According to Sam Murrant, GlobalData’s senior payments analyst, this transaction type will be the most transformative technology for payments in 2020.
“The ability to send money in real time between bank accounts has obvious applications for remote payments,” he outlined, with many popular online and P2P payment services in the developed world relying on such systems to underpin “fast, cheap domestic transfers”.
For the analyst, “the real prize” moving into a new decade exists at the point of sale.
While long dominated by cards, Mr Murrant said instant payment systems can offer much lower processing costs than cards.
They can also offer functionality such as P2P payments and settlement speeds that card-based payments can’t match – an attractive proposition for consumers.
As a result, instant payments are becoming “a direct threat to card-based payments infrastructure”, the analyst noted, despite this only being within markets with the infrastructure for such payment systems to exist.
“Visa and Mastercard are already well aware of these existential threats to the business model, on which they have relied for decades, and have made moves to buy companies and invest in technologies to retain relevance as instant payment become more popular and prevalent,” he commented.
Such forecasting is what led Mastercard to its 2016 purchase of instant payments infrastructure specialist VocaLink, Mr Murrant explained, with the company having built numerous instant payment systems since.
But the factor that will really drive instant payments over the next year, according to the analyst, was the 2019 development of TIPS – a cross-border instant payment system based on SCTInst infrastructure.
It allows for transfers between participating banks in the Eurozone, representing “a step outside of domestic payments markets”.
Mr Murrant flagged that TIPS “has already set its sights on disrupting POS payments, and if it can build enough of a user base via P2P, it will be able to make a strong case for merchant acceptance based on its much lower costs per transaction than card-based payments”.
The one major challenge holding such systems back from truly competing with the card-based infrastructure currently dominating the cross-border payments market is “making them interoperable with one another”, he noted.
“Once that starts to happen, the card-based infrastructure will rapidly fade into the background.”
But for now, according to Mr Murrant, “instant payment systems will continue to build domestic momentum leading up to challenging the card schemes at the point of sale”.
