array(1) { [0]=> &object(stdClass)#5661 (52) { ["id"]=> string(5) "16662" ["title"]=> string(120) "Is the market overheating; should ETFs take your fancy, and what’s happening to the low and middle income tax offset? " ["alias"]=> string(114) "is-the-market-overheating-should-etfs-take-your-fancy-and-what-s-happening-to-the-low-and-middle-income-tax-offset" ["introtext"]=> string(156) "

On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the latest in equities, property investing and super.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(1063) "

Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the latest in property, including the much-talked-about use of macro-prudential measures to cool the rapidly expanding market.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about soaring ETFs, what they are and why young investors, in particular, are jumping onboard their latest surge. Dr Zhong also takes a closer look at BNPL platforms.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro gives his thoughts on Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s choice to backtrack on any further SG changes and looks at the impending end of the low and middle income tax offset.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

" ["checked_out"]=> string(1) "0" ["checked_out_time"]=> string(19) "0000-00-00 00:00:00" ["catid"]=> string(3) "302" ["created"]=> string(19) "2021-04-20 05:52:58" ["created_by"]=> string(4) "2404" ["created_by_alias"]=> string(0) "" ["state"]=> string(1) "1" ["modified"]=> string(19) "2021-04-20 07:31:39" ["modified_by"]=> string(4) "2357" ["modified_by_name"]=> string(12) "Erika Sauler" ["publish_up"]=> string(19) "2021-04-20 07:06:30" ["publish_down"]=> string(19) "0000-00-00 00:00:00" ["images"]=> string(233) "{"image_intro":"images\/podcasts\/Angel_Zhong_Steve_Waters_Timothy_Munro.jpg","float_intro":"","image_intro_alt":"","image_intro_caption":"","image_fulltext":"","float_fulltext":"","image_fulltext_alt":"","image_fulltext_caption":""}" ["urls"]=> string(121) "{"urla":false,"urlatext":"","targeta":"","urlb":false,"urlbtext":"","targetb":"","urlc":false,"urlctext":"","targetc":""}" ["attribs"]=> string(855) "{"article_layout":"","show_title":"","link_titles":"","show_tags":"","show_intro":"","info_block_position":"","info_block_show_title":"","show_category":"","link_category":"","show_parent_category":"","link_parent_category":"","show_associations":"","show_author":"","link_author":"","show_create_date":"","show_modify_date":"","show_publish_date":"","show_item_navigation":"","show_icons":"","show_print_icon":"","show_email_icon":"","show_vote":"","show_hits":"","show_noauth":"","urls_position":"","alternative_readmore":"","article_page_title":"","video_url":"","channel_id":"UCLBR-2LtTtui_WiRuEfW3qA","send":"0","test":"0","schema_active":"0","schema_name":"","schema_description":"","schema_thumbnailUrl":"","schema_uploadDate":"","schema_duration":"","schema_contentUrl":"","schema_embedUrl":"","comments":"1","readingDiff":"3","canonical_link":""}" ["metadata"]=> string(68) "{"robots":"","author":"","rights":"","xreference":"","metatitle":""}" ["metakey"]=> string(82) "market, overheating, etfs, fancy, what’s, happening, middle, income, tax, offset" ["metadesc"]=> string(200) "On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the latest in equities, property investing and super. Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, " ["access"]=> string(1) "1" ["hits"]=> string(2) "34" ["xreference"]=> string(0) "" ["featured"]=> string(1) "0" ["language"]=> string(1) "*" ["readmore"]=> string(4) "1063" ["ordering"]=> string(1) "0" ["category_title"]=> string(7) "Podcast" ["category_route"]=> string(17) "resources/podcast" ["category_access"]=> string(1) "1" ["category_alias"]=> string(7) "podcast" ["published"]=> string(1) "1" ["parents_published"]=> string(1) "1" ["lft"]=> string(2) "82" ["author"]=> string(12) "Robyn Tongol" ["author_email"]=> string(33) "[email protected]" ["parent_title"]=> string(9) "Resources" ["parent_id"]=> string(3) "300" ["parent_route"]=> string(9) "resources" ["parent_alias"]=> string(9) "resources" ["alternative_readmore"]=> NULL ["layout"]=> NULL ["params"]=> object(Joomla\Registry\Registry)#5662 (3) { ["data":protected]=> object(stdClass)#5659 (95) { ["article_layout"]=> string(14) "momentum:newne" ["show_title"]=> string(1) "1" ["link_titles"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_intro"]=> string(1) "0" ["info_block_position"]=> string(1) "0" ["info_block_show_title"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_category"]=> string(1) "1" ["link_category"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_parent_category"]=> string(1) "0" ["link_parent_category"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_associations"]=> string(1) "0" ["flags"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_author"]=> string(1) "1" ["link_author"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_create_date"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_modify_date"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_publish_date"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_item_navigation"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_vote"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_readmore"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_readmore_title"]=> string(1) "1" ["readmore_limit"]=> string(3) "100" ["show_tags"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_icons"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_print_icon"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_email_icon"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_hits"]=> string(1) "1" ["record_hits"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_noauth"]=> string(1) "0" ["urls_position"]=> string(1) "0" ["captcha"]=> string(0) "" ["show_publishing_options"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_article_options"]=> string(1) "1" ["save_history"]=> string(1) "1" ["history_limit"]=> int(10) ["show_urls_images_frontend"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_urls_images_backend"]=> string(1) "1" ["targeta"]=> int(0) ["targetb"]=> int(0) ["targetc"]=> int(0) ["float_intro"]=> string(4) "left" ["float_fulltext"]=> string(5) "right" ["category_layout"]=> string(14) "momentum:newne" ["show_category_heading_title_text"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_category_title"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_description"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_description_image"]=> string(1) "0" ["maxLevel"]=> string(2) "-1" ["show_empty_categories"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_no_articles"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_subcat_desc"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_cat_num_articles"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_cat_tags"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_base_description"]=> string(1) "1" ["maxLevelcat"]=> string(2) "-1" ["show_empty_categories_cat"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_subcat_desc_cat"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_cat_num_articles_cat"]=> string(1) "1" ["num_leading_articles"]=> string(2) "14" ["num_intro_articles"]=> string(1) "0" ["num_columns"]=> string(1) "0" ["num_links"]=> string(1) "0" ["multi_column_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["show_subcategory_content"]=> string(2) "-1" ["show_pagination_limit"]=> string(1) "0" ["filter_field"]=> string(4) "hide" ["show_headings"]=> string(1) "1" ["list_show_date"]=> string(9) "published" ["date_format"]=> string(0) "" ["list_show_hits"]=> string(1) "0" ["list_show_author"]=> string(1) "1" ["orderby_pri"]=> string(4) "none" ["orderby_sec"]=> string(5) "rdate" ["order_date"]=> string(9) "published" ["show_pagination"]=> string(1) "2" ["show_pagination_results"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_featured"]=> string(4) "show" ["show_feed_link"]=> string(1) "1" ["feed_summary"]=> string(1) "0" ["feed_show_readmore"]=> string(1) "0" ["sef_advanced"]=> int(1) ["sef_ids"]=> int(1) ["custom_fields_enable"]=> string(1) "1" ["show_page_heading"]=> NULL ["layout_type"]=> string(4) "blog" ["menu_text"]=> int(1) ["menu_show"]=> int(1) ["page_title"]=> string(71) "Invest Money - Strategies and Tools for your Investment Goals | nestegg" ["menu-meta_description"]=> string(180) "Let us help you decide how you want to invest your money on. Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, property and stock market." ["secure"]=> int(0) ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["page_heading"]=> string(71) "Invest Money - Strategies and Tools for your Investment Goals | nestegg" ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator"]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2021-04-20 07:06:30" ["slug"]=> string(120) "16662:is-the-market-overheating-should-etfs-take-your-fancy-and-what-s-happening-to-the-low-and-middle-income-tax-offset" ["catslug"]=> string(11) "302:podcast" ["link"]=> string(133) "/resources/podcast/is-the-market-overheating-should-etfs-take-your-fancy-and-what-s-happening-to-the-low-and-middle-income-tax-offset" ["image"]=> string(58) "images/podcasts/Angel_Zhong_Steve_Waters_Timothy_Munro.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(0) "" } }

Latest Podcast

Is the market overheating; should ETFs take your fancy, and what’s happening t...

Resources

There is $17.5 billion in lost and unclaimed super across ...

Invest

How house prices will be affected under Scott Morrison

By Cameron Micallef

May 24 2019
Share

Invest

How house prices will be affected under Scott Morrison

By Cameron Micallef
May 24 2019

One of the nation’s top economists has revised his house price predictions in light of a Coalition victory. Here’s what his property roadmap looks like for the nation’s investors.

