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According to chief market strategist at CMC Markets and host of The Artful Trader podcast Michael McCarthy, there are certain investor personality traits that seem to predict success in the share market.

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In this episode of the nestegg Podcast, Michael joins host Grace Ormsby to outline exactly what these characteristics are, the difference between high-risk and low-risk appetites, and how investors can apply different strategies depending on their own personality type.

Michael also explains how fear can be both helpful and a hindrance for confident decision-making, why failure is a crucial process for investors seeking growth, and where budding investors can begin educating themselves about the markets.

Thanks Matthew, for sharing your insights with the nestegg podcast team!

You can keep up to date with what CMC Markets are up to HERE

Have an investment story to share? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Are we on the cusp of a recession?

By Killian Plastow · July 31 2017

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Invest

Are we on the cusp of a recession?

By Killian Plastow
July 31 2017

Reading:

Models used to forecast market directions suggest the risk of a global recession in the next two years is low, but minor shifts in market performance could change that drastically, according to a global investment firm.

Are we on the cusp of a recession?

By Killian Plastow · July 31 2017

Reading:

Models used to forecast market directions suggest the risk of a global recession in the next two years is low, but minor shifts in market performance could change that drastically, according to a global investment firm.

Last year saw many investors worry that “stuttering growth” in numerous countries and “plunging” commodity prices could prompt a recession (a period of poor performance typically indicated by two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth), a recent report from Standard Life Investors noted.

“Although the worst fears of investors were not realised, and global economic growth has subsequently reaccelerated, the episode serves as a useful wake-up call,” the report said.

“It forces us to question where we sit in the global business cycle and – most importantly – when is the next recession due?”

Using a number of forecasting models, the asset management firm analysed the current market environment and found the chance of a global recession in the short term is slim, but cautioned that investors shouldn’t relax just yet.

“The modest risk of recession flagged by our models should not provide cause for complacency, especially for those investing on longer horizons,” the firm said.

“Our models have some predictive ability one and two years ahead, but their reliability fades as time goes on because the forces that bring cycles to an end are not always in view that far out and some recession triggers fall outside the scope of our framework.”

Additionally, the economists who put the report together found that only slight adjustments to market conditions were needed to dramatically increase the risk of a recession, with the most notable example being a single standard-deviation fall in year-on-year returns increased the probability of a recession on a three month horizon by 20 per cent.

Changes in a number of other variables, such as real residential investment and credit spreads are also likely to affect the possibility of a global recession, the report cautioned.

Standard Life Investments said that investors can feel confident about extending their investment horizons “for now”, but that they should keep an eye on the market moving forward to minimise their risk.