Invest
MLC economist and Bridges Financial Services highlight ongoing cost of living concerns amid RBA rate decision
Invest
MLC economist and Bridges Financial Services highlight ongoing cost of living concerns amid RBA rate decision
In a widely anticipated move, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep the official cash rate unchanged at 4.35% during its June meeting. This decision comes amid signs of a cooling economy, with the central bank highlighting the slowing growth in consumer spending and shifting momentum in the housing market. These indicators suggest that the Australian economy is experiencing a sufficient slowdown to moderate price pressures.
MLC economist and Bridges Financial Services highlight ongoing cost of living concerns amid RBA rate decision
In a widely anticipated move, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep the official cash rate unchanged at 4.35% during its June meeting. This decision comes amid signs of a cooling economy, with the central bank highlighting the slowing growth in consumer spending and shifting momentum in the housing market. These indicators suggest that the Australian economy is experiencing a sufficient slowdown to moderate price pressures.
"There are signs that growth in consumer spending is slowing as expected and momentum in the housing market has shifted, with housing prices falling in some capital cities," noted the RBA in its statement. The central bank also observed that the unemployment rate was higher than expected in April, although other labour market conditions have remained resilient.
Despite maintaining the current interest rate, the RBA did not dismiss the possibility of future rate hikes. The central bank reiterated its concern over persistent inflation, stating that Australia’s inflation is "still too high." While recent declines in oil prices have provided some relief, the RBA cautioned that "commodity prices remain higher than they were prior to the conflict in the Middle East."
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East presents a significant risk to global oil supply, which could exacerbate inflationary pressures. "Resolution of the conflict in the Middle East is at an early stage, and there are plausible scenarios where inflation is higher and activity lower than envisaged under the May baseline forecasts," the RBA warned. This uncertainty underscores the potential for continued upward pressure on global energy prices and inflation.
The central bank is also vigilant about immediate price pressures within the business sector, as some firms are raising prices in response to cost pressures. "Some firms experiencing cost pressures are increasing the prices of their goods and services and others are looking to do so," the RBA observed. Inflation expectations, although eased, remain higher than earlier in the year, keeping the prospect of another interest rate rise on the RBA’s agenda until there are clear signs that the inflation threat has subsided.

According to Bob Cunneen, MLC's Senior Economist, the RBA’s forecasts from May still suggest headline inflation could remain above 4% this year. "The bond market is still leaning towards another 0.25% interest rate hike as more likely," he said, noting that the Federal Government 2-year Bond Yield stands at 4.5%, indicating potential for further rate increases to curb inflation.
Meanwhile, research from Bridges Financial Services highlights the ongoing financial strain faced by Australians due to the rising cost of living. The data reveals that 46% of Australians view the cost of living as their biggest financial barrier. Women, in particular, report feeling the pinch more acutely, with 49% identifying it as their primary financial challenge compared to 43% of men. The age group most affected is those aged 35-44, with 51% citing cost of living concerns, followed by younger Australians aged 18-31 at 47%.
Geographically, Queenslanders appear to be the most affected, with 51% expressing concerns about the cost of living, compared to 44% in New South Wales and 45% in Victoria. Pete Brewster, a financial planner at Bridges Financial Services, offers several strategies to help Australians manage these financial pressures.
Brewster advises focusing on small, manageable steps to ease financial pressure. "Options like debt consolidation or switching to interest-only repayments can lower your monthly costs," he suggested, while cautioning that these should be temporary measures. He also recommends conducting a "money reset" audit to review and potentially cut down on recurring expenses such as subscriptions and insurance.
Building a financial buffer, even a small one, can provide a sense of security, according to Brewster. "Set up a small automatic transfer, and focus on building the habit, not on perfection," he advised. He also encourages Australians not to navigate financial stress alone, suggesting that seeking professional advice or talking to someone trusted can help uncover options and reduce pressure.
In the face of ongoing economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures, the RBA's decision to hold rates steady offers a temporary reprieve for borrowers. However, with inflation concerns still looming large, Australians are advised to remain vigilant and proactive in managing their financial health.
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