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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ongoing NSW lockdown, the ins and outs of the COVID-19 Disaster Payments, and how Brisbane’s successful Olympics bid could impact equities and property.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the impact of the lockdowns on the property market, what the 2032 Olympics could mean for Brisbane’s market, and whether APRA might need to pull the handbrake to cool house price growth.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into how the Olympics and other major events affect stock returns and what the implications are for investors.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about the near-record super returns, the COVID-19 Disaster Payments and what they mean for your super.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Further signs surface of housing market ‘losing steam’

By Staff reporter

March 10 2016
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Invest

Further signs surface of housing market ‘losing steam’

By Staff reporter
March 10 2016

Fresh research from BIS Shrapnel has pointed to the winding down of the latest Australian property boom, with some significant falls ahead for investors to be wary of.

signs surface housing market losing steam

Further signs surface of housing market ‘losing steam’

By Staff reporter

March 10 2016
Share

Fresh research from BIS Shrapnel has pointed to the winding down of the latest Australian property boom, with some significant falls ahead for investors to be wary of.

According to BIS Shrapnel’s March 2016 Building Industry Prospects report, it is expected that residential building activity will peak during this financial year, based off new approval figures and other “leading” market indicators.

“The growth of the Australian residential building market has been unprecedented, driven primarily by low interest rates and a dominate investor presence,” the report stated.

“Residential building activity has broken records but this impressive performance cannot last.”

Cash rates remaining at record lows has sustained the latest property boom, BIS Shrapnel noted, taking residential building activity to a record high in the year to September 2015 of 215,053 commencements.

“The current building boom is in a mature phase. Whilst interest rates are not expected to change in the next two years there is little scope for the current low rates to further boost housing demand since home prices are at breaking point. This boom is characterised by price rises which helped to attract investors,” the report stated.

While stock deficiencies remain across the major centres of Sydney, south-east Queensland and Western Australia, BIS Shrapnel believes most other cities will reach an oversupply in stock and the market will attempt to correct itself.

“By the end of 2016 the peak of Australia’s building cycle will be reached, with some states already showing signs,” the report stated.

“With the RBA expected to hold interest rates at or below two per cent over the forecast period, the housing market will eventually lose steam. We are forecasting slight growth in 2015-16 of two per cent to take national dwelling commencements to a new all-time peak of 218,800," BIS Shrapnel also said.

“From this great height we expect activity to fall by 14 per cent to 187,150 new dwelling starts in 2016-17, falling almost as fast at the cycle rose.”

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