainty around how much of this money will be spent versus saved
• Contradictory economic indicators, including record highs in property prices, stock markets, and employment levels, alongside a per-capita recession and low consumer sentiment

The economist expects moderating inflation in the new financial year, aided by base effects and a stronger Australian dollar. He anticipates more moderate gains in house prices but warns that economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks may slow the recovery.

Robertson emphasised the RBA's dual mandate of price stability and full employment, suggesting that upcoming jobs data will be almost as influential as inflation figures in determining monetary policy.

Despite pushing back his forecast for the first rate cut, Robertson maintains his view that the RBA will keep rates on hold for the remainder of 2024, with relief via rate cuts coming in 2025.

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• Yes

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Bendigo Bank's Chief Economist David Robertson is maintaining his prediction that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2024, with cuts likely to begin in 2025.

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Australia's credit scoring system has undergone significant changes aimed at providing a more comprehensive picture of a consumer's financial behavior.

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These changes impact how lenders assess creditworthiness, affecting everything from securing a loan to the terms of borrowing. Understanding these shifts is crucial for anyone looking to borrow or improve their credit standing. This article explores the implications of Australia's evolving credit score system and offers strategies to enhance your credit score.

Understanding the new credit score system

Recent reforms in Australia's credit reporting system have transitioned from a negative reporting model to comprehensive credit reporting (CCR). Previously, credit reports only included negative information such as missed payments or defaults. The new CCR model now also captures positive financial behaviors like regular, on-time payments and the successful closure of credit accounts. This holistic view helps lenders make more informed decisions and can benefit borrowers who demonstrate consistent financial responsibility.

How credit scores affect borrowing

A higher credit score under the new system could mean better borrowing terms, including lower interest rates, higher borrowing limits, and quicker loan approvals. Conversely, a lower score can result in less favorable terms or even difficulty in obtaining credit. Lenders use this score to assess the risk level of lending to a particular individual, influencing their decision and the terms of the credit offered.

Impact on various types of borrowing

The effect of the updated credit score system varies across different borrowing contexts:
- Home loans: A good credit score can significantly influence the mortgage terms you receive, potentially saving thousands in interest payments over the life of the loan.
- Personal loans and credit cards: These may also offer better interest rates and higher limits with a strong credit score.
- Business loans: A solid credit history is crucial for businesses seeking loans, especially for small businesses that may not have substantial collateral.

Tips for improving your credit score

Regularly check your credit report: Ensure your credit report is free from errors and reflects your credit activities accurately. You can obtain a free report from credit reporting bodies like Equifax, Experian, and illion annually.
Pay your bills on time: Consistent, timely payments are more important than ever under the CCR system. Setting up automatic payments can help avoid missed deadlines.
Reduce credit card balances: High credit card utilization can negatively impact your score. Keeping your balances low relative to your credit limits demonstrates responsible credit usage.
Limit credit enquiries: Each time you apply for credit, a hard enquiry is recorded on your report. Too many hard enquiries can signal financial distress to lenders.
Build a diverse credit mix: Responsibly managing a mix of credit types, such as a credit card, a personal loan, and a mortgage, can positively affect your score.

Planning ahead

For those planning to apply for substantial loans, such as mortgages, it is advisable to start improving your credit score well in advance. This can involve consolidating debts or systematically paying down existing loans.

Seeking professional advice

If you're unsure how to improve your credit score or navigate the new credit system, consider consulting with a financial advisor. Professional advice can provide personalized strategies based on your specific financial situation.

---

The evolution of Australia's credit score system offers an opportunity for borrowers to benefit from their positive financial behaviors. By understanding these changes and actively managing your credit, you can enhance your ability to secure loans under favorable terms and minimize your borrowing costs.

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Australia's credit scoring system has undergone significant changes aimed at providing a more comprehensive picture of a consumer's financial behavior.

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Securing financing for post-secondary education is a significant step for many Australians, offering a pathway to advancing career prospects and achieving personal growth.

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 Understanding the student loan landscape in Australia is crucial to making informed decisions that align with your financial capabilities and educational goals. This article breaks down the key options for student loans in Australia, offering guidance on how to effectively manage and select the right financing for your studies.

Understanding the HECS-HELP loan system

The Higher Education Loan Program (HELP) is the primary system through which most Australian students finance their university education. The most common form within this system is HECS-HELP, available to eligible students enrolled in Commonwealth-supported places at universities. HECS-HELP covers tuition fees and allows students to defer payment until their income reaches a certain threshold, at which point repayments begin through the tax system.

