ROOT
Will a court ruling see the demise of casual workers?
A court ruling that allows “permanent casual” staff entitlements, including sick and holiday pay, could deter businesses from hiring new staff, according to new research.
Will a court ruling see the demise of casual workers?
A court ruling that allows “permanent casual” staff entitlements, including sick and holiday pay, could deter businesses from hiring new staff, according to new research.
Analysis by Roy Morgan shows the Federal Court’s ruling on casual staff will have an impact on 794,000 businesses in Australia, leaving one in three having to seriously consider staffing needs.
A quarter of businesses, 567,000 (24.5 per cent), said the ruling will “deter them from hiring casual employees”, while over one in 10 businesses, 245,000 (10.5 per cent), said the ruling will have a “large financial impact”.
Most worryingly is as many as 123,000 (5.5 per cent) businesses said they will be “forced to close” because of the ruling.
Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine said the Federal Court’s ruling on casual employees has the potential to have a significant impact on hundreds of thousands of Australian businesses.

“It is incumbent upon the business community and the union movement to come together and reach a truly equitable and sensible outcome about how to handle the industrial relations implications of this decision in the interests of a healthy Australian jobs market,” Ms Levine said.
The survey results also indicated that many businesses are unhappy to pay staff more as well as paying entitlements.
She added: “The biggest direct impact forecast by around a quarter of businesses is that they will be deterred from hiring casual employees in the future. Many businesses mentioned ‘double dipping’ and the fact that casual workers already get a 20 per cent loading for sick pay and annual leave etc.”
Small and medium-sized businesses with 5–199 employees will suffer the biggest impact
According to Roy Morgan, smaller businesses are likely to bear the brunt of the additional costs in labour.
A majority of small businesses (54.5 per cent) with 5–19 employees and medium businesses (54.5 per cent) with 20–199 employees said they will be affected by the ruling in some way.
Over a third of large businesses (36 per cent) with 200+ employees and just under a third of micro-businesses (32 per cent) with 1–5 employees said they will be affected by the ruling in some way.
Agriculture, retail, manufacturing, transport and postal, and wholesale are hardest hit industries
Roy Morgan’s report also revealed the industries with the most casual staff which are likely to be impacted negatively by these changes.
The Federal Court’s ruling on casual employees is set to have a disproportionate impact on some industries, led by transport, postal and warehousing (59 per cent affected), wholesale (54.5 per cent), manufacturing (47 per cent), retail (45.5 per cent) and agriculture (40 per cent).
About the author
About the author
Earn
New Business Boom: Australia’s Top Ten Suburbs Lead Entrepreneurial Growth
Australia's entrepreneurial landscape is witnessing a remarkable transformation, with the latest data from the Lawpath New Business Index highlighting a significant surge in new business registrations ...Read more
Earn
Unlocking success: How tiny habits can make or break your career trajectory
Career plateaus rarely begin with a market shock; they start with tiny, repeated choices—avoiding change, outsourcing the hard calls, neglecting pipeline hygiene. In a market where distribution, data ...Read more
Earn
Unlock your potential by transforming hidden habits into success
Self-sabotage isn’t a character flaw — it’s an operating model failure. As pressure, complexity and AI-driven change intensify, the cost of avoidable behaviours (avoidance, over-delegation, context ...Read more
Earn
Australian labour market shows signs of strain amid global economic shifts
In the latest economic data release, Australia's labour market is exhibiting signs of strain, despite maintaining a relatively low unemployment rate. According to Krishna Bhimavarapu, APAC Economist ...Read more
Earn
Australia’s entrepreneur boom: August 2025 breaks records with over 100,000 new ABNs
Australia is witnessing an unprecedented surge in entrepreneurship, with the latest figures revealing a record-breaking number of new business registrations in August 2025. According to the newly ...Read more
Earn
Beyond the cash rate: How affordability reshaped Australia’s property playbook in 2025
Australian buyers are less fixated on interest rates and more constrained by affordability, a pivot that is quietly rewriting strategies for banks, developers and institutional investorsRead more
Earn
Australia’s rate cut revealed: What it means for property, profits and the months ahead
The RBA’s 25-basis-point cut to 3.6% extends the easing cycle and resets the calculus for households, lenders and property operators. Expect a faster spring selling season and a sharper rate war, but ...Read more
Earn
Beyond the sticker price: decoding a property’s real value in a volatile market
As prices in several Australian cities keep defying slower growth and higher rates, the question isn’t what a property costs—it’s what it’s truly worth. Value today is a stack: cash flows, replacement ...Read more
Earn
New Business Boom: Australia’s Top Ten Suburbs Lead Entrepreneurial Growth
Australia's entrepreneurial landscape is witnessing a remarkable transformation, with the latest data from the Lawpath New Business Index highlighting a significant surge in new business registrations ...Read more
Earn
Unlocking success: How tiny habits can make or break your career trajectory
Career plateaus rarely begin with a market shock; they start with tiny, repeated choices—avoiding change, outsourcing the hard calls, neglecting pipeline hygiene. In a market where distribution, data ...Read more
Earn
Unlock your potential by transforming hidden habits into success
Self-sabotage isn’t a character flaw — it’s an operating model failure. As pressure, complexity and AI-driven change intensify, the cost of avoidable behaviours (avoidance, over-delegation, context ...Read more
Earn
Australian labour market shows signs of strain amid global economic shifts
In the latest economic data release, Australia's labour market is exhibiting signs of strain, despite maintaining a relatively low unemployment rate. According to Krishna Bhimavarapu, APAC Economist ...Read more
Earn
Australia’s entrepreneur boom: August 2025 breaks records with over 100,000 new ABNs
Australia is witnessing an unprecedented surge in entrepreneurship, with the latest figures revealing a record-breaking number of new business registrations in August 2025. According to the newly ...Read more
Earn
Beyond the cash rate: How affordability reshaped Australia’s property playbook in 2025
Australian buyers are less fixated on interest rates and more constrained by affordability, a pivot that is quietly rewriting strategies for banks, developers and institutional investorsRead more
Earn
Australia’s rate cut revealed: What it means for property, profits and the months ahead
The RBA’s 25-basis-point cut to 3.6% extends the easing cycle and resets the calculus for households, lenders and property operators. Expect a faster spring selling season and a sharper rate war, but ...Read more
Earn
Beyond the sticker price: decoding a property’s real value in a volatile market
As prices in several Australian cities keep defying slower growth and higher rates, the question isn’t what a property costs—it’s what it’s truly worth. Value today is a stack: cash flows, replacement ...Read more
