Invest
Market fears surface as UK mulls ‘Brexit’
If the UK votes to leave the European Union on 23 June, the implications could include “a wave of exits” across Europe, according to one international fund manager.
Market fears surface as UK mulls ‘Brexit’
If the UK votes to leave the European Union on 23 June, the implications could include “a wave of exits” across Europe, according to one international fund manager.
In an article – Brexit unlikely, but what if? – Robeco Investment Solutions argued that although there are numerous “uncertainties” related to a Brexit, the potential for further exits would exist.
Robeco Investment Solutions' chief investment officer and report author, Lukas Daalder, said: “For Europe the biggest uncertainty is linked to potential speculation on the further disintegration of the eurozone itself."
The cost of a Brexit, he said, will also be linked to the way financial markets are able to cope with uncertainties. Mr Daalder said that although the euro will likely strengthen against the pound, it will weaken against the US dollar.
If the pound depreciates strongly, Mr Daalder said, the impact on inflation will be significant, with it possibly reaching the 5 per cent mark.
“The big question in such a scenario will be whether the Bank of England is willing to let this run its course, or will they feel the need to hike rates,” he said.
In the context of a depreciating currency, financial markets will be hard hit. UK stocks, Mr Daalder said, will likely enter a volatile trading environment as a result.
“This is the short-term outcome, with the pound as the main variable to keep an eye on; the more muted the response in the FX markets, the less extreme the ripple effect on the economy and other financial markets,” he said.
While there are numerous uncertainties surrounding a Brexit, however, Mr Daalder maintained that the chances remain slim.
The Netherlands-based asset manager currently puts the odds of a Brexit at 25 per cent.
"Many British citizens feel limited affection for the EU, but faced with the greater uncertainties surrounding a Brexit, when push comes to shove, we expect the majority to choose to maintain the status quo," Mr Daalder said.
RELATED ARTICLES
Stock market
Portfolio reviews as an operating discipline: turning volatility into a competitive edge
In a higher-rate, higher-volatility world, portfolio reviews are no longer an annual hygiene task; they’re a core operating rhythm that protects cash flow, unlocks tax alpha, and sharpens risk ...Read more
Stock market
Fee war on the ASX: Global X’s A300 turns up the heat on core Aussie equity ETFs
Global X has lobbed a 0.04% management fee into Australia’s core equity sandbox, launching the Australia 300 ETF (A300) to take on entrenched giants. Read more
Stock market
Challenger IM shakes up the ASX with private credit note and a side of risk
Challenger Investment Management has taken private credit mainstream with an ASX-listed note structure—LiFTs—that secured roughly $100 million in cornerstone commitments within a day of launch. Read more
Stock market
International stocks: Diversifying your portfolio beyond Australia
In an increasingly globalized market, Australian investors have the opportunity to enhance their investment portfolio by incorporating international stocks. Diversifying your investments globally can ...Read more
Stock market
Stock market rally likely to continue regardless of Fed minutes tone, says deVere CEO
The bull run that has propelled Wall Street's major indexes to record highs this month is expected to continue regardless of the tone of the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes, according to Nigel Green, ...Read more
Stock market
US stock rally driven more by valuation growth than earnings, leaving tech names vulnerable: Innova
The strong gains in US stocks over the past year, particularly in the technology sector, have been driven more by expanding valuations than underlying earnings growth, leaving them exposed to a ...Read more
Stock market
Sun Silver to make its ASX debut with a $13 million IPO
Sun Silver Limited (proposed ASX Code: "SS1") has announced the opening of its Initial Public Offering (IPO) today, aiming to raise a minimum of $10 million and a maximum of $13 million (before costs)Read more
Stock market
Nasdaq hits record high, underscores the value of tech in investment portfolios
The Nasdaq Composite's surge to an all-time high last Friday highlights the importance of incorporating technology into investment strategies. Read more
Stock market
Portfolio reviews as an operating discipline: turning volatility into a competitive edge
In a higher-rate, higher-volatility world, portfolio reviews are no longer an annual hygiene task; they’re a core operating rhythm that protects cash flow, unlocks tax alpha, and sharpens risk ...Read more
Stock market
Fee war on the ASX: Global X’s A300 turns up the heat on core Aussie equity ETFs
Global X has lobbed a 0.04% management fee into Australia’s core equity sandbox, launching the Australia 300 ETF (A300) to take on entrenched giants. Read more
Stock market
Challenger IM shakes up the ASX with private credit note and a side of risk
Challenger Investment Management has taken private credit mainstream with an ASX-listed note structure—LiFTs—that secured roughly $100 million in cornerstone commitments within a day of launch. Read more
Stock market
International stocks: Diversifying your portfolio beyond Australia
In an increasingly globalized market, Australian investors have the opportunity to enhance their investment portfolio by incorporating international stocks. Diversifying your investments globally can ...Read more
Stock market
Stock market rally likely to continue regardless of Fed minutes tone, says deVere CEO
The bull run that has propelled Wall Street's major indexes to record highs this month is expected to continue regardless of the tone of the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes, according to Nigel Green, ...Read more
Stock market
US stock rally driven more by valuation growth than earnings, leaving tech names vulnerable: Innova
The strong gains in US stocks over the past year, particularly in the technology sector, have been driven more by expanding valuations than underlying earnings growth, leaving them exposed to a ...Read more
Stock market
Sun Silver to make its ASX debut with a $13 million IPO
Sun Silver Limited (proposed ASX Code: "SS1") has announced the opening of its Initial Public Offering (IPO) today, aiming to raise a minimum of $10 million and a maximum of $13 million (before costs)Read more
Stock market
Nasdaq hits record high, underscores the value of tech in investment portfolios
The Nasdaq Composite's surge to an all-time high last Friday highlights the importance of incorporating technology into investment strategies. Read more
