Invest
What slowing house prices could mean for investors
Many Australian investors have benefited immensely from growth in the value of their house, but the current economic environment could see those gains tempered in the coming years, two global investment managers have cautioned.
What slowing house prices could mean for investors
Many Australian investors have benefited immensely from growth in the value of their house, but the current economic environment could see those gains tempered in the coming years, two global investment managers have cautioned.
In the three months leading to July 2017, house prices in Sydney and Melbourne climbed 2.2 and 4.1 per cent respectively, with the number of properties bought at auctions settling in the mid-70 per cent range, according to Jonathan Mott, an analyst with UBS.
While these figures suggest a degree of resilience in the market, Mr Mott noted there had been a “moderate” slowdown already and reiterated UBS’s stance that Australia’s housing market has reached its top.
Diana Mousina, an economist at AMP Capital, shares Mr Mott’s opinion that housing price growth will slow in the coming years as “new supply flows into the market, mortgage rate hikes start to bite, affordability pressures build and sentiment towards housing turns more negative”.
This poses a risk for many Australians, as the skyrocketing housing prices have helped home owners build their wealth and given them more confidence to dip into their savings to make purchases and spend more freely, Ms Mousina said.
Ms Mousina expects national house prices will decline between 5 and 10 per cent at some point in the next two years, which will likely reduce the amount of consumer spending within the Australian economy.
RELATED ARTICLES
Property
Australian property’s quiet pivot: resilience hides a new competitive map
Australia’s housing market remains sturdier than the macro noise suggests, but the sources of resilience have shifted. For operators, the profit pool is migrating from ‘volume at any price’ to ...Read more
Property
Gen Z’s 5% deposit rush: how policy‑driven demand is reshaping Australia’s housing value chain
A government-backed 5% deposit guarantee has triggered a surge in first-home buyer intent among Gen Z, pulling forward demand and resetting competition across banks, brokers and buildersRead more
Property
Cautious bidders, smarter sellers: a Queensland auction case study on repricing risk
Queensland’s auction market has hit a caution cycle as buyers price in higher borrowing costs, global uncertainty and cost-of-living pressure. Clearance softness is forcing agencies to re-engineer ...Read more
Property
Trust, technology and triage: what NSW’s ‘name and shame’ signals for real estate governance
NSW’s latest enforcement action on real estate trust accounts isn’t a one-off embarrassment; it’s a stress test of sector governance. With licences suspended and penalties applied, the message is ...Read more
Property
Vacancy is rising, demand is resilient: A case study in defending yield as Australia’s rental cycle rebalances
After a blistering run, Australia’s rental market is loosening at the edges. Vacancy is edging up off historic lows, rent inflation is set to moderate into 2026, yet underlying demand remains ...Read more
Property
Don’t lose the deposit: A case study in stopping real estate payment fraud — and the ROI for doing it
Deposit redirection scams are quietly eroding buyer savings and agency reputations in Australia’s property market. This case study unpacks how a mid-tier real estate group redesigned its settlement ...Read more
Property
The $12m threshold: Why portfolio value, not property count, now defines Australia’s investor elite
The old yardstick of six properties as shorthand for investment success has been overtaken by a harsher reality: in today’s market, elite status is defined by balance-sheet strength, not asset countRead more
Property
From intuition to instrumentation: How a "two-stakeholder" sales playbook lifted close rates and cut cycle times
High-stakes consumer purchases are increasingly joint decisions. When one partner is under-served, deals stall. This case study follows an Australian real estate group that rebuilt its sales motion ...Read more
Property
Australian property’s quiet pivot: resilience hides a new competitive map
Australia’s housing market remains sturdier than the macro noise suggests, but the sources of resilience have shifted. For operators, the profit pool is migrating from ‘volume at any price’ to ...Read more
Property
Gen Z’s 5% deposit rush: how policy‑driven demand is reshaping Australia’s housing value chain
A government-backed 5% deposit guarantee has triggered a surge in first-home buyer intent among Gen Z, pulling forward demand and resetting competition across banks, brokers and buildersRead more
Property
Cautious bidders, smarter sellers: a Queensland auction case study on repricing risk
Queensland’s auction market has hit a caution cycle as buyers price in higher borrowing costs, global uncertainty and cost-of-living pressure. Clearance softness is forcing agencies to re-engineer ...Read more
Property
Trust, technology and triage: what NSW’s ‘name and shame’ signals for real estate governance
NSW’s latest enforcement action on real estate trust accounts isn’t a one-off embarrassment; it’s a stress test of sector governance. With licences suspended and penalties applied, the message is ...Read more
Property
Vacancy is rising, demand is resilient: A case study in defending yield as Australia’s rental cycle rebalances
After a blistering run, Australia’s rental market is loosening at the edges. Vacancy is edging up off historic lows, rent inflation is set to moderate into 2026, yet underlying demand remains ...Read more
Property
Don’t lose the deposit: A case study in stopping real estate payment fraud — and the ROI for doing it
Deposit redirection scams are quietly eroding buyer savings and agency reputations in Australia’s property market. This case study unpacks how a mid-tier real estate group redesigned its settlement ...Read more
Property
The $12m threshold: Why portfolio value, not property count, now defines Australia’s investor elite
The old yardstick of six properties as shorthand for investment success has been overtaken by a harsher reality: in today’s market, elite status is defined by balance-sheet strength, not asset countRead more
Property
From intuition to instrumentation: How a "two-stakeholder" sales playbook lifted close rates and cut cycle times
High-stakes consumer purchases are increasingly joint decisions. When one partner is under-served, deals stall. This case study follows an Australian real estate group that rebuilt its sales motion ...Read more
