Powered by MOMENTUM MEDIA
subscribe to our newsletter sign up

RBA rate cut ‘completely wasted’

sinking pig

Inflows of foreign capital have strengthened the Australian dollar, despite the recent interest rate cut, prompting one Aussie fund manager to say the RBA may “think twice” about another cut. 

If the purpose of cutting the cash rate was to place downward pressure on the Australian dollar, it has failed according to Instreet Investments managing director George Lucas.

“Foreign inflows are also having an effect on the Aussie dollar, which is on the rise despite the RBA cutting rates to record lows in August,” Mr Lucas said.

“This rise in the dollar, coupled with mortgage lenders not passing on the full rate cut to borrowers, has seen the RBA’s recent decision completely wasted.

Advertisement
Advertisement

“If it is a weakening in the dollar that the RBA is interested in, then they may think twice about cutting again.”

Strong capital inflows were a result of the attractive yields the Australian stock market offered, according to Mr Lucas.

“Compared to the S&P 500, which yields about 2.3 per cent, the yield from ASX 200 companies is attractive, resulting in foreign inflows and leading Australian companies being included in global yield ETFs listed in the US,” he said.

Accentuated by low interest rates around the world, this hunt for yield will continue to be a boon for Australian equities.

“With the amount of debt in negative yield now at a staggering $13 trillion, it is no wonder that the main driving force for equities will be the global hunt for yield,” Mr Lucas said.

“And it’s not just equity yield that is attractive in Australia. The AAA-rated government bonds are producing significant yield when compared to negative yields.”]

Despite this, AMP chief economist Shane Oliver believes weak data and low inflation might see the RBA cut rates again later this year.

“The continuing weakness in wages growth and the risks it poses to inflation are consistent with our assessment that the RBA will cut interest rates again this year, but probably not until November when we see the cash rate being cut by another 0.25 per cent taking it to 1.25 per cent,” he said.

RBA rate cut ‘completely wasted’
sinking pig
nestegg logo
subscribe to our newsletter sign up
FROM THE WEB
Recommended by Spike Native Network
Dr Terry Dwyer, Dwye... - I am amazed by these comments. The effects will be subtle but pervasive. It will have a huge effect on superannuitants in pension mode as with low.......
Anonymous - Someone with 1.6M in their SMSF might lose 30% of their retirement income. Someone else with 6.6M in theirs will lose much less by using the franking.......
Dr Terry Dwyer, Dwye... - If it were just limiting the exempt current pension income exemption to a tax-free threshold and forgetting about removing franking credit refunds,.......
Anonymous - Well technically stolen bitcoins end up in the wallet of the Scammer or person who stole them. ....