Retirement
Age pension to explode if super guarantee is ditched: ISA
Failing to lift the superannuation guarantee to 12 per cent will inflate Australia’s aged pension bill to $33 billion by 2058, and may lead to tax hikes to meet the bulging burden, new research has revealed.
Age pension to explode if super guarantee is ditched: ISA
Failing to lift the superannuation guarantee to 12 per cent will inflate Australia’s aged pension bill to $33 billion by 2058, and may lead to tax hikes to meet the bulging burden, new research has revealed.
ISA said modelling from Rice Warner has revealed the the age pension would have to make up for the delayed super guarantee increase, climbing billions each year to reach an extra $33.3 billion (in today’s dollars) by 2058.
“Dumping the legislated increase in the SG will unequivocally leave Australians with less private savings at retirement and more reliant on the publicly funded age pension,” Industry Super Australia’s deputy chief executive Matthew Linden said.
The ISA opined that this could lead to future governments needing to hike taxes to meet the potential bulging pension burden.
“Figures from the government’s own Retirement Income Review reveal ditching the increase would leave all income groups with lower lifetime disposable incomes,” it said.

“A plan to make the increases optional, forcing workers to pay for their own wage increase from their retirement savings, would also add $20,000 to the tax bill of an Australian couple on average earnings, because wages are taxed at a higher rate than super contributions.”
The ISA stated that today’s average-earning 30-year-old couple would still lose $160,000 in retirement income, even after the taxpayer had been forced to tip in an extra $83,000 from the pension.
“There is no free lunch. For every dollar taken out of super early, the taxpayer has to pay back even more in higher pension costs – that’s why if the government opts out of super, it opts in to higher taxes,” Mr Linden said.
They also stated a plan to make the increases optional, forcing workers to pay for their own wage increase from their retirement savings, and would also add $20,000 to the tax bill of an Australian couple on average earnings, because wages are taxed at a higher rate than super contributions.
But the increased pension costs surpass any additional tax revenue.
“This shortsighted policy will leave workers tens of thousands worse off and a huge pension bill that we will have to pay through higher taxes,” Mr Linden concluded.
About the author
About the author
Superannuation
Payday super reform hailed as transformative win for Australian workers
In a significant shift for Australia's retirement savings landscape, the introduction of the Payday Super regime on Wednesday, 1 July, marks a transformative change in how superannuation payments are ...Read more
Superannuation
Many Australians to miss out on EOFY super boost due to affordability and knowledge gaps
As the end of the financial year looms, a significant number of working Australians are poised to miss out on the chance to enhance their superannuation savings. A recent survey commissioned by global ...Read more
Superannuation
Aware Super restructures leadership as Ian Pendleton steps down
In a significant leadership reshuffle, Aware Super is bidding farewell to its long-serving Group Executive Legal and Company Secretary, Ian Pendleton, as he steps down from his executive role after 14 ...Read more
Superannuation
Half of Australians unaware of impending superannuation law change set to impact millions
In a surprising revelation, a recent study has highlighted a significant knowledge gap among Australian workers regarding a major superannuation reform set to affect over 1.2 million people from 1 ...Read more
Superannuation
Rest strengthens investment strategy with seasoned executive appointment
In a strategic move to bolster its investment strategy, Rest, one of Australia's largest profit-to-member superannuation funds, has appointed Andy Moser as the Head of CIO Office. This newly created ...Read more
Superannuation
NGS Super strengthens leadership with appointment of new Chief Member Officer
In a strategic move to bolster its member growth and experience transformation, NGS Super has appointed Adam Parsons as the new Chief Member Officer (CMO). Effective from 1 June 2026, Parsons will ...Read more
Superannuation
Aware Super triumphs at Chant West Super Fund Awards with top honours
In a significant achievement for Aware Super, the fund has clinched top honours at the Chant West Super Fund Awards, securing both the Super Fund of the Year and Pension Fund of the Year titlesRead more
Superannuation
NGS Super rolls out enhanced member advice services with a focus on accessibility
In a significant move to make financial advice more accessible, NGS Super has unveiled an enhanced suite of member advice services, featuring a new digital advice platform. This initiative aims to ...Read more
Superannuation
Payday super reform hailed as transformative win for Australian workers
In a significant shift for Australia's retirement savings landscape, the introduction of the Payday Super regime on Wednesday, 1 July, marks a transformative change in how superannuation payments are ...Read more
Superannuation
Many Australians to miss out on EOFY super boost due to affordability and knowledge gaps
As the end of the financial year looms, a significant number of working Australians are poised to miss out on the chance to enhance their superannuation savings. A recent survey commissioned by global ...Read more
Superannuation
Aware Super restructures leadership as Ian Pendleton steps down
In a significant leadership reshuffle, Aware Super is bidding farewell to its long-serving Group Executive Legal and Company Secretary, Ian Pendleton, as he steps down from his executive role after 14 ...Read more
Superannuation
Half of Australians unaware of impending superannuation law change set to impact millions
In a surprising revelation, a recent study has highlighted a significant knowledge gap among Australian workers regarding a major superannuation reform set to affect over 1.2 million people from 1 ...Read more
Superannuation
Rest strengthens investment strategy with seasoned executive appointment
In a strategic move to bolster its investment strategy, Rest, one of Australia's largest profit-to-member superannuation funds, has appointed Andy Moser as the Head of CIO Office. This newly created ...Read more
Superannuation
NGS Super strengthens leadership with appointment of new Chief Member Officer
In a strategic move to bolster its member growth and experience transformation, NGS Super has appointed Adam Parsons as the new Chief Member Officer (CMO). Effective from 1 June 2026, Parsons will ...Read more
Superannuation
Aware Super triumphs at Chant West Super Fund Awards with top honours
In a significant achievement for Aware Super, the fund has clinched top honours at the Chant West Super Fund Awards, securing both the Super Fund of the Year and Pension Fund of the Year titlesRead more
Superannuation
NGS Super rolls out enhanced member advice services with a focus on accessibility
In a significant move to make financial advice more accessible, NGS Super has unveiled an enhanced suite of member advice services, featuring a new digital advice platform. This initiative aims to ...Read more