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On this episode of The nestegg Podcast, host Maja Garaca Djurdjevic and three experts discuss the latest in equities, property investing and super.

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Steve Waters, director of Right Property Group, chats about the latest in property, including CoreLogic’s latest findings, which suggest national home values have increased at the fastest pace in over 30 years, and why he isn’t quite sure this is the case.

RMIT’s senior lecturer of finance, Dr Angel Zhong, talks about soaring travel stocks, the rising popularity of NFTs and what they are, as well as the sudden meltdown of Archegos Capital Management.

And lastly, tax and super guru Timothy Munro gives his thoughts on Paul Keating’s early release of super verdict, as well as an overview of life after JobKeeper.

Have a question for our experts? Get in touch at [email protected] and you might get featured on the next episode.

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RBA to delay rate cut

By Charbel Kadib

January 28 2020
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Invest

RBA to delay rate cut

By Charbel Kadib
January 28 2020

The central bank is set to hold off on a rate cut in February following a stronger-than-expected bounce in the labour market, ANZ Research has predicted.

RBA to delay rate cut

By Charbel Kadib

January 28 2020
Share

The central bank is set to hold off on a rate cut in February following a stronger-than-expected bounce in the labour market, ANZ Research has predicted.

According to the latest Labour Force data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), the unemployment rate fell below market expectations in December, from 5.2 per cent to 5.1 per cent (seasonally adjusted terms).

This marks the second consecutive fall in the unemployment rate, which fell from 5.3 per cent in November.

Almost 29,000 new jobs were created in December, taking the overall number of employed persons to 12.98 million, up from 12.95 million.

The workforce participation rate remained stable at 66 per cent, in line with market expectations.

Reflecting on the data, ANZ Research observed that the improvement “reinforces” the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) view that the Australian economy appears to have “reached a gentle turning point”.

As a result, ANZ Research is expecting the central bank to postpone its next cut to the official cash rate, despite analysts forecasting a cut in February.

“This makes it difficult to see the RBA easing in February, notwithstanding the short-term hit from the bushfires and the likely downward pressure on near-term growth expectations from the weakness in consumer spending evident in the [third quarter] GDP data,” the research group noted.

“Accordingly, we are no longer forecasting a February rate cut. We still think further rate cuts are more likely than not over the course of 2020, however.”

ANZ Research, however, continues to expect further monetary easing from the RBA in the near future.

“Continued weakness in consumer spending and soft business investment suggest that progress towards lower unemployment will stall at a level that is inconsistent with the RBA achieving its policy objectives,” ANZ Research added.

“We are in the process of reviewing the likely timing of these future rate cuts.”

The RBA’s next monetary policy board meeting will be held on Tuesday, 4 February.

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