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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ongoing NSW lockdown, the ins and outs of the COVID-19 Disaster Payments, and how Brisbane’s successful Olympics bid could impact equities and property.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the impact of the lockdowns on the property market, what the 2032 Olympics could mean for Brisbane’s market, and whether APRA might need to pull the handbrake to cool house price growth.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into how the Olympics and other major events affect stock returns and what the implications are for investors.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about the near-record super returns, the COVID-19 Disaster Payments and what they mean for your super.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Five reasons Australia’s growth is likely to improve

By Reporter

September 09 2017
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Invest

Five reasons Australia’s growth is likely to improve

By Reporter
September 09 2017

While there are a number of investment risks on the horizon, an economist has pointed to five factors likely to help drive a pick-up in Australia’s economic growth.

Shane Oliver, AMP Capital, economic growth, recession, mining investment, non-mining, retirement planning, retirement savings, wealth management

Five reasons Australia’s growth is likely to improve

By Reporter

September 09 2017
Share

While there are a number of investment risks on the horizon, an economist has pointed to five factors likely to help drive a pick-up in Australia’s economic growth.

Australia presently faces a number of challenges to its economy, according to Shane Oliver – the chief economist at financial services firm AMP Capital.

These threats, Mr Oliver notes, include a slowdown in housing construction, constrained consumer spending and low wage growth, falling mining investment, an expensive Australian dollar, low inflation, and the possibility of a housing price crash (though Mr Oliver says this is unlikely to materialise).

Despite this, Mr Oliver said there are five key reasons investors can expect growth to improve in the coming 12 months.

The growth drag caused by reduced mining investment is almost over

According to Mr Oliver, mining investment in Australia reached its peak “at nearly 7 per cent of gross domestic product nearly four years ago”, and has seen a steady decline since then.

Presently, it stands at only 2 per cent of GDP, and the reduction of its weight in the economy means the impact of falling mining investment has also been lessened.

A rise in non-mining investment is on the cards

Corporate investment plans for the coming year suggest a fall in business investment of around 3.5 per cent, however Mr Oliver notes this is “the best it’s been since 2013”.

Additionally, once mining investment is factored out of these plans, “this turns into an 8 per cent gain for non-mining investment,” he said.

There’s a strong increase in public investment.

In the last 12 months, public investment grew 14.7 per cent, which Mr Oliver said reflects state infrastructure spending.

Net exports will continue adding to growth

The completion of several resource projects will increase mining and energy exports, Mr Oliver said, and other service-based sectors (such as tourism) continue to look strong.

Company profits appear to be rising

Company profits have seen falls in both of the last two years, Mr Oliver said, but these now appear to be on the rise once more.

“This is a positive for investment and the flow of dividends helps household incomes,” he said.

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