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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the latest in equities, property investing and super.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the subdued April price growth and how prices are predicted to move for the remainder of the year.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about the Biden climate summit and impacts on the Australian sharemarket, as well as the possibility of a carbon border tax and what it means.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro gives his thoughts on the overhaul of the superannuation performance test and the upcoming budget.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Where has this volatility come from?

By Lucy Dean

March 13 2018
Share

Invest

Where has this volatility come from?

By Lucy Dean
March 13 2018

In the wake of February’s market plunge, investors are wondering not only whether this volatility will continue, but where it came from in the first place.

Where has this volatility come from?

By Lucy Dean

March 13 2018
Share

In the wake of February’s market plunge, investors are wondering not only whether this volatility will continue, but where it came from in the first place.

According to AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver, the answer is simple. Speaking in an AMP Capital insights paper, he said there’s a link between share market volatility and inflation.

Further, he explained that as investors recalibrate their expectations of share market performance, volatility and inflation react accordingly.

“Investors have been used to low volatility for so long, low inflation, low interest rates, low bond yields and that was factored into many investment markets, obviously including share markets,” he said.

“Now we are moving into a world of possibly higher inflation, higher interest rates, investors have to reprice and adjust their expectations.”

Continuing, Mr Oliver observed that market commentators and investors are seeing increased inflation in the US, with some considering this a positive while other regard it as a negative.

“For example, if interest rates go up, bond yields go up, that makes share markets a little less attractive compared to bonds and cash at the margin, and investors need to make that adjustment,” Mr Oliver said.

“[Further] you’ve got this ongoing battle with some saying inflation’s on the way, higher interest rates – that’s bad.

“At the same time, others are saying we’ve got stronger profits growth coming through, so it’s not that bad. I think we’re seeing a bit of a battle between the bulls and the bears going on.”

Reflecting on the year so far, Mr Oliver said it’s been “a bit perverse in a way”, given that the good news of wage growth and a long-awaited pick-up in inflation has triggered investor anxiety.

With this in mind, he reminded investors that higher inflation is not a bad thing, it just means they “have to adjust their expectations and that’s what’s causing the volatility”.

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