FEE-HELP for full-fee paying students

For students not eligible for a Commonwealth-supported place, FEE-HELP is an option that helps to cover tuition fees. This loan is similar to HECS-HELP in that it is repaid through the tax system once the individual’s income reaches the repayment threshold. It’s available to Australian citizens and certain residents but comes with a lifetime limit that you cannot exceed.

SA-HELP for student services and amenities

SA-HELP is a loan scheme that assists students in covering the cost of services and amenities provided by their education institutions, such as sports and recreation, career advice, health services, and counseling. This is particularly useful for students who may not have the immediate out-of-pocket money for these non-tuition costs.

VET student loans for vocational education

For those pursuing vocational education and training, VET Student Loans may be available. This program helps eligible students enrolled in higher-level vocational education and training courses cover their tuition fees. Unlike HECS-HELP, VET Student Loans are only available for courses at the diploma level and above and include a capped amount.

Private student loans and alternative financing

Beyond government-supported loans, students may also consider private loans offered by banks and other financial institutions. These are typically more flexible in terms of the amount that can be borrowed but often come with higher interest rates and more stringent repayment conditions. Comparing different private loan options for interest rates, fees, and repayment terms is essential.

Scholarships and grants

Exploring scholarships and grants offered by universities, private organizations, and government bodies can provide additional financial support that does not require repayment. These are often merit-based or need-based and can significantly reduce the financial burden of higher education.

Planning and budget management

Effective management of any student loan requires careful planning and budgeting. It’s important to understand the full scope of your financial obligations, including potential interest accrates and repayment schedules. Use budgeting tools and financial planning resources to keep on top of your finances and ensure you can comfortably meet your repayment obligations once they begin.

Seeking professional advice

If you find navigating the student loan landscape overwhelming, consider seeking advice from a financial advisor or a student financial aid office at your educational institution. They can provide personalized guidance and help you make decisions that best suit your financial and educational circumstances.

---

Navigating student loans in Australia requires a clear understanding of the available options and their implications. By carefully considering your needs and the resources at your disposal, you can effectively manage your educational financing and invest in your future with confidence.

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Securing financing for post-secondary education is a significant step for many Australians, offering a pathway to advancing career prospects and achieving personal growth.

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When considering a personal loan in Australia, one of the first decisions you'll face is whether to opt for a secured or an unsecured loan. Each type has distinct advantages and drawbacks, and the right choice depends on your specific financial situation and borrowing needs. This article breaks down the differences between secured and unsecured personal loans, helping you decide which is more appropriate for your circumstances.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(3884) "

What is a secured personal loan?

A secured personal loan is backed by collateral, such as a car, property, or other valuable assets. The lender holds the right to seize the asset if the borrower fails to repay the loan according to the agreed terms. Because these loans are less risky for lenders, they often come with lower interest rates, higher borrowing limits, and longer repayment terms.

Benefits of secured loans

- Lower interest rates: The presence of collateral reduces the risk for lenders, typically resulting in lower interest rates compared to unsecured loans.
- Higher loan amounts: Secured loans often allow you to borrow more money, as the loan amount usually depends on the value of the collateral.
- Longer repayment periods: Lenders are generally more flexible with loan terms, offering longer periods to spread out repayments, which can make monthly installments more manageable.

What is an unsecured personal loan?

Unsecured personal loans do not require any collateral. They are given based on the borrower’s creditworthiness and typically come with stricter eligibility requirements. These loans are riskier for lenders and generally feature higher interest rates and smaller loan amounts than secured loans.

Benefits of unsecured loans

- No collateral required: Borrowers don’t risk losing a valuable asset if they default on the loan.
- Simpler application process: Without the need to evaluate collateral, the loan approval process can be quicker and less complicated.
- Flexible for various uses: Unsecured loans can be used for a variety of purposes, from consolidating debt to funding a holiday.

Choosing between secured and unsecured loans

Consider your financial stability: If you have stable finances and are comfortable with pledging an asset, a secured loan might be a good choice due to the lower interest rates and larger loan amounts. However, if you prefer not to risk an asset or don’t own any significant assets, an unsecured loan might be the better option.

Assess your borrowing needs: For larger amounts, perhaps for major home renovations or buying a high-value asset, a secured loan is usually more appropriate. For smaller, short-term financial needs or expenses like travel or minor home improvements, an unsecured loan might suffice.

Evaluate interest rates and terms: Compare the interest rates and terms offered by different lenders for both secured and unsecured loans. Factor in the total cost of borrowing, including any fees and charges, to see which option is more cost-effective over the long term.

Risks and considerations

- Risk to assets: With secured loans, failing to make repayments could result in the loss of your collateral.
- Credit impact: Defaulting on either type of loan can negatively impact your credit score, affecting your ability to borrow in the future.
- Financial overstretch: Borrow only what you need and can afford to repay to avoid financial strain.

