Invest
Property market ‘shakeout’ predicted, amid oversupply
With the rate of construction soaring in recent years, Australian housing prices are predicted to feel the impact of an oversupply.
Property market ‘shakeout’ predicted, amid oversupply
With the rate of construction soaring in recent years, Australian housing prices are predicted to feel the impact of an oversupply.
HSBC chief economist Paul Bloxham says two Australian cities in particular are likely to feel the brunt of apartment oversupply.
“We do think there’s a bit of a shakeout to come in the apartment market in Brisbane and Melbourne where there’s evidence that there may be some oversupply in the coming years,” Mr Bloxham told nest.egg.com.au.
“More broadly, however, we’re not of the view that there’s going to be a house price decline in those cities. We think that’ll affect apartment prices but it won’t directly affect their house prices.”
Meanwhile, economist and senior fellow of think tank Per Capita, Stephen Koukoulas believes ramped up supply in Sydney and Melbourne could see house prices take a fall.
“We’re building an incredible amount of dwellings at the moment, apartments in particular, as well as houses so that undersupply that has dogged us previously is now being addressed. There’s no question that we’re going to have weakness in house prices but it’s difficult to work out how much,” Mr Koukoulas told nestegg.com.au.
“My educated guess based on supply and demand, and throwing in interest rates and these sorts of things is that we’re going to have house prices flat or down a few per cent. It’s a welcome change as it brings a bit of stability back into the overall housing market when we’ve had this incredible run up in prices.”
Mr Bloxham is more optimistic that price growth will continue to cool in Sydney and Melbourne without seeing a drop.
“Those housing markets are already cooling and while house prices are still growing, they have cooled down from their pace last year. That partly reflects tighter lending standards on the part of the financial sector, slowing down the pace of credit growth,” he said.
“More supply is coming to market as more and more apartments are being built, slowing down house prices to a degree. We think those two factors are likely to keep slowing house price growth over the coming year.
“We have price growth at single digits next year.”
RELATED ARTICLES
Property
Retirement communities: a pivotal element in meeting Australia's housing targets
The Retirement Living Council (RLC) has recommended that retirement communities should be considered a vital part in the Australian Government's initiative to fulfill the Housing Australia Future Fund ...Read more
Property
Australians adjust financial strategies amid changing property market dynamics
The 2023 calendar year saw Australian borrowers acquiring a total of $300.9 billion in new loans for property purchases, marking a 12.7% decrease from the previous year. Read more
Property
Split home loans unlocking doors for Aussie buyers
Australians are teaming up to dive into the real estate market and seize the advantages of home ownership, with the trend of split home loans surging as family and friends unite to buy properties ...Read more
Property
Real estate investment: Spotting high-growth potentials
Investing in real estate has long been a favoured approach for Australians looking to grow their wealth. Read more
Property
Granny flats become Aussie families' cost-effective solution to soaring living costs
As the cost of living skyrockets, a forward-thinking trend is sweeping across Australia – granny flats are becoming a favoured living arrangement for older Aussies seeking comfort and proximity to ...Read more
Property
Homebuyers grapple with extended savings period amid affordability crisis
Gone are the days when an Australian dream home seemed just within reach. The path to homeownership in Australia has extended by at least two arduous years, as revealed by the latest insights from ...Read more
Property
Hybrid development unlocks new potential for NDIS housing in metro hotspots
In a ground-breaking strategy aimed at addressing the stark imbalance between the location of Specialist Disability Accommodation (SDA) developments and the actual areas of demand, Aligned Disability ...Read more
Property
Property prices boosted by housing policies: RBA
The central bank has outlined the “pervasive” impact that policy has on property. Read more
Property
Retirement communities: a pivotal element in meeting Australia's housing targets
The Retirement Living Council (RLC) has recommended that retirement communities should be considered a vital part in the Australian Government's initiative to fulfill the Housing Australia Future Fund ...Read more
Property
Australians adjust financial strategies amid changing property market dynamics
The 2023 calendar year saw Australian borrowers acquiring a total of $300.9 billion in new loans for property purchases, marking a 12.7% decrease from the previous year. Read more
Property
Split home loans unlocking doors for Aussie buyers
Australians are teaming up to dive into the real estate market and seize the advantages of home ownership, with the trend of split home loans surging as family and friends unite to buy properties ...Read more
Property
Real estate investment: Spotting high-growth potentials
Investing in real estate has long been a favoured approach for Australians looking to grow their wealth. Read more
Property
Granny flats become Aussie families' cost-effective solution to soaring living costs
As the cost of living skyrockets, a forward-thinking trend is sweeping across Australia – granny flats are becoming a favoured living arrangement for older Aussies seeking comfort and proximity to ...Read more
Property
Homebuyers grapple with extended savings period amid affordability crisis
Gone are the days when an Australian dream home seemed just within reach. The path to homeownership in Australia has extended by at least two arduous years, as revealed by the latest insights from ...Read more
Property
Hybrid development unlocks new potential for NDIS housing in metro hotspots
In a ground-breaking strategy aimed at addressing the stark imbalance between the location of Specialist Disability Accommodation (SDA) developments and the actual areas of demand, Aligned Disability ...Read more
Property
Property prices boosted by housing policies: RBA
The central bank has outlined the “pervasive” impact that policy has on property. Read more
