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In this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja checks in with our three experts to discuss this week’s biggest conversations about super, property and investment.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, talks about the current market and its growth prospects, hinting at a “revenge spend” period post-lockdown. Could property prices really inflate by a further 20 per cent?

Meanwhile, RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about the earning season and dividends, delving into how companies decide distribution policy. Find out what is happening in the recent dividend announcements.

Last but not least, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks us through the results of APRA’s inaugural super test and how engaged members should really be with their super. Timothy also touches on the super splitting law and what it means for relationship breakdowns.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured in the next episode.

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Could property prices inflate by another 20%? What’s happening in recent divid...

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No reason to fear recession, say economists

By Lucy Dean

September 09 2017
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Invest

No reason to fear recession, say economists

By Lucy Dean
September 09 2017

Australian investors shouldn’t be afraid of a recession in the near future as there’s “no risk” of a recession “while ever we remember the last one”, according to a global advisory firm.

Recession, BIS Oxford economics, Frank Gelber, Richard Robinson, wealth management, retirement savings, retirement planning

No reason to fear recession, say economists

By Lucy Dean

September 09 2017
Share

Australian investors shouldn’t be afraid of a recession in the near future as there’s “no risk” of a recession “while ever we remember the last one”, according to a global advisory firm.

Dr Frank Gelber, the chief economist at BIS Oxford Economics, said in the company’s Long-Term Forecasts 2017–2032 report that a fall in residential building will see gross domestic product (GDP) growth average at 2.6 per cent over the coming three years.

The agency pointed out that the figure is “only marginally better” than the five-year average of 2.4 per cent, however despite this slow growth there is “no risk of recession”.

“Some commentators are petrified of another financial crisis — forget that,” Mr Gelber said, together with senior economist at BIS Oxford Economics Richard Robinson.

“We will not have one while ever we remember the last one. Certainly, there will be cyclical swings with financial impacts. But investment markets are not out of control. We will have to wait a long time for the buoyant conditions that would cause another financial crisis.”

The economists said that “solid but unspectacular” household consumption, weak wage, employment growth and reduced savings ratios were examples of the “mainstays of growth” which “remain in place”.

“Low inflation, weak wages growth and a soft labour market means there will be no rate rises for the next two to three years,” Mr Robinson said.

“As US rates rise and narrow the rate differential, there will be downward pressure on the Australian dollar, offsetting the modest recovery in commodity prices over the medium term. We expect the dollar to fall back from current high levels and average around US 74 cents over the next four years.”

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