Invest
Frydenberg confident vaccine rollout will boost the economy
The economy and the budget are expected to reap the benefits of the earlier than planned vaccine rollout, following a series of unexpected lockdowns which have already put a dent on the government’s budgeting.
Frydenberg confident vaccine rollout will boost the economy
The economy and the budget are expected to reap the benefits of the earlier than planned vaccine rollout, following a series of unexpected lockdowns which have already put a dent on the government’s budgeting.
The Treasurer remains hopeful that the “earlier than thought” rollout of the vaccine will help spur economic growth and boost the budget, following the impacts of the pre-Christmas Sydney lockdown and the latest three-day movement ban put in place across Brisbane.
In the mid-year economic and fiscal outlook (MYEFO), Treasurer Josh Frydenberg forecast Australia’s real GDP to grow by 4.5 per cent in 2021 following a drop of 2.5 per cent in 2020. The unemployment rate was predicted to peak at 7.5 per cent in the March quarter 2021, down from an expected peak of 8 per cent forecast in the 2020-21 budget.
Speaking about these assumptions on Tuesday, the Treasurer said that despite recent events, positive signs of economic recovery are already evident, with 85 per cent of the 1.3 million Aussies who either lost their jobs or saw their working hours cut to zero back at work.
He reiterated, however, that the uncertainty will likely linger for some time to come.

“The uncertainty has been a feature characteristic of the last year of the first global pandemic of this significance in more than a century. And I fear that the uncertainty will be there globally at least for some time to come.
“Yes, we’re optimistic with the rollout of the vaccine, but the virus is not going away; it’s there with us every day. It’s our ability to deal with the new cases that arise that will very much determine the speed and the trajectory of our economic recovery,” said Mr Frydenberg.
According to the Prime Minister, Australia’s vaccine rollout will begin next month, with 4 million doses expected to be distributed by the end of March.
But despite the ongoing impacts of COVID on business and individuals across Australia, Mr Frydenberg stressed on Tuesday that the government still intends to pull the plug on JobKeeper at the end of March.
“JobKeeper goes out to the end of March, and that is our intention to end that program at the end of March, but it is not the only support measure that the government has put in place.
“We have been talking about tax cuts which is putting billions of dollars into the economy; there is the JobMaker Hiring Credit to young people from the unemployment queues into work; there is the infrastructure spending we have brought forward and support for the tourism industry, for the aviation sector; there is the HomeBuilder program that was extended for another three months.
“All of these programs add up to a very significant package of support to help Australia get through this crisis,” Mr Frydenberg noted.
About the author
About the author
Economy
Australia’s spending surprise raises the odds of a February rate move — here’s how to protect margin and momentum
Household outlays are running hotter than economists expected, with the latest ABS readings showing broad-based gains across services and goods. That resilience is exactly the kind of demand impulse ...Read more
Economy
Australia’s inflation cools to 3.4% — why the RBA’s next move still isn’t a lay‑up for business
Headline inflation easing is good optics; balance sheets feel something different. With year‑on‑year CPI down to 3.4% in November from 3.8%, hopes for rate relief are rising — but policymakers remain ...Read more
Economy
Inflation cools to 3.4% — but the RBA’s reaction function keeps businesses on a knife-edge
Australia’s headline CPI edged down to 3.4% year-on-year in November, from 3.8%, easing immediate pressure but not eliminating the risk of further tightening. With services inflation sticky and ...Read more
Economy
Higher-for-longer, not higher forever: How Australia’s inflation ‘surprise’ is rewriting CFO playbooks for 2026
Australia’s latest inflation pulse eased but didn’t budge bank outlooks: near‑term rate cuts are still a long shot, with some houses flagging upside risk. That steadier‑for‑longer cash rate is pushing ...Read more
Economy
Australia's inflation illusion: the real challenge lies in pricing power and productivity
Headline inflation has cooled to 3.4% year-on-year, but the Reserve Bank’s caution—and a still‑hot housing backdrop—mean the rate threat hasn’t left the room. For boards, the next few quarters are ...Read more
Economy
When house prices lift, tills ring: A case study in turning Australia’s wealth effect into growth
Australia’s latest upswing in household wealth, anchored by higher dwelling values, is more than a feel‑good statistic—it is a profit and planning signal. The ABS notes property’s centrality to ...Read more
Economy
RBA's hawkish stance reflects inflation concerns, State Street economist comments
In a recent statement, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has signaled a hawkish stance on interest rates, drawing insights from financial experts about the implications for Australia's economic ...Read more
Economy
Navigating the inflation maze: How CFOs can outsmart economic hurdles in Australia
Fresh inflation data have cooled expectations of near-term rate cuts in Australia, intensifying pressure on margins, capital allocation and demand. Rather than wait for monetary relief that may not ...Read more
Economy
Australia’s spending surprise raises the odds of a February rate move — here’s how to protect margin and momentum
Household outlays are running hotter than economists expected, with the latest ABS readings showing broad-based gains across services and goods. That resilience is exactly the kind of demand impulse ...Read more
Economy
Australia’s inflation cools to 3.4% — why the RBA’s next move still isn’t a lay‑up for business
Headline inflation easing is good optics; balance sheets feel something different. With year‑on‑year CPI down to 3.4% in November from 3.8%, hopes for rate relief are rising — but policymakers remain ...Read more
Economy
Inflation cools to 3.4% — but the RBA’s reaction function keeps businesses on a knife-edge
Australia’s headline CPI edged down to 3.4% year-on-year in November, from 3.8%, easing immediate pressure but not eliminating the risk of further tightening. With services inflation sticky and ...Read more
Economy
Higher-for-longer, not higher forever: How Australia’s inflation ‘surprise’ is rewriting CFO playbooks for 2026
Australia’s latest inflation pulse eased but didn’t budge bank outlooks: near‑term rate cuts are still a long shot, with some houses flagging upside risk. That steadier‑for‑longer cash rate is pushing ...Read more
Economy
Australia's inflation illusion: the real challenge lies in pricing power and productivity
Headline inflation has cooled to 3.4% year-on-year, but the Reserve Bank’s caution—and a still‑hot housing backdrop—mean the rate threat hasn’t left the room. For boards, the next few quarters are ...Read more
Economy
When house prices lift, tills ring: A case study in turning Australia’s wealth effect into growth
Australia’s latest upswing in household wealth, anchored by higher dwelling values, is more than a feel‑good statistic—it is a profit and planning signal. The ABS notes property’s centrality to ...Read more
Economy
RBA's hawkish stance reflects inflation concerns, State Street economist comments
In a recent statement, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has signaled a hawkish stance on interest rates, drawing insights from financial experts about the implications for Australia's economic ...Read more
Economy
Navigating the inflation maze: How CFOs can outsmart economic hurdles in Australia
Fresh inflation data have cooled expectations of near-term rate cuts in Australia, intensifying pressure on margins, capital allocation and demand. Rather than wait for monetary relief that may not ...Read more
