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After an initial period of extreme uncertainty, the rhetoric around the Australian property market appears to have shifted into a new phase in response to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic.

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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Grace Ormsby is joined by the founder and CEO of Upside Realty, Adam Rigby, to delve into how COVID-19 has been affecting different demographics within the property sector, including renters, landlords, investors and retirees.

Adam touches on the pros and cons of potentially removing stamp duty, his predictions for marketplace trends over the coming months, and the importance of picking quality over timing when considering an investment.

Thanks Adam, for sharing your insights with the nestegg podcast team!

You can keep up to date with what Upside Realty are up to HERE

Have an investment story to share? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Learn the best strategies in investing and options like cryptocurrency, bonds, mutual funds, property and stock market." ["secure"]=> int(0) ["page_description"]=> string(7) "nestegg" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["page_heading"]=> string(71) "Invest Money - Strategies and Tools for your Investment Goals | nestegg" ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator"]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2020-05-19 07:43:37" ["slug"]=> string(52) "15141:a-sense-of-optimism-within-the-property-sphere" ["catslug"]=> string(11) "302:podcast" ["link"]=> string(65) "/resources/podcast/a-sense-of-optimism-within-the-property-sphere" ["image"]=> string(34) "images/podcasts/Adam_Rigby_WEB.jpg" ["image_alt"]=> string(10) "Adam Rigby" } }

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What’s next for bonds after the rally?

By Kelley Baccei, Eaton Vance · August 01 2016

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Invest

What’s next for bonds after the rally?

By Kelley Baccei, Eaton Vance
August 01 2016

Reading:

What’s next for bonds after the rally?

By Kelley Baccei, Eaton Vance · August 01 2016

Reading:

We believe solid fundamentals and the ongoing search for income are supportive of high yield bonds.

The snapback rally in high yield bonds since mid-February has some wondering if this market has gotten ahead of itself.

We believe there is still opportunity for long-term investors looking for income, but caution against chasing recent performance.

US high yield bond indexes have posted a total return of about 13 per cent so far this year as oil and commodity prices have rebounded. Yields are currently in the 6 to 7 per cent range.

Credit spreads, or the difference between yields on high yield bonds and US Treasurys of similar duration, have narrowed in recent months. However, they are only slightly below their 20-year average, so high yield isn’t overvalued based on historical levels. In fact, we still expect spreads to grind tighter in the near term.

Based on our outlook, we think high yield could be attractive for income-seeking investors, although they should be prepared for some volatility and shouldn’t expect recent performance to repeat.

Fundamentals: The fundamentals remain adequately healthy to be supportive of high yield, given the current spreads.

Default rates: High-yield default rates rose to 3.6 per cent in the second quarter of 2016 versus the long-term average of 3.9 per cent. Default risk is highly concentrated in the energy and metals/mining sectors due to concerns about commodity prices. The rate would be about 0.5 per cent without those sectors. Despite the relative health of the remainder of the asset class, we believe default rates will rise due to existing levels of distress in commodity-driven sectors. Oil prices could also remain depressed in coming years.

Supply/demand: Demand has rebounded in 2016 with retail (mutual fund) demand accounting for about $10 billion year-to-date. The much larger institutional market is more difficult to track, but we see evidence of strong institutional demand for high yield, particularly overseas where government bond yields are low or negative. Meanwhile, supply was down 19 per cent in the first half of 2016 and we expect that trend to continue in the second half of the year.

In summary, rising defaults, geopolitical risks, and concerns over global growth and commodity prices may cause volatility to rise. Still, for long-term investors, overall solid fundamentals and the ongoing search for income are supportive of high yield bonds.

Kelley Baccei, high yield portfolio manager, Eaton Vance.