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In this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja checks in with our three experts to discuss this week’s biggest conversations about super, property and investment.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, talks about the current market and its growth prospects, hinting at a “revenge spend” period post-lockdown. Could property prices really inflate by a further 20 per cent?

Meanwhile, RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about the earning season and dividends, delving into how companies decide distribution policy. Find out what is happening in the recent dividend announcements.

Last but not least, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks us through the results of APRA’s inaugural super test and how engaged members should really be with their super. Timothy also touches on the super splitting law and what it means for relationship breakdowns.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured in the next episode.

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Excitement is fading: What to watch as the post-election shine wears off

By Cameron Micallef

July 08 2019
Share

Invest

Excitement is fading: What to watch as the post-election shine wears off

By Cameron Micallef
July 08 2019

Investors should be cautious in the near future as strong Australian equity markets are being offset by a fragile housing market, subdued domestic growth and a rise in barriers to trade.

Excitement is fading: What to watch as the post-election shine wears off

By Cameron Micallef

July 08 2019
Share

Investors should be cautious in the near future as strong Australian equity markets are being offset by a fragile housing market, subdued domestic growth and a rise in barriers to trade.

A report released by investment manager T.Rowe Price references marco forces, local politics and shifting monetary expectations as dominant forces in the Australian equity market in recent days.

Head of Australian equities and portfolio manager for T. Rowe Price’s Australia Equity Strategy, Randal Jenneke, believes the recent bounce post election will only be for the short term.

“As the excitement fades, the market’s focus is expected to return to more fundamental factors, such as the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the US and China and domestic housing weakness,” he said.

The big factors at play

Mr Jenneke believes concerns of a trade war will continue to dominate the short term, with potential long-term implications.

“The real danger we see is global trade grinding to a halt, which would have very serious consequences for Australia and global markets,” said Mr Jenneke.

“Companies are already responding by reducing inventories and capex plans, with adverse consequences for GDP growth and employment, all at a very inopportune time given the global economy is considerably less robust today than 12 months ago,” said Mr Jenneke.

Housing market push

With two rate cuts in consecutive months and APRA easing the rate that bank uses for stress testing mortgages, domestic support for the housing market should mean Australia’s housing market hits the bottom sooner.

“We believe the monetary authorities are trying to put a floor under growth, and to succeed in that, you first have to put a floor under housing. While RBA easing removes the tail risks from the housing market, it does not mean the economy is back off to the races,” said Mr Jenneke.

Key opportunities

As the market reacts heavily to perceived bad news, T.Rowe Price believes it’s an opportunity to buy select, high-quality defensive names.

“Volatility provides an opportunity for longer-term investors, according to Mr Jenneke. The volatility has enabled us to significantly increase the highest quality component of our portfolio – stocks that typically have strong balance sheets, excellent profitability and strong earnings growth,” he said.

Mr Jenneke believes the healthcare sector in Australia remains a strong sector to invest in with less threat of competition, market consolidation and stable business models providing growth.

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About the author

Cameron Micallef

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg and Smart Property Investment. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leverage their insights to grow your portfolio.

About the author

Cameron Micallef

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