How house prices will be affected under Scott Morrison

By Cameron Micallef

May 24 2019
Share

One of the nation’s top economists has revised his house price predictions in light of a Coalition victory. Here’s what his property roadmap looks like for the nation’s investors.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver said the combination of Labor’s negative gearing plans not coming into effect, a cash rate cut likely for next week, Mr Morrison’s promised financial help for first home buyers and the banking regulator relaxing its 7 per cent interest rate test points to house prices bottoming earlier and higher than previously expected.

Mr Oliver now anticipates capital city average house prices to have a top-to-bottom fall of 12 per cent – 10 per cent of which is already done – rather than 15 per cent.

Further, he expects prices to largely hit their floor at the end of the year.

A return to boom time?

However, given the still poor affordability, high debt levels, tighter lending standards and rising unemployment, a quick return to the boom time is unlikely.

Simply put: the fall has been big, and it will take a while to recover.

According to CoreLogic data, the fall in dwelling prices in capital cities are down 9.7 per cent from the highs of September 2017. With this, the total fall in value is the worst in 40 years, with Darwin (28 per cent), Sydney (15 per cent) and Melbourne (11 per cent) being the hardest hit.

How we got here

According to Mr Oliver, a range of pricing and economic factors caused the downturn:

Firstly, a correction to the huge surge in 2017, where properties where overvalued and mortgagees were left with high debt
The end of the mining booms in 2014 for Perth and Darwin
Tightening lending standards that cracked down on lending to investors and interest-only loans
A surge in supply of units in the major capitals
80 per cent collapse in foreign demand
A big pool of interest-only borrowers switching to principal and interest loans
Price fall feeding on themselves with a fear of not getting out of the market driving down the price
Investors started to fact in the probability of Labor victory, which would restrict capital and capital gain taxes, meaning another 5 to 10 per cent could fall

Recent wins for the property market

While the drags remain significant, several positives have become apparent over the last few weeks. Mr Oliver believes these will help stabilise the market:

First home buyers are now on the way as the government’s First Home Loan Deposit scheme takes effect.
Secondly, APRA is lowering the 7 per cent mortgage buffer making it easier to access capital.
The RBA governor has all but confirmed that rate cuts are on the way.
The threat to changes to negative gearing and CGT is gone with a Morrison government victory.

The influence of unemployment

The main risk is that Australia slides into a downwards spiral as the housing downturn and global slump trigger a surge in unemployment, which by default spikes housing prices. According to Mr Oliver, ultimately, this could cause a 30 per cent plus falls in the national property prices.

AMP predicts that 60,000 jobs will be lost due to the housing downturn. However, a number of factors, including infrastructure spending, resources investment are near the bottom, non-mining investment looking strong and tax cuts for low and middle-income earners, should cap unemployment at less than 6 per cent.

This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Forward this article to a friend. Follow us on Linkedin. Join us on Facebook. Find us on Twitter for the latest updates

Rate the article

About the author

Cameron Micallef

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg and Smart Property Investment. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leverage their insights to grow your portfolio.

About the author

Cameron Micallef

Property

FHB surge as ‘it’s now cheaper to buy than rent’

Record-low interest rates mean that it is now cheaper to buy than rent, with first home buyers taking advantage, doubling their participation in the market, a big four bank CEO has said. ...Read more

Property

New home sales continue to soar in March

A strong level of building activity is expected in 2021 and 2022, given a strong spike in home sales during the year to March. ...Read more

Property

HomeBuilder extension announced

One of the government’s most successful schemes, HomeBuilder, has been extended, bringing the total level of expected government support for the construction sector to $2.5 billion. ...Read more

Property

Policy failures see houses become unattainable for young Australians, minister says

Australia’s booming house prices are the result of the government’s failed policies, with the younger generation now unable to afford what their parents could, a minister has said. ...Read more

Property

House prices to grow by 25% over 3 years

New research is predicting a large gain in property prices of around 25 per cent through to the end of 2023, driven mainly by low interest rates. ...Read more

Property

Strict cap on short-term rentals delayed following criticism

Following widespread criticism from councils and online rental companies, the introduction of NSW’s planned holiday rental code of conduct has been pushed back by three months. ...Read more

Property

Melbourne becomes Australia’s 2nd most affordable rental market

While most capital cities saw house rents soar to new record highs over the first quarter of 2021, Melbourne continued to lag behind – becoming the second most affordable capital city to rent in Aus...Read more

Property

Why home buyers are now more open to high-priced properties

Buyers are more likely to spend more to secure a property as their preferences shift towards bigger spaces with higher price tags, recent data has shown. ...Read more