Conclusion

Whether a secured or unsecured personal loan is right for you largely depends on your financial situation, your needs, and your comfort level with risking collateral. It is crucial to carefully consider your options and make an informed decision based on a thorough assessment of your circumstances and the loan terms available.

---

By understanding the nuances between secured and unsecured personal loans, you can better navigate the lending environment in Australia and choose a loan that aligns with your financial goals and capabilities.

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• Yes

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When considering a personal loan in Australia, one of the first decisions you'll face is whether to opt for a secured or an unsecured loan. Each type has distinct advantages and drawbacks, and the right choice depends on your specific financial situation and borrowing needs. This article breaks down the differences between secured and unsecured personal loans, helping you decide which is more appropriate for your circumstances.

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Recent economic data and central bank communications have dampened the market's appetite for risk assets, leading to a stronger US dollar and a pullback in commodities and equities, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

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The week began with the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, which revealed that many Fed members questioned whether keeping rates "high for longer" would be sufficiently restrictive to tame inflation, suggesting that further rate hikes might be necessary.

In the UK, Prime Minister Sunak announced a general election for early July, earlier than expected, diminishing hopes for a Bank of England (BoE) rate cut in June. Additionally, hotter-than-expected British CPI data further reduced the likelihood of policy easing in the near term.

In the euro area, data showed that wage growth increased 4.7% in Q1, raising concerns among officials who had been relying on a slowdown to keep inflation under control.

Finally, stronger-than-expected US economic data, including accelerating services and manufacturing PMIs and soft jobless claims, dealt a final blow to market bulls.

"If the reflation trade loses momentum due to a hawkish shift in major central bank expectations, we shall see a period of pullback and profit taking in risk assets, and a further dollar appreciation against major counterparts," Ozkardeskaya said.

US crude oil prices extended losses below the 100-day moving average, while copper futures and gold prices also declined significantly. The US dollar index strengthened past the 50-day moving average, and major currency pairs such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD faced downward pressure.

Amid the market turmoil, Nvidia remained a bright spot, jumping more than 9% after beating revenue expectations and providing a strong forecast. Ozkardeskaya believes that the company's positive outlook and the growing demand for AI suggest that the $1000 per share level could become a new support for investors looking to capitalize on the stock's bullish momentum.

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Recent economic data and central bank communications have dampened the market's appetite for risk assets, leading to a stronger US dollar and a pullback in commodities and equities, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

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European and UK stocks are outperforming their US counterparts due to a combination of factors, including high valuations in the US, strong corporate earnings from European companies, and expectations of looser monetary policies in Europe and the UK, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(2176) "

The Stoxx 600 and the FTSE 100 reached new record highs yesterday, while the S&P 500 stalled. The AI rally, which has been driving major US indices, appears to be losing momentum, with companies like Nvidia and AMD experiencing declines from their March peaks.

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) remains committed to its inflation target, with recent comments from Fed speakers Susan Collins and Lisa Cook suggesting that reaching the 2% goal may take longer than previously anticipated. Cook also noted that firms have ample earnings to cover debt payments and that financial firms are well-positioned to absorb shocks.

In contrast, central banks in Europe are taking a different approach. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) lowered its policy rate in Q1 due to a sufficient slowdown in inflation, and the Riksbank opted for a 25bp cut yesterday, signaling the possibility of two more rate cuts this year. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut rates in June, and the Bank of England (BoE) may provide more details on its plans to lower rates at today's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.

European policymakers are determined to ease their monetary policies regardless of the Fed's actions, despite the risk of currency depreciation and increased domestic price pressures. As long as the dollar's appreciation remains manageable, the European currencies may continue to depreciate against the US dollar.

The BoE is not expected to cut its policy rate today, but the MPC is anticipated to have less agreement on the timing of future rate cuts. Four out of nine MPC members are considered hawkish, while Governor Bailey has shifted his stance from "it's too early to talk about cuts" to "the inflation dynamics between the US and UK are diverging." Some analysts see a small chance of a BoE rate cut in June, alongside the ECB, but a more realistic scenario is an August cut.

The British Pound (GBP) is currently trading in a bearish consolidation zone, and unless unexpectedly hawkish statements are made, it is likely to continue attracting sellers near the 1.25 level leading up to next week's US inflation report.

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European and UK stocks are outperforming their US counterparts due to a combination of factors, including high valuations in the US, strong corporate earnings from European companies, and expectations of looser monetary policies in Europe and the UK, according to Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Analyst at Swissquote Bank.

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