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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ongoing NSW lockdown, the ins and outs of the COVID-19 Disaster Payments, and how Brisbane’s successful Olympics bid could impact equities and property.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the impact of the lockdowns on the property market, what the 2032 Olympics could mean for Brisbane’s market, and whether APRA might need to pull the handbrake to cool house price growth.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into how the Olympics and other major events affect stock returns and what the implications are for investors.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about the near-record super returns, the COVID-19 Disaster Payments and what they mean for your super.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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RBA warns on mounting property market risk

By Staff Reporter

February 23 2016
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Invest

RBA warns on mounting property market risk

By Staff Reporter
February 23 2016

Investors are being cautioned on the increasing risk in one real estate market, as prices rise ahead of rents and vacancy rates continue to climb.

RBA warns on mounting property market risk

By Staff Reporter

February 23 2016
Share

Investors are being cautioned on the increasing risk in one real estate market, as prices rise ahead of rents and vacancy rates continue to climb.

Addressing the Australian Shareholders Association (ASA) Investor Forum in Sydney last week, RBA assistant governor Malcolm Edey spoke about regulatory measures taken last year to mitigate risks in the housing market, highlighting the economic risks posed by commercial property.

“The second main area of risk focus domestically has been in commercial property,” Mr Edey said, adding that historically this sector has been a common source of financial instability both here and abroad.

“During the height of the GFC, Australian banks remained in comparatively good shape but they did suffer a noticeable deterioration in asset performance, with the aggregate non-performance rate rising to just under two per cent of loans,” he said.

“A significant part of that deterioration was in their commercial property lending. Impaired commercial property exposures accounted for around 30 per cent of Australian banks' non-performing domestic assets at that time.”

Mr Edey warned that the commercial property sector is again experiencing strong investor demand and bank lending to the sector is increasing.

“However, there are a number of emerging signs of increasing risk,” he said.

“Trends in commercial property prices and rents have been diverging over the past few years, with prices continuing to rise while rents have been flat to down. As a result, yields have declined. At the same time, vacancy rates have been increasing.”

As in the housing market, conditions in the commercial property sector have not been uniform across the country, and they have been noticeably firmer in Sydney and Melbourne than in other cities, Mr Edey noted.

“But the major commercial property markets have all seen downward pressure on yields over recent years,” he said.

“Strong demand from foreign buyers has contributed to this, reflecting the global environment of low interest rates and ‘search for yield’.”

Mr Edey said that while “the risks appear manageable at this stage”, they underscore the need for sound lending practices and for appropriate prudence by investors.

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