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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the ongoing NSW lockdown, the ins and outs of the COVID-19 Disaster Payments, and how Brisbane’s successful Olympics bid could impact equities and property.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the impact of the lockdowns on the property market, what the 2032 Olympics could mean for Brisbane’s market, and whether APRA might need to pull the handbrake to cool house price growth.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, delves into how the Olympics and other major events affect stock returns and what the implications are for investors.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro talks about the near-record super returns, the COVID-19 Disaster Payments and what they mean for your super.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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Why the cash rate could fall to 0.5 per cent sooner than you think

By Cameron Micallef

July 10 2019
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Invest

Why the cash rate could fall to 0.5 per cent sooner than you think

By Cameron Micallef
July 10 2019

The RBA could continue to slash already record-low rates to ensure the Australian dollar does not appreciate and weaken our export opportunities, which would see the banks take a hit.

Why the cash rate could fall to 0.5 per cent sooner than you think

By Cameron Micallef

July 10 2019
Share

The RBA could continue to slash already record-low rates to ensure the Australian dollar does not appreciate and weaken our export opportunities, which would see the banks take a hit.

Speaking with Nest Egg, Canstar’s group executive of financial services and chief commentator, Steve Mickenbecker, discussed the Australian economic outlook.

If the rest of the world continues to cut its rates, Steve Mickenbecker believes Australia will need to follow.

“Australia would be faced with quite a problem if [the United States] have a 1 per cent cut, then our dollar could appreciate against the US and that’s the last thing we want at this stage.

“[The Reserve Bank of Australia] might feel it needs to chip another 50 basis points off our rates as well, which puts Australia at risk of zero interest rates,” said Mickenbecker.

Why we need a weaker dollar

Despite sounding like a good thing for the economy, a strong dollar could actually be a disaster for the Australian economy. Exports and import competing businesses suffer if the dollar appreciates due to the increase in purchasing costs for consumers.

Australia’s three biggest sectors in its economy are mining, tourism and education. All three of these sectors have one thing in common, they all benefit from a weaker Australian dollar as they make it more attractive for foreign nations to consume these goods.

“Our exports become less competitive, and import competing businesses, such as tourism and education, diminish.

“People will choose New Zealand, Canada or the United States for education if the [Australian] dollar rises.”

ADIs will feel it

Authorised deposit-taking institutions or ADIs are required by law to have a percentage of funds through consumer savings as it is seen as safe debt.

As interest rates continue to fall, these ADIs will find it increasingly difficult to secure this funding.

“The banks are going to struggle if rates gets any lower as well. There’s a point at which it gets harder to adjust rates. I think they are already there. The banks are only paying 0.3 per cent on there saving rates,” said Mr Mickenbecker.

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About the author

Cameron Micallef

Cameron is a journalist for Momentum Media's nestegg and Smart Property Investment. He enjoys giving Aussies practical financial tips and tricks to help grow their wealth and achieve financial independence. As a self-confessed finance nerd, Cameron enjoys chatting with industry experts and commentators to leverage their insights to grow your portfolio.

About the author

Cameron Micallef

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