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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ongoing NSW lockdown, the ins and outs of the COVID-19 Disaster Payments, and how Brisbane’s successful Olympics bid could impact equities and property.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the impact of the lockdowns on the property market, what the 2032 Olympics could mean for Brisbane’s market, and whether APRA might need to pull the handbrake to cool house price growth.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into how the Olympics and other major events affect stock returns and what the implications are for investors.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about the near-record super returns, the COVID-19 Disaster Payments and what they mean for your super.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Regulation is ‘squeezing’ property investors out

By Lucy Dean

April 06 2018
Share

Invest

Regulation is ‘squeezing’ property investors out

By Lucy Dean
April 06 2018

Tightened lending requirements have pushed investors out of the property market, which has in turn triggered the price growth slowdown, according to new analysis.

Lending requirements, price growth slowdown

Regulation is ‘squeezing’ property investors out

By Lucy Dean

April 06 2018
Share

Tightened lending requirements have pushed investors out of the property market, which has in turn triggered the price growth slowdown, according to new analysis.

According to ANZ’s latest report, Australian Housing Update – Gliding to a soft landing, the stricter lending rules put in place by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) have “driven investors out of the housing market”.

Last year, APRA called on lenders to limit interest-only loans to within 30 per cent of their loan books, building on December 2014 laws requiring lenders keep investor growth to within a 10 per cent benchmark.

While APRA has flagged that it will remove the 10 per cent benchmark “sooner rather than later”, the 30 per cent interest-only limit is unlikely to be removed as soon.

In its report, however, ANZ was firm that APRA’s changes have had the effect of “squeezing” investors from the market.

“To a large extent they are being replaced by first home buyers, who are enjoying stamp duty discounts in New South Wales and Victoria,” the report’s authors, Daniel Gradwell and Joanne Masters, said.

At the same time, they warned that the subdued investor activity has “translated into a slowdown in price growth”.

This slowdown, nonetheless, was in line with ANZ’s expectations, with the authors predicting that most of the slowdown has already occurred.

“APRA’s regulatory tightening, first on investor borrowing then on interest-only loans, was always expected to take some demand out of the market and slow price growth,” they said.

“We retain our view that prices will not materially decline. Over the near term, auction results in Sydney and Melbourne suggest that the majority of the price growth adjustment is behind us.”

However, while the economists consider the housing sector to be free of any “clear signs of stress”, they are not as sanguine as the Reserve Bank of Australia, given continued credit growth outstripping income growth.

“It’s not all plain sailing. Financial stability remains a medium term concern, although there are yet to be any notable signs of distress and the recent slowdown in house price growth is encouraging. Nonetheless, we remain cautious given that credit growth continues to outstrip income growth,” the authors said.

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