Invest
Calls for calm amidst bear market panic
Investors are being told they should not fear a repeat of the GFC, despite the Australian share market officially entering 'bear market' territory last week.
Calls for calm amidst bear market panic
Investors are being told they should not fear a repeat of the GFC, despite the Australian share market officially entering 'bear market' territory last week.
The Australian share market is down more than 20 per cent since its highs in March 2015, and Chinese shares are off 49 per cent from their highs.
The current state of the market is in some ways "reminiscent of 2008 with tightening credit markets [and] bank shares under pressure”, said AMP Capital’s chief economic economist Shane Oliver.
But amid the carnage, there is reason for optimism, according to Dr Oliver.
"Another GFC-style credit and banking crisis is unlikely," he said. "Banks in the US, Europe and Australia are better capitalised now."
He added: "US and European bank exposure to energy loans at around 2-4 per cent of total assets is a fraction of their exposure to housing loans, which were at the centre of the GFC."
In addition, new restrictions on proprietary trading have limited banks’ exposure to riskier corporate debt, Dr Oliver said.
"The issues of low transparency and complexity that plagued the subprime mortgage market are not really an issue in corporate debt markets now," he said.
"So far we are not seeing any blow-out in inter-bank lending rates relative to official interest rates in contrast to what we saw in 2007-2008 as bank funding costs soared."
He added: "Similarly, we remain of the view that a US [driven] global recession is unlikely, albeit with a 25 per cent probability."
RELATED ARTICLES
Stock market
International stocks: Diversifying your portfolio beyond Australia
In an increasingly globalized market, Australian investors have the opportunity to enhance their investment portfolio by incorporating international stocks. Diversifying your investments globally can ...Read more
Stock market
Stock market rally likely to continue regardless of Fed minutes tone, says deVere CEO
The bull run that has propelled Wall Street's major indexes to record highs this month is expected to continue regardless of the tone of the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes, according to Nigel Green, ...Read more
Stock market
US stock rally driven more by valuation growth than earnings, leaving tech names vulnerable: Innova
The strong gains in US stocks over the past year, particularly in the technology sector, have been driven more by expanding valuations than underlying earnings growth, leaving them exposed to a ...Read more
Stock market
Sun Silver to make its ASX debut with a $13 million IPO
Sun Silver Limited (proposed ASX Code: "SS1") has announced the opening of its Initial Public Offering (IPO) today, aiming to raise a minimum of $10 million and a maximum of $13 million (before costs)Read more
Stock market
Nasdaq hits record high, underscores the value of tech in investment portfolios
The Nasdaq Composite's surge to an all-time high last Friday highlights the importance of incorporating technology into investment strategies. Read more
Stock market
Apple sets an unprecedented profit pace within the GAFAM group in 2023
After navigating through the economic difficulties presented in 2022, the technology sector has demonstrated resilience and growth, with many companies seeing increases in revenue and stock value. Read more
Stock market
Fintech startup okoora unlocks over $3 billion in forex savings for businesses
Fintech innovator okoora has announced it has saved customers a monumental amount over $3 billion through international foreign exchange transactions. Read more
Stock market
Google's Gemini edges out ChatGPT4 in groundbreaking AI showdown
Google's latest AI model, Gemini, has edged out OpenAI's ChatGPT4 in a recent set of rigorous multi-discipline tests, marking a significant milestone in the large language model (LLM) sector. Read more
Stock market
International stocks: Diversifying your portfolio beyond Australia
In an increasingly globalized market, Australian investors have the opportunity to enhance their investment portfolio by incorporating international stocks. Diversifying your investments globally can ...Read more
Stock market
Stock market rally likely to continue regardless of Fed minutes tone, says deVere CEO
The bull run that has propelled Wall Street's major indexes to record highs this month is expected to continue regardless of the tone of the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes, according to Nigel Green, ...Read more
Stock market
US stock rally driven more by valuation growth than earnings, leaving tech names vulnerable: Innova
The strong gains in US stocks over the past year, particularly in the technology sector, have been driven more by expanding valuations than underlying earnings growth, leaving them exposed to a ...Read more
Stock market
Sun Silver to make its ASX debut with a $13 million IPO
Sun Silver Limited (proposed ASX Code: "SS1") has announced the opening of its Initial Public Offering (IPO) today, aiming to raise a minimum of $10 million and a maximum of $13 million (before costs)Read more
Stock market
Nasdaq hits record high, underscores the value of tech in investment portfolios
The Nasdaq Composite's surge to an all-time high last Friday highlights the importance of incorporating technology into investment strategies. Read more
Stock market
Apple sets an unprecedented profit pace within the GAFAM group in 2023
After navigating through the economic difficulties presented in 2022, the technology sector has demonstrated resilience and growth, with many companies seeing increases in revenue and stock value. Read more
Stock market
Fintech startup okoora unlocks over $3 billion in forex savings for businesses
Fintech innovator okoora has announced it has saved customers a monumental amount over $3 billion through international foreign exchange transactions. Read more
Stock market
Google's Gemini edges out ChatGPT4 in groundbreaking AI showdown
Google's latest AI model, Gemini, has edged out OpenAI's ChatGPT4 in a recent set of rigorous multi-discipline tests, marking a significant milestone in the large language model (LLM) sector. Read more
