Invest
Another house price surge predicted in hot markets
Despite many suggesting that property prices in Sydney and Melbourne will mellow over the next twelve months, one economist says we should be expecting more growth instead.
Another house price surge predicted in hot markets
Despite many suggesting that property prices in Sydney and Melbourne will mellow over the next twelve months, one economist says we should be expecting more growth instead.
With Sydney house prices doubling since the GFC and Melbourne not too far behind, many remain doubtful that such growth is sustainable.
There is one dissenting voice however. ABC Bullion chief economist Jordan Eliseo has predicted that a soft Australian economy would see the RBA slash official interest rates, driving even more property price growth.
“I think the RBA is going to be forced to cut rates before too long which will stimulate more buying and there’s still more of a foreign property bid as well, particularly in the Sydney and Melbourne markets which has not fully played out either,” Mr Eliseo told Nest Egg.
“I definitely wouldn’t be surprised to see another 5 to 10 per cent of upside in the Sydney and Melbourne markets.”
With the latest string of regulations announced just two weeks ago from APRA and ASIC, Mr Eliseo said the RBA will now be more comfortable to cut rates to further to stimulate a soft Australian economy.
“If you look at what’s happened over the last few weeks with APRA and ASIC as well as the RBA warning on property, I think what we’re basically seeing is the baton being passed to APRA in particular and that will provide the cover it needs to justify its next round of cuts,” he said.
“I think rates will be at least 1 per cent in Australia, possibly even a fraction lower given that unfortunately the Australian economy outside of Sydney and Melbourne is incredibly soft and I think at the end of the day, the RBA has a mandate to take into account both inflation and unemployment right around the country, not just bubble management in Sydney and Melbourne.”
Despite greater investor lending regulation, auction clearance rates over the weekend averaged around 80 per cent for both Sydney and Melbourne.
While there remains potential further upside in the two property markets, Mr Eliseo warned investors against chasing speculative growth.
“That doesn’t mean they’re good investments and the yields are certainly atrocious right now. Buyers getting into the market now are trying to catch the last wave, as it were, before the tide goes out,” he said.
“That’s certainly not what a value investor or a prudent applicator of capital would do, but I still think a lot of people will.”
Property
ANZ now expects house prices will end the year lower
With higher interest rates on the horizon, the bank is forecasting larger house price declines than previously expected. ...Read more
Property
Which capital cities are most attractive to property investors?
A new survey has suggested that investor attention is shifting away from Australia’s two largest capital cities. ...Read more
Property
Market uncertainty fails to discourage foreign property investors
While interest from foreign investors in Australian property has remained strong, HLB Mann Judd warned that tax increases could see demand shift to other markets. ...Read more
Property
Regional renters forced to spend more of their income than ever before
Renters in regional areas are spending nearly as much on rent as home owners are spending on mortgage repayments. ...Read more
Property
Aussie home buyers now need to save for over 11 years for a deposit
Since early 2020, the time needed to save for a deposit has increased by more than two years. ...Read more
Property
HSBC forecasts 2023 house price decline of up to 10%
The firm had previously predicted a modest rise for house prices next year. ...Read more
Property
Perth house prices continue climbing to a record high
While growth may have come to an end in Sydney and Melbourne, Perth house prices are still on the rise. ...Read more
Property
Stamp duty significantly slowing path to purchase for FHB
Saving for a home takes years for the typical first-time buyer. In Australia’s largest cities, as much as two years are spent simply building up the funds to pay the cost of stamp duty, according to...Read more
Wrapping up an eventful 2021
Listen now
What Omicron means for property, and are units right for first-time buyers? What is equity crowdfunding? Are industry super funds tapping into member funds to save their skins?
Listen now
Will housing affordability improve in 2022? Will buy now, pay later become the norm? Why are Aussies staying in failing super products?
Listen now
Who really benefits from crypto ETFs? How will the RBA respond to rising inflation? Could a mandate help address unpaid super?
Listen now
Property
ANZ now expects house prices will end the year lower
With higher interest rates on the horizon, the bank is forecasting larger house price declines than previously expected. ...Read more
Property
Which capital cities are most attractive to property investors?
A new survey has suggested that investor attention is shifting away from Australia’s two largest capital cities. ...Read more
Property
Market uncertainty fails to discourage foreign property investors
While interest from foreign investors in Australian property has remained strong, HLB Mann Judd warned that tax increases could see demand shift to other markets. ...Read more
Property
Regional renters forced to spend more of their income than ever before
Renters in regional areas are spending nearly as much on rent as home owners are spending on mortgage repayments. ...Read more
Property
Aussie home buyers now need to save for over 11 years for a deposit
Since early 2020, the time needed to save for a deposit has increased by more than two years. ...Read more
Property
HSBC forecasts 2023 house price decline of up to 10%
The firm had previously predicted a modest rise for house prices next year. ...Read more
Property
Perth house prices continue climbing to a record high
While growth may have come to an end in Sydney and Melbourne, Perth house prices are still on the rise. ...Read more
Property
Stamp duty significantly slowing path to purchase for FHB
Saving for a home takes years for the typical first-time buyer. In Australia’s largest cities, as much as two years are spent simply building up the funds to pay the cost of stamp duty, according to...Read more
More articles
Website Notifications
Get notifications in real-time for staying up to date with content that matters to you.
