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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ongoing NSW lockdown, the ins and outs of the COVID-19 Disaster Payments, and how Brisbane’s successful Olympics bid could impact equities and property.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the impact of the lockdowns on the property market, what the 2032 Olympics could mean for Brisbane’s market, and whether APRA might need to pull the handbrake to cool house price growth.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into how the Olympics and other major events affect stock returns and what the implications are for investors.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about the near-record super returns, the COVID-19 Disaster Payments and what they mean for your super.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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US businesses to survive 3 months due to health pandemic

By Lachlan Maddock

April 29 2020
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Invest

US businesses to survive 3 months due to health pandemic

By Lachlan Maddock
April 29 2020

American businesses can only survive the impacts of social distancing measures for another three months, with the economy unlikely to see a rapid return to its pre-pandemic state.

US businesses to survive 3 months due to health pandemic

By Lachlan Maddock

April 29 2020
Share

American businesses can only survive the impacts of social distancing measures for another three months, with the economy unlikely to see a rapid return to its pre-pandemic state.

If American businesses can go without profits and purchasing inputs, their cash reserves should be enough to see them through the economic shock of social distancing measures — but if lockdowns continue after that, it’s anybody’s guess.

“The COVID-19 outbreak has brought the US economy to a screeching halt as most states have issued social distancing guidelines, leading many businesses to sharply curtail operations, if not close down entirely,” said Wells Fargo acting chief economist Jay H. Bryson.

“If many parts of the country remain in a virtual state of lockdown for the foreseeable future, then many businesses will eventually run out of cash and they will be forced to close their doors for good.”

While businesses that were profitable prior to lockdowns have a decent chance of survival, owners may opt not to use their cash buffers if they believe the medium- to long-term prospects of profitability look grim and instead close their business down in order to reinvest in other opportunities.

“If this potential scenario were to occur on a large scale, then the pace of the post-pandemic economic recovery could be adversely affected until the cash resources are successfully redeployed in other business opportunities,” Mr Bryson said.

Cash reserves are also not evenly distributed among businesses, with many relying on measures put in place by the Small Business Administration and the Federal Reserve.

While those measures might protect some businesses, those that have already failed or will in the future won’t be resuming operations, with displaced workers likely to remain unemployed for some time.

“We look for the officially reported unemployment rate to skyrocket to more than 15 per cent in the near term and for it to remain higher than 6 per cent at the end of 2021,” Mr Bryson said.

“These lending programs may be able to keep many businesses afloat for some time, but they do not ensure that the economy returns to its pre-pandemic state in a quick fashion.”

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