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RBA reveals October cash rate call

By Cameron Micallef · October 01 2019
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RBA

RBA reveals October cash rate call

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By Cameron Micallef · October 01 2019
Reading:
egg
RBA

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has announced its decision on the official cash rate for October, amid speculation for a cut which has already led to institutional bracing.

The RBA has announced its third rate cut for the year, slashing an already historically low interest rate. 

Despite cutting rates to 1.25 per cent in June, the RBA still considers further economic stimulus to be required, after already moving the official cash rate to 1.00 per cent in July, and again today to 0.75 of a percentage point.

Top market and economic experts are not surprised with today’s move following higher than expected unemployment figures. 

In the lead-up to today’s decision, comparison site Finder had surveyed 45 of the nation’s leading economists and commentators, and found a majority to be expectant of today’s cut.

Mortgage Choice’s Susan Mitchell was one of the experts that saw economic data as predictive of a rate change.

“The August labour force data revealed an increase in the unemployment rate, as well as an increase in the underemployment rate, which is now in line with its recent peak,” she said.

“National Accounts data released after the September monetary policy meeting revealed that the economy grew below what the RBA had forecast a month earlier.”

Finder’s survey has foreshadowed even lower rates in the future, with one in three experts surveyed expressing an expectation for rates to fall further still, to 0.50 of a percentage point by the middle of next year. 

Five economists expect the rate to go all the way to 0.25 of a percentage point, with one predicting rates to fall to zero.

Savings for investors

Finder insights manager Graham Cooke has stipulated that as a result of the cut, borrowers will win at the expense of savers.

With a rate drop to 0.75 of a percentage point, if your lender were to pass on the cut in full, “an average mortgage holder could save $19,000 over 30 years on their mortgage”, Mr Cooke outlined.

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Analysing today’s decision

Former Australian treasurer Peter Costello anticipated today’s announcement, having cited Dr Lowe’s speech last week to note that world banks are currently having “a bit of a race to have the lowest exchange rate”.

However, he has argued that the effectiveness of monetary policy is diminishing as rates fall.

“Do you hear anyone saying, ‘I wouldn’t have done it at 1 per cent, but I’m going out there now that it’s 0.75’?” the former treasurer asked.

RBA reveals October cash rate call
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About the author

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leveraging their insights to grow your portfolio.

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About the author

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leveraging their insights to grow your portfolio.

Join The Nest Egg community

We Translate Complicated Financial Jargon Into Easy-To-Understand Information For Australians

Your email address will be shared with nestegg and subject to our Privacy Policy

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