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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ups and downs of online auctions, the power of activist short-sellers, and tax time 2021.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about online auctions and why they resemble “a bad Zoom meeting”, the growing resilience of the property market, and how Sydney’s lengthy lockdown could shake things up.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into short selling – the original trade that sent GameStop stock soaring – and how activist short-sellers are impacting markets.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about those early tax lodgers and possible ramifications, as well as detailing the temporary shortcut method, which you may be able to use this tax time.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Big four bank gives tips on mining ‘cliff’

By Reporter

June 14 2016
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Invest

Big four bank gives tips on mining ‘cliff’

By Reporter
June 14 2016

Mining investment is set to plummet further in the short to mid-term, despite Australia being about halfway through the unwinding of the mining boom.

Big four bank gives tips on mining ‘cliff’

By Reporter

June 14 2016
Share

Mining investment is set to plummet further in the short to mid-term, despite Australia being about halfway through the unwinding of the mining boom.

In a new report titled The Mining Cliff: How far have we come?, NAB said an insatiable demand for commodities from China saw "unprecedented" levels of mining investment and commodity exports in the years leading up to 2012-13.

However, the combination of slowing demand from China and increased commodity production saw bulk commodity prices peak in late 2011, the report said.

Modelling by NAB indicates that mining investment is likely to fall by around 70 per cent from its current level over the next three years.

This implies the mining investment 'cliff' is currently more than halfway through, said NAB.

"As a percentage of GDP, mining capex has fallen from 8 per cent of GDP at its peak to around 4.25 per cent currently and is expected to fall to 1.5 per cent of GDP by late 2018," said NAB.

About 46,000 mining jobs were shed between the peak of the mining boom in 2012-13 and 2014-15 – and over 50,000 more are likely to be cut.

Most of the cuts will take place in Western Australia, causing "significant headwinds" in geographically affected regions of the country, said NAB.

"However, it is not unmanageable at the national level with offsetting job creation elsewhere (particularly in services sectors)," the bank said.

"We are forecasting 18,000 additional jobs to be created per month over the next few years, with the unemployment rate to track down towards 5.5 per cent by mid-2017 before inching up thereafter."

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