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In this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja checks in with our three experts to discuss this week’s biggest conversations about super, property and investment.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, talks about the current market and its growth prospects, hinting at a “revenge spend” period post-lockdown. Could property prices really inflate by a further 20 per cent?

Meanwhile, RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about the earning season and dividends, delving into how companies decide distribution policy. Find out what is happening in the recent dividend announcements.

Last but not least, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks us through the results of APRA’s inaugural super test and how engaged members should really be with their super. Timothy also touches on the super splitting law and what it means for relationship breakdowns.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured in the next episode.

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Property is softening, this could make it worse

By Lucy Dean

July 02 2018
Share

Invest

Property is softening, this could make it worse

By Lucy Dean
July 02 2018

June marked the ninth consecutive month of falling dwelling values but political risks and funding pressures could exacerbate the situation, a property research firm has warned.

Property is softening, this could make it worse

By Lucy Dean

July 02 2018
Share

June marked the ninth consecutive month of falling dwelling values but political risks and funding pressures could exacerbate the situation, a property research firm has warned.

According to CoreLogic’s figures for June, Australian national dwelling values fell 0.2 per cent over the month and 0.8 per cent over the year.

It denotes the ninth month in a row to have a month-on-month fall in values.

CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless said the softening can be attributed to tighter finance conditions and lesser investment activity, while forecasting little respite for the rest of 2018.

“With lenders now focusing more on overall debt to income ratios and household living expenses, housing markets where prices are high relative to incomes could see less activity as prospective buyers find their borrowing capacity reduced,” he said.

“Additionally, with the federal election campaign imminent, we could see investor confidence impacted further if changes to taxation polices related to investment housing are debated.”

Despite predictions that the official cash rate will stay on hold until late 2019, Mr Lawless said lenders could raise mortgage rates regardless as higher international funding costs take effect.

“Smaller banks and non-banks have more exposure to international funding costs, which has seen some of these lenders start to lift their mortgage rates,” he said.

“Should widespread increases to the cost of debt occur, we would expect this could place additional downward pressure on housing market conditions.

“A weaker housing sector would likely show a flow on effect to economic conditions, creating some drag on consumer spending and dwelling construction and creating challenges for those industries that are at least partially reliant on housing turnover.”

Sydney and Melbourne, the cities with the highest volumes of investor activity, have seen the most substantial falls in housing demand. While a “surge” in broader first home buyer activity across those states is mitigating this to some degree, activity in this segment has also continued to soften since November.

However, Mr Lawless urged perspective, noting that national dwelling values are still 32.4 per cent higher than five year ago.

“This highlights the wealth creation that many home owners have experienced over the recent growth phase, but also the fact that recent home buyers could be facing negative equity,” he said.

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