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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ups and downs of online auctions, the power of activist short-sellers, and tax time 2021.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about online auctions and why they resemble “a bad Zoom meeting”, the growing resilience of the property market, and how Sydney’s lengthy lockdown could shake things up.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into short selling – the original trade that sent GameStop stock soaring – and how activist short-sellers are impacting markets.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about those early tax lodgers and possible ramifications, as well as detailing the temporary shortcut method, which you may be able to use this tax time.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Positive market signals not cause for complacency

By Reporter

August 10 2017
Share

Invest

Positive market signals not cause for complacency

By Reporter
August 10 2017

Markets have seen a number of positive developments in recent months but a global investment management firm has cautioned investors to nevertheless adopt a defensive approach to their portfolios.

Pimco, asset allocation, market outlook, defensive portfolio, risk off, investment risk, global markets

Positive market signals not cause for complacency

By Reporter

August 10 2017
Share

Markets have seen a number of positive developments in recent months but a global investment management firm has cautioned investors to nevertheless adopt a defensive approach to their portfolios.

Both equity and credit markets have enjoyed solid performance over the past few months as the global recovery continues and GDP growth is modest but sustainable, investment management firm Pimco noted in its mid-year asset allocation outlook.

Earnings for the first quarter of the year exceeded expectation and look to be on track for a strong second quarter as well, oil prices have remained relatively stable, and markets have been benign in their responses to major political events, the company said.

Despite this, Pimco said investors should take on a “defensive stance” and thoroughly consider the potential downside risks their portfolios face.

“However good the backdrop, one cannot help but notice that all these positive developments are widely discussed and well-known by most investors, and therefore already reflected in asset prices,” the company explained.

“As usual, markets will want more good news to fuel the rally, and this is where the problem lies – there aren’t any obvious catalysts on the near-term horizon to surprise markets in a good way.”

Pimco said its base case was that many of the known risks will “remain at bay”, but added that there were now too many risks on the horizon for them to be ignored.

Examples of these risks given by the company were “disappointing” inflation figures globally, the current US administration’s lack of progress in enacting tax reform, several central banks’ untested balance sheet reductions, and regulatory reforms in China.

“Balancing the risks against the backdrop of buoyant markets, it is a good time to pause and scan the horizon for new directions the markets may take,” Pimco said.

“The lack of near-term positive catalysts combined with the current valuations does not offer sufficient margin of safety to support a risk-on posture.”

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