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In this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja checks in with our three experts to discuss this week’s biggest conversations about super, property and investment.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, talks about the current market and its growth prospects, hinting at a “revenge spend” period post-lockdown. Could property prices really inflate by a further 20 per cent?

Meanwhile, RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about the earning season and dividends, delving into how companies decide distribution policy. Find out what is happening in the recent dividend announcements.

Last but not least, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks us through the results of APRA’s inaugural super test and how engaged members should really be with their super. Timothy also touches on the super splitting law and what it means for relationship breakdowns.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured in the next episode.

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How a Democrats sweep could benefit the Australian market

By Cameron Micallef

November 04 2020
Share

Invest

How a Democrats sweep could benefit the Australian market

By Cameron Micallef
November 04 2020

As Americans go to the polls, a Biden victory could help Australia’s sharemarket, an investment bank has revealed.

How a Democrats sweep could benefit the Australian market

By Cameron Micallef

November 04 2020
Share

As Americans go to the polls, a Biden victory could help Australia’s sharemarket, an investment bank has revealed.

Investment banking group UBS believes a “blue wave” where the Democrats retake the White House and Senate while maintaining control of the House of Representatives could see Australia benefit from a stronger US economy.

“In this election, we think a Democratic sweep would likely be most positive for Australian equities,” UBS economist George Tharenou said.

Australia is likely to benefit both directly and indirectly under the assumption that Biden wins and can pass through his legislative plans.

“Australia could benefit from stronger US economic growth under a Democratic sweep, particularly given the higher weight to cyclicals,” Mr Tharenou said.

“Furthermore, while higher tax rates in the US could drag on S&P 500 EPS, it would make Australian equities a relatively more attractive place to invest.”

The investment bank pointed out that regardless of the winner, a US election inflates Australian asset prices.

“We conducted an event study to see how our market has historically performed around different US election outcomes. Since 1992, we found that the ASX 200 has on average rallied 6.9 per cent in the three months after the US election,” Mr Tharenou told investors.

Focus on long-term fundamentals

American Century Investments’ multi-asset strategies CIO, Rich Weiss, has urged investors to focus on the long-term fundamentals of businesses over who is in the White House.

“Just as it’s not appropriate or polite to inject politics or religion into your dinner conversation, we suggest you don’t inject either into your investment allocation and investment portfolio,” Mr Weiss said.

“Your investment portfolio should be based on longer-term expectations of your particular income needs and desire for growth etc, not determined by who’s going to be in the White House.”

He pointed out that not only does an investor need to get it right, they also need to assume the candidate can pass policy.

“Aside from that, even if your bet on the election is correct, the person you think is going to be in the White House is elected, you’re also betting on the fact that they will enact successfully the policies that they proposed they would, and that the market hasn’t already discounted that fact into market prices,” he said.

“And so it’s effectively a three-part bet, what’s known as a parlay in the jargon of gambling, and they’re notoriously difficult to get right.

“So again, we would suggest not using your investment portfolio as a way of gambling on politics.”

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About the author

Cameron Micallef

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg and Smart Property Investment. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leverage their insights to grow your portfolio.

About the author

Cameron Micallef

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